Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Deportes Limache v Cobresal

Kickoff: 2026-09-07 23:00 UTC

Final: Deportes Limache 3–0 Cobresal

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

50 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Deportes Limache (Local)

Prediction 62.97%1.59fair odd
EV -3.03%
Edge -1.97%
Kelly -5.62%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.54

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.97%62.81%63.03%64.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.391.471.471.5471.94%68.10%68.03%64.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cobresal (Visit)

Prediction 17.16%5.83fair odd
EV +2.93%
Edge +0.489%
Kelly +0.587%
Growth +0.017%

assuming max odds 6.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.55%17.15%17.20%19.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.505.275.226.0022.22%18.97%19.14%16.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 19.88%5.03fair odd
EV -2.79%
Edge -0.571%
Kelly -0.718%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.89

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.96%20.05%19.77%21.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.104.494.504.8924.39%22.26%22.22%20.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Deportes Limache (Local): 62.97%; Cobresal (Visit): 17.16%; Draw: 19.88%. For Cobresal (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.83. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.93%.

Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Bet Victor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.80%EV -9.33%E -6.48%K -21.20%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV +2.93%E +0.489%K +0.587%G +0.017%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.65%EV -5.58%E -1.17%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-07 22:55
betano_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.80%EV -9.33%E -6.48%K -21.20%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV +2.93%E +0.489%K +0.587%G +0.017%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.65%EV -5.58%E -1.17%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-07 22:55
Coolbet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.96%EV -5.55%E -3.70%K -11.10%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.26%EV +1.22%E +0.206%K +0.249%G +0.003%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.78%EV -3.59%E -0.740%K -0.932%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-07 22:55
Betsson🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.69%EV -6.81%E -4.60%K -14.19%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.73%EV +1.22%E +0.206%K +0.249%G +0.003%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -14.52%E -3.38%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-07 22:45
NordicBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.69%EV -6.81%E -4.60%K -14.19%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.73%EV +1.22%E +0.206%K +0.249%G +0.003%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -14.52%E -3.38%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-07 22:45
Pinnacle🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.94%EV -5.55%E -3.70%K -11.10%G +0.000%5.83I 17.15%NM 16.45%EV +0.017%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000%4.89I 20.45%NM 19.61%EV -2.79%E -0.571%K -0.718%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-07 22:45
FanDuel🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.98%EV -8.70%E -6.00%K -19.33%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.28%EV -2.21%E -0.388%K -0.471%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.74%EV -6.57%E -1.40%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-07 22:45
1xBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.55%EV -9.96%E -6.96%K -23.16%G +0.000%5.59I 17.89%NM 16.26%EV -4.10%E -0.734%K -0.893%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.19%EV -10.55%E -2.34%K -3.01%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-07 22:45
DraftKings🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.08%EV -5.55%E -3.70%K -11.10%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -5.64%E -1.03%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.71%EV -4.58%E -0.955%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-07 22:33
LowVig.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.98%EV -6.18%E -4.15%K -12.61%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -5.64%E -1.03%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.96%EV -6.57%E -1.40%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-07 22:55
BetUS🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.98%EV -6.18%E -4.15%K -12.61%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -5.64%E -1.03%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.96%EV -6.57%E -1.40%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-07 22:54
Unibet (UK)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.74%EV -8.70%E -6.00%K -19.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -5.64%E -1.03%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -5.58%E -1.17%K -1.49%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-07 22:34
SportsBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.34%EV -8.70%E -6.00%K -19.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -5.64%E -1.03%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.96%EV -8.56%E -1.86%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-07 22:45
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.47%EV -8.70%E -6.00%K -19.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.47%EV -5.64%E -1.03%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.06%EV -14.52%E -3.38%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-07 22:34
Tipico (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.42%EV -11.85%E -8.46%K -29.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.40%EV -5.64%E -1.03%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.19%EV -6.57%E -1.40%K -1.78%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-07 22:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.06%EV -7.44%E -5.06%K -15.83%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.01%EV -6.50%E -1.19%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.93%EV -7.56%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-07 22:50
GTbets🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.12%EV -4.29%E -2.82%K -8.25%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.49%EV -7.36%E -1.36%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.63I 21.60%NM 20.39%EV -7.96%E -1.72%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 22:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.93%EV -6.81%E -4.60%K -14.19%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.25%EV -7.36%E -1.36%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.82%EV -6.57%E -1.40%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-07 22:55
Bovada🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.98%EV -8.07%E -5.53%K -17.54%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.03%EV -7.36%E -1.36%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.99%EV -8.56%E -1.86%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-07 22:40
BetAnything🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.98%EV -8.07%E -5.53%K -17.54%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.03%EV -7.36%E -1.36%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.99%EV -8.56%E -1.86%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-07 22:40
Codere (IT)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.41%EV -8.70%E -6.00%K -19.33%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.03%EV -7.36%E -1.36%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.56%EV -6.57%E -1.40%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-07 22:34
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.04%EV -5.55%E -3.70%K -11.10%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -9.93%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -8.56%E -1.86%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-07 22:34
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.76%EV -6.81%E -4.60%K -14.19%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -9.93%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV -5.58%E -1.17%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-07 22:55
