Las Vegas Raiders v Miami Dolphins

2026-09-13 20:25 — NFL

Head to Head

43 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

63%

37%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Las Vegas Raiders (Local)

Prediction 62.69%1.60fair odd

EV -0.319%

Edge -0.201%

Kelly -0.541%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.59

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

60.45%62.56%62.71%65.09%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.361.521.511.59MINMEANMEDIANMAX

All estimators

Consensus probabilities

60.45%1.654Min

65.09%1.536Max

62.56%1.599Mean

62.71%1.595Median

62.69%1.595IQM

62.59%1.598Margin-weighted

Miami Dolphins (Visit)

Prediction 37.31%2.68fair odd

EV +2.97%

Edge +1.08%

Kelly +1.69%

Growth +0.050%

assuming max odds 2.76

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

34.91%37.44%37.29%39.55%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

2.272.552.552.76MINMEANMEDIANMAX

All estimators

Consensus probabilities

34.91%2.865Min

39.55%2.529Max

37.44%2.671Mean

37.29%2.682Median

37.31%2.680IQM

37.41%2.673Margin-weighted

Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Las Vegas Raiders (Local)	Miami Dolphins (Visit) ▼	Margin	Updated
FanDuel	1.48I 67.57% NM 65.09%EV -7.22% E -4.88% K -15.03% G +0.000%	2.76I 36.23% NM 34.91%EV +2.97% E +1.08% K +1.69% G +0.050%	3.8%	2026-05-18 19:15
SportsBet	1.46I 68.49% NM 65.07%EV -8.47% E -5.80% K -18.41% G +0.000%	2.72I 36.76% NM 34.93%EV +1.48% E +0.543% K +0.859% G +0.013%	5.3%	2026-05-18 19:15
Unibet (SE)	1.50I 66.67% NM 63.86%EV -5.96% E -3.97% K -11.92% G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74% NM 36.14%EV -1.13% E -0.428% K -0.687% G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-07-03 18:24
Unibet (NL)	1.50I 66.67% NM 63.86%EV -5.96% E -3.97% K -11.92% G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74% NM 36.14%EV -1.13% E -0.428% K -0.687% G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-07-03 18:25
LeoVegas (SE)	1.50I 66.67% NM 63.86%EV -5.96% E -3.97% K -11.92% G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74% NM 36.14%EV -1.13% E -0.428% K -0.687% G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-07-03 18:25
Unibet	1.50I 66.67% NM 63.86%EV -5.96% E -3.97% K -11.92% G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74% NM 36.14%EV -1.13% E -0.428% K -0.687% G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-07-03 18:24
ATG (SE)	1.50I 66.67% NM 63.86%EV -5.96% E -3.97% K -11.92% G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74% NM 36.14%EV -1.13% E -0.428% K -0.687% G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-07-03 18:25
betPARX	1.50I 66.67% NM 63.86%EV -5.96% E -3.97% K -11.92% G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74% NM 36.14%EV -1.13% E -0.428% K -0.687% G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-07-03 18:25
Bally Bet	1.50I 66.67% NM 63.86%EV -5.96% E -3.97% K -11.92% G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74% NM 36.14%EV -1.13% E -0.428% K -0.687% G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-07-03 18:25
Svenska Spel	1.50I 66.67% NM 63.86%EV -5.96% E -3.97% K -11.92% G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74% NM 36.14%EV -1.13% E -0.428% K -0.687% G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-07-03 18:25
Hard Rock Bet	1.50I 66.67% NM 63.86%EV -5.96% E -3.97% K -11.92% G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74% NM 36.14%EV -1.13% E -0.428% K -0.687% G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-07-08 08:35
Pinnacle	1.54I 64.94% NM 62.98%EV -3.45% E -2.24% K -6.40% G +0.000%	2.62I 38.17% NM 37.02%EV -2.25% E -0.860% K -1.39% G +0.000%	3.1%	2026-06-24 05:20
