Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Arizona Diamondbacks v Philadelphia Phillies

Início: 2026-09-02 01:41 UTC

Final: Arizona Diamondbacks 1–7 Philadelphia Phillies

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Arizona Diamondbacks (Local)

Previsão 45.59%2.19odd justa
EV -1.52%
Vantagem -0.702%
Kelly -1.31%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.16

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.70%45.76%45.49%48.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.952.102.102.1651.28%47.67%47.62%46.30%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Philadelphia Phillies (Visitante)

Previsão 54.41%1.84odd justa
EV -0.437%
Vantagem -0.239%
Kelly -0.526%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.83

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
52.00%54.24%54.51%55.30%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.671.761.751.8359.88%56.97%57.14%54.64%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Arizona Diamondbacks (Local): 45.59%; Philadelphia Phillies (Visitante): 54.41%. Para Philadelphia Phillies (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.84. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 1.83, com valor esperado de -0.437%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
BetRivers🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 45.04%EV -1.52%E -0.702%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.96%EV -3.70%E -2.09%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-02 01:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 45.04%EV -1.52%E -0.702%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.96%EV -3.70%E -2.09%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-02 01:25
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -1.97%E -0.918%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -3.70%E -2.09%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-01 22:35
ReBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.97%E -0.918%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.33%E -3.07%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-01 22:35
BetUS🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%EV -2.43%E -1.13%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%EV -2.07%E -1.15%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-02 00:19
FanDuel🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -2.43%E -1.13%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -4.79%E -2.74%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-01 15:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -2.43%E -1.13%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -4.79%E -2.74%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-01 23:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -2.43%E -1.13%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -5.33%E -3.07%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-02 01:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -2.43%E -1.13%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -5.33%E -3.07%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-02 01:25
DraftKings🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.43%E -1.13%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -5.88%E -3.40%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-01 22:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.43%E -1.13%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -5.88%E -3.40%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-02 01:25
Casumo🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.43%E -1.13%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -5.88%E -3.40%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-02 01:25
Unibet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.43%E -1.13%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -5.88%E -3.40%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-02 01:25
betPARX🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.43%E -1.13%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -5.88%E -3.40%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-02 01:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.43%E -1.13%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -5.88%E -3.40%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-02 01:25
Bally Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.43%E -1.13%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -5.88%E -3.40%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-02 01:25
Pinnacle🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%EV -2.88%E -1.35%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%EV -0.981%E -0.539%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-02 01:15
theScore Bet🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.52%EV -2.88%E -1.35%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.48%EV -3.16%E -1.77%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-01 19:55
1xBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -3.34%E -1.58%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV -0.437%E -0.239%K -0.526%G +0.000%1.8%2026-09-01 22:05
Caesars🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -3.34%E -1.58%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -0.981%E -0.539%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-01 22:03
GTbets🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -3.34%E -1.58%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -0.981%E -0.539%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-02 01:30
MyBookie.ag🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -3.34%E -1.58%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.25%E -2.41%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-01 23:24
TABtouch🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.34%E -1.58%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.42%E -3.73%K -8.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 01:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -3.80%E -1.80%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -0.981%E -0.539%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-02 01:30
BetOnline.ag🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -3.80%E -1.80%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -0.981%E -0.539%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-02 01:30
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.25%E -2.03%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.70%E -2.09%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-01 14:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.25%E -2.03%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.70%E -2.09%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-02 01:30
Bet Right🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.25%E -2.03%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.79%E -2.74%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 22:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.25%E -2.03%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.79%E -2.74%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 22:15
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.25%E -2.03%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.79%E -2.74%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 22:14
Coolbet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.25%E -2.03%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.79%E -2.74%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 22:20
TAB🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.25%E -2.03%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.79%E -2.74%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 22:55
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.25%E -2.03%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.33%E -3.07%K -7.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 15:04
Fliff🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.25%E -2.03%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.33%E -3.07%K -7.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 01:25
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.25%E -2.03%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.33%E -3.07%K -7.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 22:15
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.25%E -2.03%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.88%E -3.40%K -8.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 17:50
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.25%E -2.03%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.88%E -3.40%K -8.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 17:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.25%E -2.03%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.88%E -3.40%K -8.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 12:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.25%E -2.03%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.88%E -3.40%K -8.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 17:50
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.25%E -2.03%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.88%E -3.40%K -8.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 05:50
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.25%E -2.03%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.42%E -3.73%K -8.92%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 01:30
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.25%E -2.03%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.42%E -3.73%K -8.92%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 22:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.25%E -2.03%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.51%E -4.42%K -10.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 01:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.25%E -2.03%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.51%E -4.42%K -10.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 01:25
BetAnything🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -5.16%E -2.48%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV -0.981%E -0.539%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-02 01:30
Dabble (AU)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.16%E -2.48%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.70%E -2.09%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-01 22:15
Bovada🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -5.62%E -2.72%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -3.16%E -1.77%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-02 01:29
NordicBet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.62%E -2.72%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.25%E -2.41%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 21:54
Betsson🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.62%E -2.72%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.25%E -2.41%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 21:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.53%E -3.19%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.07%E -1.15%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-01 22:25
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.53%E -3.19%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.70%E -2.09%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 01:25
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.53%E -3.19%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.70%E -2.09%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 01:30
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.53%E -3.19%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.70%E -2.09%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 22:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.53%E -3.19%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.70%E -2.09%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 22:14
Marathon Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.53%E -3.19%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.70%E -2.09%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 21:59
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.53%E -3.19%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.88%E -3.40%K -8.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-01 23:15
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.53%E -3.19%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.51%E -4.42%K -10.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-01 22:35
Betclic (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -6.53%E -3.19%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -8.05%E -4.77%K -11.67%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-02 01:15
Grosvenor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -6.53%E -3.19%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -9.14%E -5.47%K -13.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-02 01:25
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.81%E -4.41%K -8.81%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.70%E -2.09%K -4.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-01 22:15
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -11.09%E -5.69%K -11.68%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.07%E -1.15%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-02 01:29
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -11.09%E -5.69%K -11.68%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.07%E -1.15%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-02 01:25
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%0.4%2026-09-02 01:30
ProphetX◎2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%0.4%2026-09-02 01:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%0.4%2026-09-02 01:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%0.4%2026-09-02 01:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%0.4%2026-09-02 01:30
Novig◎2.17I 46.08%NM 45.75%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.25%0.7%2026-09-02 00:55
BetOpenly◎2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%1.0%2026-09-02 01:25
Polymarket◎2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-09-01 14:20
Smarkets◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%1.8%2026-09-02 01:30
Kalshi◎2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%1.9%2026-09-02 01:25