Fanatics🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -5.55%E -3.70%K -11.10%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -9.93%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -10.55%E -2.34%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-07 22:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.92%EV -6.18%E -4.15%K -12.61%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.57%EV -9.93%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -10.55%E -2.34%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-07 22:55
Grosvenor🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.60%EV -3.03%E -1.97%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -10.79%E -2.08%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.45%EV -13.53%E -3.11%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-07 22:50
TABtouch🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.60%EV -3.03%E -1.97%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -10.79%E -2.08%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.45%EV -13.53%E -3.11%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-07 22:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.60%EV -3.03%E -1.97%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -10.79%E -2.08%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.45%EV -13.53%E -3.11%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-07 22:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.60%EV -3.03%E -1.97%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -10.79%E -2.08%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.45%EV -13.53%E -3.11%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-07 22:50
Unibet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.60%EV -3.03%E -1.97%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -10.79%E -2.08%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.45%EV -13.53%E -3.11%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-07 22:50
LeoVegas🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.62%EV -9.33%E -6.48%K -21.20%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.34%EV -10.79%E -2.08%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -10.55%E -2.34%K -3.01%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-07 22:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.20%EV -9.33%E -6.48%K -21.20%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.84%EV -12.51%E -2.45%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.96%EV -4.58%E -0.955%K -1.21%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-07 22:34
Unibet (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 63.10%EV -12.48%E -8.98%K -31.99%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.20%EV -12.51%E -2.45%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 19.71%EV -11.54%E -2.59%K -3.34%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-07 22:34
Betr (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.26%EV -6.81%E -4.60%K -14.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -14.22%E -2.84%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.61%EV -12.53%E -2.85%K -3.69%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-07 22:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.05%EV -10.59%E -7.46%K -25.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -14.22%E -2.84%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.05%EV -6.57%E -1.40%K -1.78%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-07 22:34
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -9.33%E -6.48%K -21.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -14.22%E -2.84%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -13.93%E -3.22%K -4.18%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-07 22:40
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -9.33%E -6.48%K -21.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -14.22%E -2.84%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -13.93%E -3.22%K -4.18%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-07 22:40
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -9.33%E -6.48%K -21.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -14.22%E -2.84%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -16.51%E -3.93%K -5.16%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-07 22:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -9.33%E -6.48%K -21.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -14.22%E -2.84%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -16.51%E -3.93%K -5.16%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-07 22:34
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -9.33%E -6.48%K -21.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -14.22%E -2.84%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -16.51%E -3.93%K -5.16%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-07 22:34
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 62.85%EV -11.85%E -8.46%K -29.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.60%EV -14.22%E -2.84%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.55%EV -10.55%E -2.34%K -3.01%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-07 22:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 62.85%EV -11.85%E -8.46%K -29.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.60%EV -14.22%E -2.84%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.55%EV -10.55%E -2.34%K -3.01%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-07 22:50
BetRivers🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 59.97%EV -6.18%E -4.15%K -12.61%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.24%EV -15.94%E -3.25%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.79%EV -18.50%E -4.51%K -5.97%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-07 22:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 60.29%EV -7.44%E -5.06%K -15.83%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.09%EV -15.94%E -3.25%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.62%EV -18.50%E -4.51%K -5.97%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-07 22:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 60.29%EV -7.44%E -5.06%K -15.83%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.09%EV -15.94%E -3.25%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.62%EV -18.50%E -4.51%K -5.97%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-07 22:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.60%EV -6.81%E -4.60%K -14.19%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.69%EV -17.65%E -3.68%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.71%EV -13.93%E -3.22%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-07 22:34
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.60%EV -6.81%E -4.60%K -14.19%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.69%EV -17.65%E -3.68%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.71%EV -13.93%E -3.22%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-07 22:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.60%EV -6.81%E -4.60%K -14.19%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.69%EV -17.65%E -3.68%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.71%EV -13.93%E -3.22%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-07 22:34
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.60%EV -6.81%E -4.60%K -14.19%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.69%EV -17.65%E -3.68%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.71%EV -13.93%E -3.22%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-07 22:34
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.51%EV -9.33%E -6.48%K -21.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.36%EV -22.80%E -5.07%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.12%EV -13.93%E -3.22%K -4.18%G +0.000%14.8%2026-09-07 22:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook1.54I 64.94%NM 64.83%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.60%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.57%0.2%2026-09-07 22:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.50%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.02%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.48%0.7%2026-09-07 22:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.50%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.02%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.48%0.7%2026-09-07 22:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.50%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.02%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.48%0.7%2026-09-07 22:50
Smarkets1.52I 65.79%NM 64.55%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.83%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.62%1.9%2026-09-07 22:50
Kalshi1.54I 64.94%NM 63.70%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.68%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.62%1.9%2026-09-07 22:55