Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Rams v Buffalo Bills

2026-10-13 00:15 UTC — NFL

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Rams (Local)

Prediction 62.75%1.59fair odd
EV +1.65%
Edge +1.02%
Kelly +2.66%
Growth +0.044%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.30%62.75%62.75%66.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.431.521.521.6269.93%65.57%65.57%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Buffalo Bills (Visit)

Prediction 37.25%2.68fair odd
EV +4.31%
Edge +1.54%
Kelly +2.40%
Growth +0.103%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.81%37.25%37.25%40.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.362.582.582.8042.37%38.76%38.76%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Caesars1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -10.27%E -7.18%K -23.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +4.31%E +1.54%K +2.40%G +0.103%5.6%2026-06-15 22:38
DraftKings1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV +1.65%E +1.02%K +2.66%G +0.044%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -12.08%E -5.12%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-28 14:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Arbitrage (1 combination) +2.62%DraftKings 1.62 (63.3%) / Caesars 2.80 (36.7%)Show details
Los Angeles Rams (Local)Buffalo Bills (Visit)Margin
DraftKings 1.62 (63.3%)Caesars 2.80 (36.7%)+2.62%