La escuela de los momiosMomios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.48
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.70
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%EV -7.29%E -3.20%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%EV +0.874%E +0.514%K +1.25%G +0.011% | 2.7% | 2026-07-04 23:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -8.51%E -3.78%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -0.907%E -0.543%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-04 23:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -8.51%E -3.78%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -0.907%E -0.543%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-04 23:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -9.32%E -4.18%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -0.907%E -0.543%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-04 23:30 |
| Casumo | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -9.32%E -4.18%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -0.907%E -0.543%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-04 23:30 |
| Unibet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -9.32%E -4.18%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -0.907%E -0.543%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-04 23:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -9.32%E -4.18%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -0.907%E -0.543%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-04 23:30 |
| Bally Bet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -9.32%E -4.18%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -0.907%E -0.543%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-04 23:30 |
| betPARX | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -9.32%E -4.18%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -0.907%E -0.543%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-04 23:29 |
| 1xBet | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -2.82%E -1.18%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -1.50%E -0.904%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-05 00:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -9.32%E -4.18%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -1.50%E -0.904%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 23:30 |
| BetRivers | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -9.32%E -4.18%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -1.50%E -0.904%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 23:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -9.32%E -4.18%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -1.50%E -0.904%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 23:30 |
| TABtouch | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -9.32%E -4.18%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -1.50%E -0.904%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 23:30 |
| theScore Bet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.44%E -1.89%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.09%E -1.27%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-05 01:15 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.48%E -2.82%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.09%E -1.27%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-05 01:40 |
| Pinnacle | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.29%EV -1.19%E -0.490%K -0.832%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.71%EV -2.69%E -1.64%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-05 01:39 |
| Everygame | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.15%EV -1.19%E -0.490%K -0.832%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.85%EV -3.28%E -2.01%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-05 01:35 |
| BetAnything | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.25%EV -1.60%E -0.660%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.75%EV -3.28%E -2.01%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-07-05 00:05 |
| Grosvenor | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -10.54%E -4.79%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -3.28%E -2.01%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-04 23:25 |
| BetUS | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -1.60%E -0.660%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -3.87%E -2.39%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-05 01:35 |
| TAB | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.41%E -1.00%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.87%E -2.39%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-05 01:39 |
| FanDuel | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -4.04%E -1.71%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -3.87%E -2.39%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-04 23:25 |
| Bet Right | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -5.66%E -2.44%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -3.87%E -2.39%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-04 23:35 |
| 888sport | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.48%E -2.82%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.87%E -2.39%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 23:35 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.48%E -2.82%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.87%E -2.39%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 23:35 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.48%E -2.82%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.87%E -2.39%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 23:35 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.48%E -2.82%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.87%E -2.39%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 23:35 |
| William Hill | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.48%E -2.82%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.87%E -2.39%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 13:55 |
| Dabble (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.48%E -2.82%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.87%E -2.39%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 23:05 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.51%E -3.78%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.87%E -2.39%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-05 01:40 |
| Betway | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.51%E -3.78%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.87%E -2.39%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-05 01:40 |
| GTbets | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV +0.843%E +0.340%K +0.570%G +0.005% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -4.47%E -2.77%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-05 00:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV +0.437%E +0.177%K +0.297%G +0.001% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -4.47%E -2.77%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-05 00:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV +0.437%E +0.177%K +0.297%G +0.001% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -4.47%E -2.77%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-05 00:45 |
| Caesars | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.41%E -1.00%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.47%E -2.77%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-04 23:39 |
| ReBet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.41%E -1.00%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.47%E -2.77%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-05 01:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.41%E -1.00%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.47%E -2.77%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-05 00:00 |
| Bovada | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.25%EV -2.82%E -1.18%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.75%EV -4.47%E -2.77%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-05 01:38 |
| SportsBet | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.26%E -2.26%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.47%E -2.77%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-04 23:25 |
| Coolbet | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.26%E -2.26%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.47%E -2.77%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-04 23:59 |
| NordicBet | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.26%E -2.26%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.47%E -2.77%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-04 23:25 |
| Betsson | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.26%E -2.26%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.47%E -2.77%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-04 23:29 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.90%EV -2.00%E -0.831%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.10%EV -5.06%E -3.16%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-05 01:40 |
| Coral | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.41%E -1.00%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.06%E -3.16%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-05 01:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.41%E -1.00%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.06%E -3.16%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-05 01:40 |
| DraftKings | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.22%E -1.35%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.06%E -3.16%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-05 01:40 |
| PlayUp | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.44%E -1.89%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.06%E -3.16%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-05 01:39 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -10.54%E -4.79%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.06%E -3.16%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-05 01:40 |
| Bet Victor | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -10.54%E -4.79%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.06%E -3.16%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-05 01:29 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.41%E -1.00%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.65%E -3.56%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-04 23:20 |
| Fanatics | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.41%E -1.00%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.65%E -3.56%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-05 01:40 |
| BetMGM | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.41%E -1.00%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.65%E -3.56%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-05 01:38 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%EV -4.04%E -1.71%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%EV -5.65%E -3.56%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 01:39 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.48%E -2.82%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.65%E -3.56%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-05 01:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -2.41%E -1.00%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.25%E -3.95%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 01:39 |
| Neds | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -2.41%E -1.00%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.25%E -3.95%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 01:39 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.48%E -2.82%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.25%E -3.95%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-05 00:15 |
| Paddy Power | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.48%E -2.82%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.84%E -4.36%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-04 23:25 |
| Fliff | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -0.377%E -0.154%K -0.260%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -7.43%E -4.77%K -13.27%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-04 23:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -2.41%E -1.00%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -8.03%E -5.18%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-05 00:15 |
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 2.55I 39.22%NM 39.29% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.71% | -0.2% | 2026-07-05 01:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.24% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.76% | 0.2% | 2026-07-05 01:40 |
| ProphetX | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 0.5% | 2026-07-05 01:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90% | 0.6% | 2026-07-04 23:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90% | 0.6% | 2026-07-04 23:20 |
| Matchbook | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 0.6% | 2026-07-05 01:40 |
| Kalshi | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 0.9% | 2026-07-04 20:15 |
| Polymarket | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 0.9% | 2026-07-04 22:25 |
| Novig | 2.47I 40.49%NM 40.05% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.95% | 1.1% | 2026-07-05 01:40 |
| Smarkets | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.39% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.61% | 2.3% | 2026-07-05 01:40 |