Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Arizona Diamondbacks v San Diego Padres

2026-08-07 01:41 UTC — MLB

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Arizona Diamondbacks (Local)

Prévision 50.87%1.97cote équitable
EV -0.797%
Avantage -0.408%
Kelly -0.838%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.00%50.81%50.86%51.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.781.871.871.9556.18%53.45%53.48%51.28%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

San Diego Padres (Visiteur)

Prévision 49.13%2.04cote équitable
EV -1.75%
Avantage -0.874%
Kelly -1.75%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.43%49.19%49.14%50.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.841.941.942.0054.35%51.65%51.55%50.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Arizona Diamondbacks (Local) : 50.87% ; San Diego Padres (Visiteur) : 49.13%. Pour Arizona Diamondbacks (Local), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 1.97. Aucun opérateur admissible ne propose de cote supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure cote disponible est 1.95, pour une espérance de -0.797% ; elle ne produit pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Caesars🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -0.797%E -0.408%K -0.838%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -4.20%E -2.16%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-05 19:49
1xBet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -1.81%E -0.940%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -2.24%E -1.12%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-06 01:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -1.81%E -0.940%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -3.22%E -1.64%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-05 19:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -1.81%E -0.940%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -3.22%E -1.64%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-05 19:50
GTbets🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -1.81%E -0.940%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -3.22%E -1.64%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-05 20:55
Pinnacle🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -2.32%E -1.21%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -2.24%E -1.12%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-06 01:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.83%E -1.48%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.75%E -0.874%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-05 22:29
Paddy Power🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.34%E -1.76%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.66%E -3.51%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 18:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.34%E -1.76%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.66%E -3.51%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 18:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -4.36%E -2.32%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -3.71%E -1.89%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-06 00:59
DraftKings🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -4.36%E -2.32%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -4.20%E -2.16%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-05 19:50
Bet Right🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.36%E -2.32%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.69%E -2.42%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 19:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.36%E -2.32%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.69%E -2.42%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 23:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.36%E -2.32%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.69%E -2.42%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 23:35
BetRivers🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.36%E -2.32%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.69%E -2.42%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 23:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.36%E -2.32%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.69%E -2.42%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 23:35
Casumo🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.36%E -2.32%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.19%E -2.69%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 23:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.36%E -2.32%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.19%E -2.69%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 23:35
Unibet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.36%E -2.32%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.19%E -2.69%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 23:35
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.36%E -2.32%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.19%E -2.69%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 23:35
Bally Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.36%E -2.32%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.19%E -2.69%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 23:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.36%E -2.32%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.19%E -2.69%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 23:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.87%E -2.60%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.20%E -2.16%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 21:45
PlayUp🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.87%E -2.60%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.20%E -2.16%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-06 01:15
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.87%E -2.60%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.20%E -2.16%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 20:35
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.87%E -2.60%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.20%E -2.16%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 21:40
BetAnything🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.87%E -2.60%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.20%E -2.16%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-06 01:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.87%E -2.60%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.69%E -2.42%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 19:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.87%E -2.60%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.69%E -2.42%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 21:35
Neds🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.87%E -2.60%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.69%E -2.42%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 21:35
Betsson🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.87%E -2.60%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.69%E -2.42%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 01:15
NordicBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.87%E -2.60%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.69%E -2.42%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 01:15
TABtouch🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.87%E -2.60%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.19%E -2.69%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 23:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.87%E -2.60%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.19%E -2.69%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 01:15
FanDuel🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -5.38%E -2.89%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -2.73%E -1.38%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 18:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.38%E -2.89%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.69%E -2.42%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 21:45
Bovada🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.88%E -3.18%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.22%E -1.64%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 18:55
SportsBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.88%E -3.18%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.20%E -2.16%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 18:45
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.88%E -3.18%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.20%E -2.16%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 21:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.88%E -3.18%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.20%E -2.16%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 21:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.88%E -3.18%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.19%E -2.69%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 21:44
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.88%E -3.18%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.17%E -3.23%K -6.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 19:45
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.88%E -3.18%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.17%E -3.23%K -6.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 19:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.88%E -3.18%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.17%E -3.23%K -6.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 19:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.88%E -3.18%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.17%E -3.23%K -6.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 19:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.88%E -3.18%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.17%E -3.23%K -6.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 23:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.88%E -3.18%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.17%E -3.23%K -6.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 23:35
Grosvenor🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.82%EV -7.92%E -4.38%K -9.78%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.18%EV -8.13%E -4.35%K -9.35%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-05 23:35
ReBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.43%E -4.68%K -10.53%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.17%E -3.23%K -6.78%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-05 21:44
Unibet (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.10%EV -9.45%E -5.31%K -12.11%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 48.90%EV -8.62%E -4.64%K -10.03%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-05 21:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.83%EV -9.45%E -5.31%K -12.11%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.17%EV -9.61%E -5.22%K -11.44%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-05 20:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-08-06 01:30
Novig1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.1%2026-08-06 01:30
Polymarket1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-08-05 22:50
Smarkets1.82I 54.95%NM 50.81%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.19%8.1%2026-08-06 01:30