L’École des cotes

Arizona Diamondbacks v Milwaukee Brewers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-05 01:41 UTC

Score final : Arizona Diamondbacks 4–3 Milwaukee Brewers

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Arizona Diamondbacks (Local)

Prévision 40.66%2.46cote équitable
EV +0.843%
Avantage +0.340%
Kelly +0.570%
Croissance +0.005%

avec la cote maximale 2.48

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.90%40.77%40.71%42.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.202.332.332.4845.45%42.90%42.92%40.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Milwaukee Brewers (Visiteur)

Prévision 59.34%1.69cote équitable
EV +0.874%
Avantage +0.514%
Kelly +1.25%
Croissance +0.011%

avec la cote maximale 1.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.18%59.23%59.29%61.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.551.621.621.7064.52%61.67%61.73%58.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%EV -7.29%E -3.20%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%EV +0.874%E +0.514%K +1.25%G +0.011%2.7%2026-07-04 23:30
Unibet (NL)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -8.51%E -3.78%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -0.907%E -0.543%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 23:25
Unibet (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -8.51%E -3.78%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -0.907%E -0.543%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 23:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -9.32%E -4.18%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -0.907%E -0.543%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-04 23:30
Casumo2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -9.32%E -4.18%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -0.907%E -0.543%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-04 23:30
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -9.32%E -4.18%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -0.907%E -0.543%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-04 23:30
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -9.32%E -4.18%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -0.907%E -0.543%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-04 23:30
Bally Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -9.32%E -4.18%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -0.907%E -0.543%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-04 23:30
betPARX2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -9.32%E -4.18%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -0.907%E -0.543%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-04 23:29
1xBet2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -2.82%E -1.18%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -1.50%E -0.904%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-05 00:45
Virgin Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -9.32%E -4.18%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -1.50%E -0.904%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 23:30
BetRivers2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -9.32%E -4.18%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -1.50%E -0.904%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 23:30
LiveScore Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -9.32%E -4.18%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -1.50%E -0.904%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 23:30
TABtouch2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -9.32%E -4.18%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -1.50%E -0.904%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 23:30
theScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.44%E -1.89%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.09%E -1.27%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-05 01:15
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.48%E -2.82%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.09%E -1.27%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-05 01:40
Pinnacle2.43I 41.15%NM 40.29%EV -1.19%E -0.490%K -0.832%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.71%EV -2.69%E -1.64%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-05 01:39
Everygame2.43I 41.15%NM 40.15%EV -1.19%E -0.490%K -0.832%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.85%EV -3.28%E -2.01%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-05 01:35
BetAnything2.42I 41.32%NM 40.25%EV -1.60%E -0.660%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.75%EV -3.28%E -2.01%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-05 00:05
Grosvenor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -10.54%E -4.79%K -8.79%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -3.28%E -2.01%K -5.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-04 23:25
BetUS2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -1.60%E -0.660%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -3.87%E -2.39%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-05 01:35
TAB2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.41%E -1.00%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.87%E -2.39%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-05 01:39
FanDuel2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -4.04%E -1.71%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -3.87%E -2.39%K -6.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-04 23:25
Bet Right2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -5.66%E -2.44%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -3.87%E -2.39%K -6.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-04 23:35
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.48%E -2.82%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.87%E -2.39%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 23:35
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.48%E -2.82%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.87%E -2.39%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 23:35
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.48%E -2.82%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.87%E -2.39%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 23:35
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.48%E -2.82%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.87%E -2.39%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 23:35
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.48%E -2.82%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.87%E -2.39%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 13:55
Dabble (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.48%E -2.82%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.87%E -2.39%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 23:05
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.51%E -3.78%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.87%E -2.39%K -6.25%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 01:40
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.51%E -3.78%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.87%E -2.39%K -6.25%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 01:40
GTbets2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV +0.843%E +0.340%K +0.570%G +0.005%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -4.47%E -2.77%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-05 00:45
LowVig.ag2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV +0.437%E +0.177%K +0.297%G +0.001%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -4.47%E -2.77%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-05 00:45
BetOnline.ag2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV +0.437%E +0.177%K +0.297%G +0.001%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -4.47%E -2.77%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-05 00:45
Caesars2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.41%E -1.00%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.47%E -2.77%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-04 23:39
ReBet2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.41%E -1.00%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.47%E -2.77%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-05 01:39
Hard Rock Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.41%E -1.00%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.47%E -2.77%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-05 00:00
Bovada2.39I 41.84%NM 40.25%EV -2.82%E -1.18%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.75%EV -4.47%E -2.77%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-05 01:38
SportsBet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.26%E -2.26%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.47%E -2.77%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 23:25
Coolbet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.26%E -2.26%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.47%E -2.77%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 23:59
NordicBet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.26%E -2.26%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.47%E -2.77%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 23:25
Betsson2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.26%E -2.26%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.47%E -2.77%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 23:29
MyBookie.ag2.41I 41.49%NM 39.90%EV -2.00%E -0.831%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.10%EV -5.06%E -3.16%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-05 01:40
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.41%E -1.00%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.06%E -3.16%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-05 01:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.41%E -1.00%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.06%E -3.16%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-05 01:40
DraftKings2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.22%E -1.35%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.06%E -3.16%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 01:40
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.44%E -1.89%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.06%E -3.16%K -8.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 01:39
Betclic (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -10.54%E -4.79%K -8.79%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.06%E -3.16%K -8.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-05 01:40
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -10.54%E -4.79%K -8.79%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.06%E -3.16%K -8.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-05 01:29
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.41%E -1.00%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.65%E -3.56%K -9.58%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 23:20
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.41%E -1.00%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.65%E -3.56%K -9.58%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 01:40
BetMGM2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.41%E -1.00%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.65%E -3.56%K -9.58%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 01:38
Marathon Bet2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%EV -4.04%E -1.71%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%EV -5.65%E -3.56%K -9.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 01:39
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.48%E -2.82%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.65%E -3.56%K -9.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-05 01:25
Ladbrokes (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -2.41%E -1.00%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.25%E -3.95%K -10.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 01:39
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -2.41%E -1.00%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.25%E -3.95%K -10.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 01:39
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.48%E -2.82%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.25%E -3.95%K -10.77%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-05 00:15
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.48%E -2.82%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.84%E -4.36%K -12.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-04 23:25
Fliff2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -0.377%E -0.154%K -0.260%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -7.43%E -4.77%K -13.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-04 23:00
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -2.41%E -1.00%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -8.03%E -5.18%K -14.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 00:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly2.55I 39.22%NM 39.29%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.71%-0.2%2026-07-05 01:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.48I 40.32%NM 40.24%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.76%0.2%2026-07-05 01:40
ProphetX2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%0.5%2026-07-05 01:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%0.6%2026-07-04 23:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%0.6%2026-07-04 23:20
Matchbook2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%0.6%2026-07-05 01:40
Kalshi2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-07-04 20:15
Polymarket2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-07-04 22:25
Novig2.47I 40.49%NM 40.05%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.95%1.1%2026-07-05 01:40
Smarkets2.42I 41.32%NM 40.39%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.61%2.3%2026-07-05 01:40