Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arizona Diamondbacks v Philadelphia Phillies

Kickoff: 2026-09-02 01:41 UTC

Final: Arizona Diamondbacks 1–7 Philadelphia Phillies

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arizona Diamondbacks (Local)

Prediction 45.59%2.19fair odd
EV -1.52%
Edge -0.702%
Kelly -1.31%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.16

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.70%45.76%45.49%48.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.102.102.1651.28%47.67%47.62%46.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Philadelphia Phillies (Visit)

Prediction 54.41%1.84fair odd
EV -0.437%
Edge -0.239%
Kelly -0.526%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.00%54.24%54.51%55.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.761.751.8359.88%56.97%57.14%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arizona Diamondbacks (Local): 45.59%; Philadelphia Phillies (Visit): 54.41%. For Philadelphia Phillies (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.84. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.83, with an expected value of -0.437%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetRivers🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 45.04%EV -1.52%E -0.702%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.96%EV -3.70%E -2.09%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-02 01:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 45.04%EV -1.52%E -0.702%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.96%EV -3.70%E -2.09%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-02 01:25
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -1.97%E -0.918%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -3.70%E -2.09%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-01 22:35
ReBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.97%E -0.918%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.33%E -3.07%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-01 22:35
BetUS🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%EV -2.43%E -1.13%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%EV -2.07%E -1.15%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-02 00:19
FanDuel🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -2.43%E -1.13%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -4.79%E -2.74%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-01 15:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -2.43%E -1.13%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -4.79%E -2.74%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-01 23:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -2.43%E -1.13%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -5.33%E -3.07%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-02 01:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -2.43%E -1.13%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -5.33%E -3.07%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-02 01:25
DraftKings🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.43%E -1.13%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -5.88%E -3.40%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-01 22:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.43%E -1.13%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -5.88%E -3.40%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-02 01:25
Casumo🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.43%E -1.13%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -5.88%E -3.40%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-02 01:25
Unibet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.43%E -1.13%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -5.88%E -3.40%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-02 01:25
betPARX🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.43%E -1.13%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -5.88%E -3.40%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-02 01:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.43%E -1.13%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -5.88%E -3.40%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-02 01:25
Bally Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.43%E -1.13%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -5.88%E -3.40%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-02 01:25
Pinnacle🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%EV -2.88%E -1.35%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%EV -0.981%E -0.539%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-02 01:15
theScore Bet🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.52%EV -2.88%E -1.35%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.48%EV -3.16%E -1.77%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-01 19:55
1xBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -3.34%E -1.58%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV -0.437%E -0.239%K -0.526%G +0.000%1.8%2026-09-01 22:05
Caesars🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -3.34%E -1.58%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -0.981%E -0.539%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-01 22:03
GTbets🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -3.34%E -1.58%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -0.981%E -0.539%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-02 01:30
MyBookie.ag🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -3.34%E -1.58%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.25%E -2.41%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-01 23:24
TABtouch🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.34%E -1.58%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.42%E -3.73%K -8.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 01:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -3.80%E -1.80%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -0.981%E -0.539%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-02 01:30
BetOnline.ag🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -3.80%E -1.80%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -0.981%E -0.539%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-02 01:30
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.25%E -2.03%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.70%E -2.09%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-01 14:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.25%E -2.03%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.70%E -2.09%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-02 01:30
Bet Right🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.25%E -2.03%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.79%E -2.74%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 22:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.25%E -2.03%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.79%E -2.74%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 22:15
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.25%E -2.03%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.79%E -2.74%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 22:14
Coolbet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.25%E -2.03%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.79%E -2.74%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 22:20
TAB🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.25%E -2.03%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.79%E -2.74%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 22:55
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.25%E -2.03%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.33%E -3.07%K -7.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 15:04
Fliff🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.25%E -2.03%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.33%E -3.07%K -7.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 01:25
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.25%E -2.03%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.33%E -3.07%K -7.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 22:15
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.25%E -2.03%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.88%E -3.40%K -8.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 17:50
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.25%E -2.03%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.88%E -3.40%K -8.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 17:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.25%E -2.03%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.88%E -3.40%K -8.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 12:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.25%E -2.03%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.88%E -3.40%K -8.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 17:50
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.25%E -2.03%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.88%E -3.40%K -8.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 05:50
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.25%E -2.03%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.42%E -3.73%K -8.92%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 01:30
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.25%E -2.03%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.42%E -3.73%K -8.92%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 22:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.25%E -2.03%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.51%E -4.42%K -10.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 01:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.25%E -2.03%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.51%E -4.42%K -10.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 01:25
BetAnything🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -5.16%E -2.48%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV -0.981%E -0.539%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-02 01:30
Dabble (AU)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.16%E -2.48%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.70%E -2.09%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-01 22:15
Bovada🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -5.62%E -2.72%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -3.16%E -1.77%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-02 01:29
NordicBet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.62%E -2.72%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.25%E -2.41%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 21:54
Betsson🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.62%E -2.72%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.25%E -2.41%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 21:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.53%E -3.19%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.07%E -1.15%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-01 22:25
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.53%E -3.19%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.70%E -2.09%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 01:25
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.53%E -3.19%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.70%E -2.09%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 01:30
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.53%E -3.19%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.70%E -2.09%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 22:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.53%E -3.19%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.70%E -2.09%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 22:14
Marathon Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.53%E -3.19%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.70%E -2.09%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 21:59
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.53%E -3.19%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.88%E -3.40%K -8.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-01 23:15
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.53%E -3.19%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.51%E -4.42%K -10.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-01 22:35
Betclic (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -6.53%E -3.19%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -8.05%E -4.77%K -11.67%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-02 01:15
Grosvenor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -6.53%E -3.19%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -9.14%E -5.47%K -13.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-02 01:25
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.81%E -4.41%K -8.81%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.70%E -2.09%K -4.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-01 22:15
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -11.09%E -5.69%K -11.68%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.07%E -1.15%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-02 01:29
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -11.09%E -5.69%K -11.68%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.07%E -1.15%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-02 01:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%0.4%2026-09-02 01:30
ProphetX2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%0.4%2026-09-02 01:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%0.4%2026-09-02 01:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%0.4%2026-09-02 01:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%0.4%2026-09-02 01:30
Novig2.17I 46.08%NM 45.75%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.25%0.7%2026-09-02 00:55
BetOpenly2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%1.0%2026-09-02 01:25
Polymarket2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-09-01 14:20
Smarkets2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%1.8%2026-09-02 01:30
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%1.9%2026-09-02 01:25