Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arizona Diamondbacks v San Diego Padres

2026-08-05 01:41 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arizona Diamondbacks (Local)

Prediction 52.20%1.92fair odd
EV -0.820%
Edge -0.431%
Kelly -0.911%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.26%52.29%52.22%53.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.831.831.9058.14%54.78%54.64%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

San Diego Padres (Visit)

Prediction 47.80%2.09fair odd
EV -0.576%
Edge -0.277%
Kelly -0.534%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.08

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.53%47.71%47.78%49.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.922.012.002.0852.08%49.72%50.00%48.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Arizona Diamondbacks (Local): 52.20%; San Diego Padres (Visit): 47.80%. For San Diego Padres (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.09. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.08, with an expected value of -0.576%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Dabble (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -0.820%E -0.431%K -0.911%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -8.22%E -4.28%K -8.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 22:34
DraftKings1.89I 52.91%NM 52.03%EV -1.34%E -0.710%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.97%EV -2.01%E -0.981%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-04 21:24
Pinnacle1.88I 53.19%NM 52.28%EV -1.86%E -0.991%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.72%EV -1.53%E -0.744%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-04 22:55
1xBet1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%EV -1.86%E -0.991%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%EV -2.01%E -0.981%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-04 17:45
FanDuel1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV -1.86%E -0.991%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV -2.49%E -1.22%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-04 20:30
BetUS1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV -1.86%E -0.991%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV -2.49%E -1.22%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-04 22:54
Hard Rock Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.39%E -1.28%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.01%E -0.981%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-04 21:54
BetAnything1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -2.39%E -1.28%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -3.44%E -1.71%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-04 21:49
Paddy Power1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.39%E -1.28%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.79%E -3.48%K -7.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 20:29
GTbets1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -2.91%E -1.56%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -1.53%E -0.744%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-04 19:25
BetOnline.ag1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -2.91%E -1.56%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -2.01%E -0.981%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-04 19:29
LowVig.ag1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -2.91%E -1.56%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -2.01%E -0.981%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-04 19:25
Caesars1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -3.43%E -1.85%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -1.53%E -0.744%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-04 21:44
MyBookie.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.43%E -1.85%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 21:28
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.43%E -1.85%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 22:43
betano_uk1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.43%E -1.85%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 22:43
TAB1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.43%E -1.85%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 14:40
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 21:29
ReBet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 20:35
Bet Right1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 20:39
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 23:09
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 22:30
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 14:39
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 14:38
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 14:40
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 14:35
Unibet (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.36%E -2.71%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 21:30
Unibet (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.36%E -2.71%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 22:44
NordicBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.36%E -2.71%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 14:39
Betsson1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.36%E -2.71%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 14:39
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.36%E -2.71%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 14:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.36%E -2.71%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 14:39
Fliff1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.79%E -3.48%K -7.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 22:40
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.79%E -3.48%K -7.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 21:25
PlayUp1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.00%E -2.74%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 22:29
Coolbet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.00%E -2.74%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 20:39
SportsBet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -5.00%E -2.74%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.88%E -2.45%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 20:29
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -5.00%E -2.74%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.88%E -2.45%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 20:40
Marathon Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -5.00%E -2.74%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.88%E -2.45%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 17:39
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -5.00%E -2.74%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.36%E -2.71%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 21:25
Betclic (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -5.00%E -2.74%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -6.31%E -3.22%K -6.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 21:30
BetRivers1.81I 55.25%NM 53.47%EV -5.52%E -3.05%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.53%EV -0.576%E -0.277%K -0.534%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-04 22:45
Svenska Spel1.81I 55.25%NM 53.47%EV -5.52%E -3.05%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.53%EV -0.576%E -0.277%K -0.534%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-04 22:45
Unibet (NL)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -6.04%E -3.36%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -1.53%E -0.744%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 22:45
Unibet (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -6.04%E -3.36%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -1.53%E -0.744%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 22:45
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.04%E -3.36%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.01%E -0.981%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 14:40
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.04%E -3.36%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 15:49
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.04%E -3.36%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 15:49
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.04%E -3.36%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 15:49
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.04%E -3.36%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 14:19
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -6.04%E -3.36%K -7.55%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -5.83%E -2.96%K -6.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 21:29
Winamax (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -6.04%E -3.36%K -7.55%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -6.31%E -3.22%K -6.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-04 20:29
Casumo1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.56%E -3.67%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -2.01%E -0.981%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 22:45
Bally Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.56%E -3.67%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -2.01%E -0.981%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 22:45
betPARX1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.56%E -3.67%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -2.01%E -0.981%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 22:45
Unibet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.56%E -3.67%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -2.01%E -0.981%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 22:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.56%E -3.67%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -2.01%E -0.981%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 22:45
ATG (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.56%E -3.67%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -2.01%E -0.981%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 22:44
TABtouch1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -7.08%E -3.98%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -2.49%E -1.22%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 22:45
Virgin Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -8.13%E -4.62%K -10.69%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -3.44%E -1.71%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 22:45
LiveScore Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -8.13%E -4.62%K -10.69%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -3.44%E -1.71%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 22:45
Grosvenor1.72I 58.14%NM 53.39%EV -10.22%E -5.94%K -14.19%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.61%EV -5.83%E -2.96%K -6.01%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-04 22:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.91I 52.36%NM 52.37%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.63%-0.0%2026-08-04 23:10
ProphetX1.90I 52.63%NM 52.38%2.09I 47.85%NM 47.62%0.5%2026-08-04 23:00
Matchbook1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%0.5%2026-08-04 22:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%0.5%2026-08-04 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%0.5%2026-08-04 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%0.5%2026-08-04 23:10
Novig1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%0.7%2026-08-04 23:00
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-08-04 20:35
Polymarket1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-08-04 20:30
Smarkets1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%2.0%2026-08-04 22:50