L’École des cotes

Philadelphia Eagles v Washington Commanders

2026-09-13 20:25 UTC — NFL

Résultat du match

45 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Philadelphia Eagles (Local)

Prévision 65.25%1.53cote équitable
EV +1.14%
Avantage +0.733%
Kelly +2.06%
Croissance +0.023%

avec la cote maximale 1.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.96%65.00%65.19%66.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.301.461.461.5576.92%68.57%68.49%64.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Washington Commanders (Visiteur)

Prévision 34.75%2.88cote équitable
EV -0.959%
Avantage -0.336%
Kelly -0.518%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.57%35.00%34.81%39.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.422.732.752.8541.32%36.59%36.36%35.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Marathon Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.96%EV +1.14%E +0.733%K +2.06%G +0.023%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.04%EV -15.90%E -6.57%K -11.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 19:40
PointsBet (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -2.13%E -1.42%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -7.91%E -2.98%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-25 08:50
Pinnacle1.49I 67.11%NM 65.11%EV -2.78%E -1.87%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.89%EV -3.39%E -1.22%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-18 01:40
BetOnline.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -3.43%E -2.32%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -2.70%E -0.963%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-21 13:59
LowVig.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -3.43%E -2.32%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -2.70%E -0.963%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-21 14:00
BetUS1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -3.43%E -2.32%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -2.70%E -0.963%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-22 17:20
theScore Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.43%E -2.32%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.43%E -1.61%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-20 19:05
Bovada1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.43%E -2.32%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.43%E -1.61%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-25 18:10
PlayUp1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.43%E -2.32%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.17%E -2.29%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-21 02:10
Bet Right1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.43%E -2.32%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -7.91%E -2.98%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 18:10
MyBookie.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 63.81%EV -3.43%E -2.32%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.19%EV -9.30%E -3.56%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-02 12:59
FanDuel1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -4.08%E -2.78%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -2.70%E -0.963%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-14 23:39
Unibet (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.08%E -2.78%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.43%E -1.61%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-14 23:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.08%E -2.78%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.43%E -1.61%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-14 23:40
Unibet (NL)1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.08%E -2.78%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.43%E -1.61%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-14 23:40
Unibet1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.08%E -2.78%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.43%E -1.61%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-14 23:40
ATG (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.08%E -2.78%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.43%E -1.61%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-14 23:40
Svenska Spel1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.08%E -2.78%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.43%E -1.61%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-14 23:40
betPARX1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.08%E -2.78%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.43%E -1.61%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-14 23:40
Bally Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.08%E -2.78%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.43%E -1.61%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-14 23:40
BetRivers1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.08%E -2.78%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.17%E -2.29%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-14 23:40
Caesars1.46I 68.49%NM 65.81%EV -4.74%E -3.24%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.19%EV -2.35%E -0.836%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-20 13:20
DraftKings1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -4.74%E -3.24%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -2.70%E -0.963%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-20 19:04
Neds1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.74%E -3.24%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -4.43%E -1.61%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-01 20:49
Ladbrokes (AU)1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.74%E -3.24%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -4.43%E -1.61%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-01 20:50
ReBet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.74%E -3.24%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -4.43%E -1.61%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-20 19:05
BetMGM1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.39%E -3.72%K -11.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.70%E -0.963%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-01 20:49
GTbets1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.39%E -3.72%K -11.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.70%E -0.963%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-03 17:45
SportsBet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.64%EV -5.39%E -3.72%K -11.98%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.36%EV -3.74%E -1.35%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 22:59
TAB1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.39%E -3.72%K -11.98%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.43%E -1.61%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 05:40
Unibet (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.39%E -3.72%K -11.98%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.43%E -1.61%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-20 19:05
Betr (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.39%E -3.72%K -11.98%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.43%E -1.61%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-20 19:30
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.39%E -3.72%K -11.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.17%E -2.29%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-12 05:40
Coolbet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.39%E -3.72%K -11.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.17%E -2.29%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-20 19:30
Betclic (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.39%E -3.72%K -11.98%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -7.91%E -2.98%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-20 19:03
Fanatics1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -6.04%E -4.20%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -0.959%E -0.336%K -0.518%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-23 06:50
Hard Rock Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -6.04%E -4.20%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -0.959%E -0.336%K -0.518%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-23 10:04
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.04%E -4.20%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.70%E -0.963%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-01 20:49
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.04%E -4.20%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.70%E -0.963%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-01 20:49
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.04%E -4.20%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.43%E -1.61%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-14 23:39
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.04%E -4.20%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.43%E -1.61%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-10 07:39
Betsson1.42I 70.42%NM 65.28%EV -7.35%E -5.17%K -17.49%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 34.72%EV -7.21%E -2.70%K -4.32%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-20 19:30
NordicBet1.42I 70.42%NM 65.28%EV -7.35%E -5.17%K -17.49%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 34.72%EV -7.21%E -2.70%K -4.32%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-20 19:30
LeoVegas1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -7.35%E -5.17%K -17.49%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -7.91%E -2.98%K -4.79%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-08 10:45
NetBet (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 65.33%EV -15.18%E -11.67%K -50.59%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 34.67%EV -14.86%E -6.06%K -10.25%G +0.000%17.7%2026-07-20 13:14
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (2)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25%2.1%2026-07-26 00:04
Smarkets1.42I 70.42%NM 64.85%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%8.6%2026-07-20 19:05
Arbitrage (2 combinaisons) +0.40%Marathon Bet 1.55 (64.8%) / Fanatics 2.85 (35.2%)Afficher les 2 combinaisons
Philadelphia Eagles (Local)Washington Commanders (Visiteur)Marge
Marathon Bet 1.55 (64.8%)Fanatics 2.85 (35.2%)+0.398%
Marathon Bet 1.55 (64.8%)Hard Rock Bet 2.85 (35.2%)+0.398%