Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Arizona Diamondbacks v San Diego Padres

2026-08-05 01:41 UTC — MLB

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Arizona Diamondbacks (Local)

Prévision 52.39%1.91cote équitable
EV -0.978%
Avantage -0.518%
Kelly -1.10%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.89

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.59%52.46%52.38%53.95%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.741.821.831.8957.47%54.86%54.64%52.91%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

San Diego Padres (Visiteur)

Prévision 47.61%2.10cote équitable
EV -0.976%
Avantage -0.469%
Kelly -0.904%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.08

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.05%47.54%47.62%48.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.952.022.002.0851.28%49.60%50.00%48.08%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Arizona Diamondbacks (Local) : 52.39% ; San Diego Padres (Visiteur) : 47.61%. Pour San Diego Padres (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 2.10. Aucun opérateur admissible ne propose de cote supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure cote disponible est 2.08, pour une espérance de -0.976% ; elle ne produit pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%EV -0.978%E -0.518%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%EV -2.88%E -1.41%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-04 23:15
Pinnacle1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%EV -1.50%E -0.799%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%EV -2.40%E -1.17%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-04 23:25
FanDuel1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV -1.50%E -0.799%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV -2.88%E -1.41%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-04 20:30
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66%EV -2.03%E -1.08%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34%EV -0.976%E -0.469%K -0.904%G +0.000%1.6%2026-08-04 23:55
Hard Rock Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.03%E -1.08%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.40%E -1.17%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-04 21:54
BetUS1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.03%E -1.08%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.40%E -1.17%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-05 00:05
GTbets1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -3.07%E -1.66%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -1.45%E -0.702%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-05 00:00
Caesars1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -3.07%E -1.66%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -1.93%E -0.936%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-04 21:44
BetOnline.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -3.07%E -1.66%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -1.93%E -0.936%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-05 00:00
LowVig.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -3.07%E -1.66%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -1.93%E -0.936%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-04 23:54
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 52.56%EV -3.07%E -1.66%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.44%EV -2.40%E -1.17%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-04 23:54
betano_uk1.85I 54.05%NM 52.56%EV -3.07%E -1.66%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.44%EV -2.40%E -1.17%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-04 23:54
BetAnything1.85I 54.05%NM 52.56%EV -3.07%E -1.66%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.44%EV -2.40%E -1.17%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-05 00:04
MyBookie.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 52.07%EV -3.07%E -1.66%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.93%EV -4.31%E -2.14%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-04 23:59
TAB1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.07%E -1.66%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.78%E -2.39%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 14:40
BetRivers1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -4.12%E -2.25%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -1.45%E -0.702%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-04 23:35
Svenska Spel1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -4.12%E -2.25%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -1.45%E -0.702%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-04 23:35
Unibet (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.12%E -2.25%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.83%E -1.90%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 23:54
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.12%E -2.25%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.78%E -2.39%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 21:29
ReBet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.12%E -2.25%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.78%E -2.39%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 20:35
Bet Right1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.12%E -2.25%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.78%E -2.39%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 20:39
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.12%E -2.25%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.78%E -2.39%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 23:09
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.12%E -2.25%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.78%E -2.39%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 22:30
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.12%E -2.25%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.78%E -2.39%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 14:39
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.12%E -2.25%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.78%E -2.39%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 14:38
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.12%E -2.25%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.78%E -2.39%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 14:40
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.12%E -2.25%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.78%E -2.39%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 14:35
NordicBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.12%E -2.25%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.74%E -2.90%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 14:39
Betsson1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.12%E -2.25%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.74%E -2.90%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 14:39
Marathon Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.12%E -2.25%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.74%E -2.90%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 23:14
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.12%E -2.25%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.74%E -2.90%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 14:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.12%E -2.25%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.74%E -2.90%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 14:39
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.12%E -2.25%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.17%E -3.67%K -7.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 21:25
Unibet (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.65%E -2.55%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.78%E -2.39%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 23:54
PlayUp1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.65%E -2.55%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.78%E -2.39%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 23:55
Coolbet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.65%E -2.55%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.78%E -2.39%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 20:39
SportsBet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -4.65%E -2.55%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -5.26%E -2.64%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 20:29
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -4.65%E -2.55%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -5.26%E -2.64%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 20:40
Dabble (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.65%E -2.55%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.74%E -2.90%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 23:50
Unibet (NL)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -5.17%E -2.86%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -2.88%E -1.41%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 23:35
Unibet (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -5.17%E -2.86%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -2.88%E -1.41%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 23:35
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.69%E -3.16%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.40%E -1.17%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 14:40
Casumo1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -5.69%E -3.16%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -2.88%E -1.41%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 23:35
Bally Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -5.69%E -3.16%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -2.88%E -1.41%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 23:34
betPARX1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -5.69%E -3.16%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -2.88%E -1.41%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 23:35
Unibet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -5.69%E -3.16%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -2.88%E -1.41%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 23:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -5.69%E -3.16%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -2.88%E -1.41%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 23:34
ATG (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -5.69%E -3.16%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -2.88%E -1.41%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 23:34
Fliff1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.69%E -3.16%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.78%E -2.39%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 00:00
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.69%E -3.16%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.78%E -2.39%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 15:49
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.69%E -3.16%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.78%E -2.39%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 15:49
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.69%E -3.16%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.78%E -2.39%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 15:49
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.69%E -3.16%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.78%E -2.39%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 23:54
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.69%E -3.16%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.78%E -2.39%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 14:19
Betclic (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.69%E -3.16%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.74%E -2.90%K -5.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 23:54
Winamax (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.69%E -3.16%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.74%E -2.90%K -5.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 23:55
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.69%E -3.16%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.17%E -3.67%K -7.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 23:14
TABtouch1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.22%E -3.47%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -3.83%E -1.90%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 23:34
Virgin Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.27%E -4.10%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.78%E -2.39%K -4.78%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-04 23:35
LiveScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.27%E -4.10%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.78%E -2.39%K -4.78%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-04 23:35
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -8.31%E -4.75%K -11.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -2.40%E -1.17%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 23:59
Grosvenor1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -8.84%E -5.08%K -11.94%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -7.17%E -3.67%K -7.54%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-04 23:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.91I 52.36%NM 52.49%2.11I 47.39%NM 47.51%-0.3%2026-08-05 00:04
ProphetX1.91I 52.36%NM 52.25%2.09I 47.85%NM 47.75%0.2%2026-08-05 00:00
Matchbook1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%0.5%2026-08-04 23:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%0.5%2026-08-04 23:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%0.5%2026-08-04 23:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%0.5%2026-08-04 23:50
Novig1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%0.7%2026-08-04 23:00
Polymarket1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-08-04 23:50
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-08-04 20:35
Smarkets1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%2.0%2026-08-04 23:40