Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Los Angeles Rams v Buffalo Bills

Inicio: 2026-10-13 00:15 UTC

Final: Los Angeles Rams 34–37 Buffalo Bills

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Los Angeles Rams (Local)

Predicción 61.24%1.63momio equitativo
EV +0.433%
Ventaja +0.264%
Kelly +0.677%
Crecimiento +0.003%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.64

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.62%61.07%61.14%62.68%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.411.561.561.6470.92%64.22%64.10%60.98%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Buffalo Bills (Visitante)

Predicción 38.76%2.58momio equitativo
EV +1.55%
Ventaja +0.592%
Kelly +0.958%
Crecimiento +0.015%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.62

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.32%38.93%38.86%42.38%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.202.452.452.6245.45%40.74%40.82%38.17%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Los Angeles Rams (Local): 61.24%; Buffalo Bills (Visitante): 38.76%. Para Buffalo Bills (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.58. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.62, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.55%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
theScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68%EV -4.47%E -2.86%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32%EV +1.55%E +0.592%K +0.958%G +0.015%2.3%2026-10-13 00:14
Pinnacle🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.08%EV -3.85%E -2.45%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.92%EV -0.386%E -0.150%K -0.246%G +0.000%2.6%2026-10-13 00:14
LowVig.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -4.47%E -2.86%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -0.386%E -0.150%K -0.246%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-12 22:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -4.47%E -2.86%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -0.386%E -0.150%K -0.246%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-12 22:59
Coolbet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%EV -2.63%E -1.65%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%EV -0.774%E -0.302%K -0.496%G +0.000%2.0%2026-10-13 00:14
Everygame🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -3.85%E -2.45%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -1.16%E -0.455%K -0.749%G +0.000%2.9%2026-10-10 14:00
Bovada🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.47%E -2.86%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -1.16%E -0.455%K -0.749%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-13 00:03
BetAnything🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.47%E -2.86%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -1.16%E -0.455%K -0.749%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-13 00:05
GTbets🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.69%E -3.70%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -1.16%E -0.455%K -0.749%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-12 23:59
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -6.92%E -4.55%K -13.30%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -1.16%E -0.455%K -0.749%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-13 00:09
DraftKings🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -5.69%E -3.70%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -1.55%E -0.610%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-12 23:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -4.47%E -2.86%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -1.94%E -0.765%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-12 21:03
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.85%E -2.45%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -3.10%E -1.24%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-11 11:24
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.85%E -2.45%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -3.10%E -1.24%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-11 11:24
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.85%E -2.45%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -3.10%E -1.24%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-11 11:24
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.85%E -2.45%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -3.10%E -1.24%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-11 11:24
FanDuel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.47%E -2.86%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.10%E -1.24%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-13 00:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.47%E -2.86%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.10%E -1.24%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-13 00:14
Fanatics🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.69%E -3.70%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.10%E -1.24%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-13 00:09
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.30%E -4.12%K -11.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.10%E -1.24%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-12 13:49
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.30%E -4.12%K -11.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.10%E -1.24%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-13 00:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.30%E -4.12%K -11.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.10%E -1.24%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-12 22:19
SportsBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -5.69%E -3.70%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -3.49%E -1.40%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-13 00:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -3.85%E -2.45%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -3.87%E -1.56%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-11 11:25
Caesars🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.14%EV -3.85%E -2.45%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.86%EV -4.26%E -1.73%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-10 13:58
BetUS🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.74%EV -2.63%E -1.65%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.26%EV -4.65%E -1.89%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-13 00:04
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.24%E -2.05%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -5.04%E -2.06%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-13 00:15
Dabble (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.85%E -2.45%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.04%E -2.06%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-13 00:14
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.85%E -2.45%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.04%E -2.06%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-12 23:54
Unibet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.85%E -2.45%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.04%E -2.06%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-11 11:29
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.85%E -2.45%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.04%E -2.06%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-12 20:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.85%E -2.45%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.04%E -2.06%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-12 20:54
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.85%E -2.45%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.04%E -2.06%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-12 20:54
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.47%E -2.86%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.04%E -2.06%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-11 11:24
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.47%E -2.86%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.04%E -2.06%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-11 11:24
Bally Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.47%E -2.86%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.04%E -2.06%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-11 11:24
Betr (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.08%E -3.28%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.04%E -2.06%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-12 23:00
ReBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.08%E -3.28%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.04%E -2.06%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-13 00:14
TAB🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.08%E -3.28%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.04%E -2.06%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-12 23:49
Betsson🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -4.47%E -2.86%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -5.43%E -2.22%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-13 00:15
Codere (IT)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -5.69%E -3.70%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -5.81%E -2.39%K -4.06%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-12 19:19
Bet Right🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.47%E -2.86%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -6.20%E -2.56%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-12 23:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.24%E -2.05%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.98%E -2.91%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-12 23:39
Neds🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.24%E -2.05%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.98%E -2.91%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-12 23:39
Bet Victor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.30%E -4.12%K -11.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.98%E -2.91%K -4.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-12 23:54
betano_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.30%E -4.12%K -11.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.98%E -2.91%K -4.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-12 23:53
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.85%E -2.45%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.75%E -3.26%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-12 19:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.85%E -2.45%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.75%E -3.26%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-12 19:14
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.85%E -2.45%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.75%E -3.26%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-12 19:14
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.85%E -2.45%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.75%E -3.26%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-12 19:19
NetBet (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.24%EV -8.14%E -5.43%K -16.28%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 38.76%EV -8.14%E -3.43%K -5.94%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-12 22:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -0.179%E -0.110%K -0.284%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -8.91%E -3.79%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-13 00:14
Tipico (DE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.85%E -2.45%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -8.91%E -3.79%K -6.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-12 19:14
Betclic (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -6.92%E -4.55%K -13.30%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -8.91%E -3.79%K -6.60%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-12 23:53
LeoVegas🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -8.14%E -5.43%K -16.28%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -8.91%E -3.79%K -6.60%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-12 23:59
Fliff🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -4.47%E -2.86%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -10.85%E -4.72%K -8.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-13 00:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV +0.433%E +0.264%K +0.677%G +0.003%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -13.56%E -6.08%K -11.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-12 23:54
PMU (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 60.94%EV -13.65%E -9.68%K -33.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.06%EV -14.73%E -6.69%K -12.27%G +0.000%16.4%2026-10-11 11:25
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
ProphetX◎1.62I 61.73%NM 61.61%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.39%0.2%2026-10-13 00:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%0.5%2026-10-13 00:15
Matchbook◎1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%0.5%2026-10-13 00:15
Novig◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%0.6%2026-10-13 00:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%0.6%2026-10-13 00:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%0.6%2026-10-13 00:15
Polymarket◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-10-10 14:00
Kalshi◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-10-10 14:01
Smarkets◎1.60I 62.50%NM 61.72%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.28%1.3%2026-10-13 00:10
BetOpenly◎1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%4.7%2026-10-13 00:04