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Arizona Diamondbacks v Philadelphia Phillies
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Arizona Diamondbacks (Local)
Predicción 45.59%2.19momio equitativo
EV -1.52%
Ventaja -0.702%
Kelly -1.31%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.16
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.70%45.76%45.49%48.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.952.102.102.1651.28%47.67%47.62%46.30%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Philadelphia Phillies (Visitante)
Predicción 54.41%1.84momio equitativo
EV -0.437%
Ventaja -0.239%
Kelly -0.526%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.83
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.00%54.24%54.51%55.30%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.671.761.751.8359.88%56.97%57.14%54.64%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Arizona Diamondbacks (Local): 45.59%; Philadelphia Phillies (Visitante): 54.41%. Para Philadelphia Phillies (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.84. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 1.83, con un valor esperado de -0.437%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.04%EV -1.52%E -0.702%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.96%EV -3.70%E -2.09%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-02 01:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.04%EV -1.52%E -0.702%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.96%EV -3.70%E -2.09%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-02 01:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -1.97%E -0.918%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -3.70%E -2.09%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-01 22:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.97%E -0.918%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.33%E -3.07%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-01 22:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%EV -2.43%E -1.13%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%EV -2.07%E -1.15%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-02 00:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -2.43%E -1.13%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -4.79%E -2.74%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-01 15:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -2.43%E -1.13%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -4.79%E -2.74%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-01 23:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -2.43%E -1.13%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -5.33%E -3.07%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-02 01:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -2.43%E -1.13%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -5.33%E -3.07%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-02 01:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.43%E -1.13%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -5.88%E -3.40%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-01 22:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.43%E -1.13%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -5.88%E -3.40%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-02 01:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.43%E -1.13%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -5.88%E -3.40%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-02 01:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.43%E -1.13%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -5.88%E -3.40%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-02 01:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.43%E -1.13%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -5.88%E -3.40%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-02 01:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.43%E -1.13%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -5.88%E -3.40%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-02 01:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.43%E -1.13%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -5.88%E -3.40%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-02 01:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%EV -2.88%E -1.35%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%EV -0.981%E -0.539%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-09-02 01:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.52%EV -2.88%E -1.35%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.48%EV -3.16%E -1.77%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-01 19:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -3.34%E -1.58%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV -0.437%E -0.239%K -0.526%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-09-01 22:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -3.34%E -1.58%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -0.981%E -0.539%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-01 22:03 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -3.34%E -1.58%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -0.981%E -0.539%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-02 01:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -3.34%E -1.58%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.25%E -2.41%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-01 23:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.34%E -1.58%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.42%E -3.73%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 01:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -3.80%E -1.80%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -0.981%E -0.539%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-02 01:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -3.80%E -1.80%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -0.981%E -0.539%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-02 01:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.25%E -2.03%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.70%E -2.09%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-01 14:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.25%E -2.03%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.70%E -2.09%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-02 01:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.25%E -2.03%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.79%E -2.74%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-01 22:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.25%E -2.03%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.79%E -2.74%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-01 22:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.25%E -2.03%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.79%E -2.74%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-01 22:14 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.25%E -2.03%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.79%E -2.74%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-01 22:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.25%E -2.03%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.79%E -2.74%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-01 22:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.25%E -2.03%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.33%E -3.07%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 15:04 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.25%E -2.03%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.33%E -3.07%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 01:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.25%E -2.03%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.33%E -3.07%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 22:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.25%E -2.03%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.88%E -3.40%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 17:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.25%E -2.03%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.88%E -3.40%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 17:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.25%E -2.03%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.88%E -3.40%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 12:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.25%E -2.03%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.88%E -3.40%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 17:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.25%E -2.03%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.88%E -3.40%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 05:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.25%E -2.03%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.42%E -3.73%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 01:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.25%E -2.03%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.42%E -3.73%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 22:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.25%E -2.03%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.51%E -4.42%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-02 01:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.25%E -2.03%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.51%E -4.42%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-02 01:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -5.16%E -2.48%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV -0.981%E -0.539%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-02 01:30 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.16%E -2.48%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.70%E -2.09%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-01 22:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -5.62%E -2.72%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -3.16%E -1.77%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-02 01:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.62%E -2.72%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.25%E -2.41%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 21:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.62%E -2.72%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.25%E -2.41%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 21:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.53%E -3.19%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.07%E -1.15%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.53%E -3.19%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.70%E -2.09%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 01:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.53%E -3.19%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.70%E -2.09%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 01:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.53%E -3.19%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.70%E -2.09%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 22:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.53%E -3.19%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.70%E -2.09%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 22:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.53%E -3.19%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.70%E -2.09%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 21:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.53%E -3.19%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.88%E -3.40%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-01 23:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.53%E -3.19%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.51%E -4.42%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-01 22:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -6.53%E -3.19%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -8.05%E -4.77%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-02 01:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -6.53%E -3.19%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -9.14%E -5.47%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-02 01:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.81%E -4.41%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.70%E -2.09%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-01 22:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -11.09%E -5.69%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.07%E -1.15%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-02 01:29 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -11.09%E -5.69%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.07%E -1.15%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-02 01:25 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87% | 0.4% | 2026-09-02 01:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87% | 0.4% | 2026-09-02 01:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87% | 0.4% | 2026-09-02 01:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87% | 0.4% | 2026-09-02 01:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87% | 0.4% | 2026-09-02 01:30 |
| Novig◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.75% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.25% | 0.7% | 2026-09-02 00:55 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00% | 1.0% | 2026-09-02 01:25 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 1.0% | 2026-09-01 14:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67% | 1.8% | 2026-09-02 01:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92% | 1.9% | 2026-09-02 01:25 |