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Arizona Diamondbacks v Milwaukee Brewers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Arizona Diamondbacks (Local)
Prediction 40.66%2.46fair odd
EV +0.843%
Edge +0.340%
Kelly +0.570%
Growth +0.005%
assuming max odds 2.48
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.90%40.77%40.71%42.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.332.332.4845.45%42.90%42.92%40.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Milwaukee Brewers (Visit)
Prediction 59.34%1.69fair odd
EV +0.874%
Edge +0.514%
Kelly +1.25%
Growth +0.011%
assuming max odds 1.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.18%59.23%59.29%61.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.621.621.7064.52%61.67%61.73%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arizona Diamondbacks (Local): 40.66%; Milwaukee Brewers (Visit): 59.34%. For Milwaukee Brewers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.69. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.874%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%EV -7.29%E -3.20%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%EV +0.874%E +0.514%K +1.25%G +0.011% | 2.7% | 2026-07-04 23:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -8.51%E -3.78%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -0.907%E -0.543%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-04 23:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -8.51%E -3.78%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -0.907%E -0.543%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-04 23:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -9.32%E -4.18%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -0.907%E -0.543%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-04 23:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -9.32%E -4.18%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -0.907%E -0.543%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-04 23:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -9.32%E -4.18%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -0.907%E -0.543%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-04 23:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -9.32%E -4.18%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -0.907%E -0.543%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-04 23:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -9.32%E -4.18%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -0.907%E -0.543%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-04 23:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -9.32%E -4.18%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -0.907%E -0.543%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-04 23:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -2.82%E -1.18%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -1.50%E -0.904%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-05 00:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -9.32%E -4.18%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -1.50%E -0.904%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 23:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -9.32%E -4.18%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -1.50%E -0.904%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 23:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -9.32%E -4.18%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -1.50%E -0.904%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 23:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -9.32%E -4.18%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -1.50%E -0.904%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 23:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.44%E -1.89%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.09%E -1.27%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-05 01:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.48%E -2.82%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.09%E -1.27%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-05 01:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.29%EV -1.19%E -0.490%K -0.832%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.71%EV -2.69%E -1.64%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-05 01:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.15%EV -1.19%E -0.490%K -0.832%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.85%EV -3.28%E -2.01%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-05 01:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.25%EV -1.60%E -0.660%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.75%EV -3.28%E -2.01%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-07-05 00:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -10.54%E -4.79%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -3.28%E -2.01%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-04 23:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -1.60%E -0.660%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -3.87%E -2.39%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-05 01:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.41%E -1.00%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.87%E -2.39%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-05 01:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -4.04%E -1.71%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -3.87%E -2.39%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-04 23:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -5.66%E -2.44%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -3.87%E -2.39%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-04 23:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.48%E -2.82%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.87%E -2.39%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 23:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.48%E -2.82%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.87%E -2.39%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 23:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.48%E -2.82%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.87%E -2.39%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 23:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.48%E -2.82%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.87%E -2.39%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 23:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.48%E -2.82%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.87%E -2.39%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 13:55 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.48%E -2.82%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.87%E -2.39%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 23:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.51%E -3.78%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.87%E -2.39%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-05 01:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.51%E -3.78%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.87%E -2.39%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-05 01:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV +0.843%E +0.340%K +0.570%G +0.005% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -4.47%E -2.77%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-05 00:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV +0.437%E +0.177%K +0.297%G +0.001% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -4.47%E -2.77%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-05 00:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV +0.437%E +0.177%K +0.297%G +0.001% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -4.47%E -2.77%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-05 00:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.41%E -1.00%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.47%E -2.77%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-04 23:39 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.41%E -1.00%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.47%E -2.77%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-05 01:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.41%E -1.00%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.47%E -2.77%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-05 00:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.25%EV -2.82%E -1.18%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.75%EV -4.47%E -2.77%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-05 01:38 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.26%E -2.26%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.47%E -2.77%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-04 23:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.26%E -2.26%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.47%E -2.77%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-04 23:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.26%E -2.26%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.47%E -2.77%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-04 23:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.26%E -2.26%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.47%E -2.77%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-04 23:29 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.90%EV -2.00%E -0.831%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.10%EV -5.06%E -3.16%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-05 01:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.41%E -1.00%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.06%E -3.16%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-05 01:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.41%E -1.00%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.06%E -3.16%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-05 01:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.22%E -1.35%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.06%E -3.16%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-05 01:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.44%E -1.89%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.06%E -3.16%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-05 01:39 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -10.54%E -4.79%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.06%E -3.16%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-05 01:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -10.54%E -4.79%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.06%E -3.16%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-05 01:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.41%E -1.00%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.65%E -3.56%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-04 23:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.41%E -1.00%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.65%E -3.56%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-05 01:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.41%E -1.00%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.65%E -3.56%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-05 01:38 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%EV -4.04%E -1.71%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%EV -5.65%E -3.56%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 01:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.48%E -2.82%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.65%E -3.56%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-05 01:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -2.41%E -1.00%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.25%E -3.95%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 01:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -2.41%E -1.00%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.25%E -3.95%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 01:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.48%E -2.82%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.25%E -3.95%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-05 00:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.48%E -2.82%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.84%E -4.36%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-04 23:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -0.377%E -0.154%K -0.260%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -7.43%E -4.77%K -13.27%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-04 23:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -2.41%E -1.00%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -8.03%E -5.18%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-05 00:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.55I 39.22%NM 39.29% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.71% | -0.2% | 2026-07-05 01:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.24% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.76% | 0.2% | 2026-07-05 01:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 0.5% | 2026-07-05 01:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90% | 0.6% | 2026-07-04 23:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90% | 0.6% | 2026-07-04 23:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 0.6% | 2026-07-05 01:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 0.9% | 2026-07-04 20:15 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 0.9% | 2026-07-04 22:25 |
| Novig◎ | 2.47I 40.49%NM 40.05% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.95% | 1.1% | 2026-07-05 01:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.39% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.61% | 2.3% | 2026-07-05 01:40 |