La escuela de los momios

Arizona Diamondbacks v Milwaukee Brewers

Inicio: 2026-07-05 01:41 UTC

Final: Arizona Diamondbacks 4–3 Milwaukee Brewers

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Arizona Diamondbacks (Local)

Predicción 40.66%2.46momio equitativo
EV +0.843%
Ventaja +0.340%
Kelly +0.570%
Crecimiento +0.005%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.48

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.90%40.77%40.71%42.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.332.332.4845.45%42.90%42.92%40.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Milwaukee Brewers (Visitante)

Predicción 59.34%1.69momio equitativo
EV +0.874%
Ventaja +0.514%
Kelly +1.25%
Crecimiento +0.011%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.18%59.23%59.29%61.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.551.621.621.7064.52%61.67%61.73%58.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Svenska Spel2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%EV -7.29%E -3.20%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%EV +0.874%E +0.514%K +1.25%G +0.011%2.7%2026-07-04 23:30
Unibet (NL)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -8.51%E -3.78%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -0.907%E -0.543%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 23:25
Unibet (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -8.51%E -3.78%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -0.907%E -0.543%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 23:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -9.32%E -4.18%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -0.907%E -0.543%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-04 23:30
Casumo2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -9.32%E -4.18%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -0.907%E -0.543%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-04 23:30
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -9.32%E -4.18%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -0.907%E -0.543%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-04 23:30
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -9.32%E -4.18%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -0.907%E -0.543%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-04 23:30
Bally Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -9.32%E -4.18%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -0.907%E -0.543%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-04 23:30
betPARX2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -9.32%E -4.18%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -0.907%E -0.543%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-04 23:29
1xBet2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -2.82%E -1.18%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -1.50%E -0.904%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-05 00:45
Virgin Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -9.32%E -4.18%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -1.50%E -0.904%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 23:30
BetRivers2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -9.32%E -4.18%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -1.50%E -0.904%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 23:30
LiveScore Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -9.32%E -4.18%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -1.50%E -0.904%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 23:30
TABtouch2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -9.32%E -4.18%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -1.50%E -0.904%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 23:30
theScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.44%E -1.89%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.09%E -1.27%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-05 01:15
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.48%E -2.82%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.09%E -1.27%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-05 01:40
Pinnacle2.43I 41.15%NM 40.29%EV -1.19%E -0.490%K -0.832%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.71%EV -2.69%E -1.64%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-05 01:39
Everygame2.43I 41.15%NM 40.15%EV -1.19%E -0.490%K -0.832%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.85%EV -3.28%E -2.01%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-05 01:35
BetAnything2.42I 41.32%NM 40.25%EV -1.60%E -0.660%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.75%EV -3.28%E -2.01%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-05 00:05
Grosvenor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -10.54%E -4.79%K -8.79%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -3.28%E -2.01%K -5.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-04 23:25
BetUS2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -1.60%E -0.660%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -3.87%E -2.39%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-05 01:35
TAB2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.41%E -1.00%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.87%E -2.39%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-05 01:39
FanDuel2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -4.04%E -1.71%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -3.87%E -2.39%K -6.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-04 23:25
Bet Right2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -5.66%E -2.44%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -3.87%E -2.39%K -6.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-04 23:35
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.48%E -2.82%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.87%E -2.39%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 23:35
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.48%E -2.82%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.87%E -2.39%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 23:35
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.48%E -2.82%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.87%E -2.39%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 23:35
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.48%E -2.82%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.87%E -2.39%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 23:35
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.48%E -2.82%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.87%E -2.39%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 13:55
Dabble (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.48%E -2.82%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.87%E -2.39%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 23:05
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.51%E -3.78%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.87%E -2.39%K -6.25%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 01:40
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.51%E -3.78%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.87%E -2.39%K -6.25%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 01:40
GTbets2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV +0.843%E +0.340%K +0.570%G +0.005%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -4.47%E -2.77%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-05 00:45
LowVig.ag2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV +0.437%E +0.177%K +0.297%G +0.001%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -4.47%E -2.77%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-05 00:45
BetOnline.ag2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV +0.437%E +0.177%K +0.297%G +0.001%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -4.47%E -2.77%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-05 00:45
Caesars2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.41%E -1.00%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.47%E -2.77%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-04 23:39
ReBet2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.41%E -1.00%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.47%E -2.77%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-05 01:39
Hard Rock Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.41%E -1.00%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.47%E -2.77%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-05 00:00
Bovada2.39I 41.84%NM 40.25%EV -2.82%E -1.18%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.75%EV -4.47%E -2.77%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-05 01:38
SportsBet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.26%E -2.26%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.47%E -2.77%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 23:25
Coolbet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.26%E -2.26%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.47%E -2.77%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 23:59
NordicBet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.26%E -2.26%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.47%E -2.77%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 23:25
Betsson2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.26%E -2.26%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.47%E -2.77%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 23:29
MyBookie.ag2.41I 41.49%NM 39.90%EV -2.00%E -0.831%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.10%EV -5.06%E -3.16%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-05 01:40
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.41%E -1.00%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.06%E -3.16%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-05 01:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.41%E -1.00%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.06%E -3.16%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-05 01:40
DraftKings2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.22%E -1.35%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.06%E -3.16%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 01:40
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.44%E -1.89%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.06%E -3.16%K -8.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 01:39
Betclic (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -10.54%E -4.79%K -8.79%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.06%E -3.16%K -8.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-05 01:40
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -10.54%E -4.79%K -8.79%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.06%E -3.16%K -8.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-05 01:29
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.41%E -1.00%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.65%E -3.56%K -9.58%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 23:20
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.41%E -1.00%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.65%E -3.56%K -9.58%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 01:40
BetMGM2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.41%E -1.00%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.65%E -3.56%K -9.58%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 01:38
Marathon Bet2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%EV -4.04%E -1.71%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%EV -5.65%E -3.56%K -9.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 01:39
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.48%E -2.82%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.65%E -3.56%K -9.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-05 01:25
Ladbrokes (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -2.41%E -1.00%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.25%E -3.95%K -10.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 01:39
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -2.41%E -1.00%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.25%E -3.95%K -10.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 01:39
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.48%E -2.82%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.25%E -3.95%K -10.77%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-05 00:15
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.48%E -2.82%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.84%E -4.36%K -12.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-04 23:25
Fliff2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -0.377%E -0.154%K -0.260%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -7.43%E -4.77%K -13.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-04 23:00
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -2.41%E -1.00%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -8.03%E -5.18%K -14.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 00:15
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly2.55I 39.22%NM 39.29%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.71%-0.2%2026-07-05 01:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.48I 40.32%NM 40.24%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.76%0.2%2026-07-05 01:40
ProphetX2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%0.5%2026-07-05 01:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%0.6%2026-07-04 23:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%0.6%2026-07-04 23:20
Matchbook2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%0.6%2026-07-05 01:40
Kalshi2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-07-04 20:15
Polymarket2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-07-04 22:25
Novig2.47I 40.49%NM 40.05%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.95%1.1%2026-07-05 01:40
Smarkets2.42I 41.32%NM 40.39%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.61%2.3%2026-07-05 01:40