Paddy Power	1.50I 66.67% NM 63.59%EV -5.96% E -3.97% K -11.92% G +0.000%	2.62I 38.17% NM 36.41%EV -2.25% E -0.860% K -1.39% G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-05-18 19:15
theScore Bet	1.53I 65.36% NM 62.95%EV -4.08% E -2.67% K -7.70% G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46% NM 37.05%EV -3.00% E -1.15% K -1.87% G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-07-03 18:25
PointsBet (AU)	1.53I 65.36% NM 62.95%EV -4.08% E -2.67% K -7.70% G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46% NM 37.05%EV -3.00% E -1.15% K -1.87% G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-07-08 16:25
William Hill	1.50I 66.67% NM 63.41%EV -5.96% E -3.97% K -11.92% G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46% NM 36.59%EV -3.00% E -1.15% K -1.87% G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-05-18 20:20
Caesars	1.53I 65.36% NM 62.77%EV -4.08% E -2.67% K -7.70% G +0.000%	2.58I 38.76% NM 37.23%EV -3.75% E -1.45% K -2.37% G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-07-08 13:37
BetOnline.ag	1.56I 64.10% NM 62.23%EV -2.20% E -1.41% K -3.93% G +0.000%	2.57I 38.91% NM 37.77%EV -4.12% E -1.60% K -2.62% G +0.000%	3.0%	2026-05-21 13:59
LowVig.ag	1.56I 64.10% NM 62.23%EV -2.20% E -1.41% K -3.93% G +0.000%	2.57I 38.91% NM 37.77%EV -4.12% E -1.60% K -2.62% G +0.000%	3.0%	2026-05-21 14:00
BetUS	1.56I 64.10% NM 62.04%EV -2.20% E -1.41% K -3.93% G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22% NM 37.96%EV -4.87% E -1.91% K -3.14% G +0.000%	3.3%	2026-05-22 17:20
GTbets	1.54I 64.94% NM 62.35%EV -3.45% E -2.24% K -6.40% G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22% NM 37.65%EV -4.87% E -1.91% K -3.14% G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-07-03 17:45
BetMGM	1.53I 65.36% NM 62.50%EV -4.08% E -2.67% K -7.70% G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22% NM 37.50%EV -4.87% E -1.91% K -3.14% G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-05-16 03:30
Unibet (UK)	1.52I 65.79% NM 62.65%EV -4.71% E -3.10% K -9.05% G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22% NM 37.35%EV -4.87% E -1.91% K -3.14% G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-07-03 18:25
ReBet	1.52I 65.79% NM 62.65%EV -4.71% E -3.10% K -9.05% G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22% NM 37.35%EV -4.87% E -1.91% K -3.14% G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-07-08 02:04
Tipico (DE)	1.50I 66.67% NM 62.96%EV -5.96% E -3.97% K -11.92% G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22% NM 37.04%EV -4.87% E -1.91% K -3.14% G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-07-07 14:29
Coolbet	1.50I 66.67% NM 62.87%EV -5.96% E -3.97% K -11.92% G +0.000%	2.54I 39.37% NM 37.13%EV -5.24% E -2.06% K -3.40% G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-06-15 18:00
MyBookie.ag	1.51I 66.23% NM 62.44%EV -5.33% E -3.53% K -10.46% G +0.000%	2.51I 39.84% NM 37.56%EV -6.36% E -2.53% K -4.21% G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-07-08 02:09
Fanatics	1.56I 64.10% NM 61.58%EV -2.20% E -1.41% K -3.93% G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00% NM 38.42%EV -6.73% E -2.69% K -4.49% G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-07-08 02:05
Neds	1.55I 64.52% NM 61.73%EV -2.83% E -1.82% K -5.14% G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00% NM 38.27%EV -6.73% E -2.69% K -4.49% G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-05-16 03:30
Ladbrokes (AU)	1.55I 64.52% NM 61.73%EV -2.83% E -1.82% K -5.14% G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00% NM 38.27%EV -6.73% E -2.69% K -4.49% G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-05-16 03:30
Coral	1.53I 65.36% NM 62.03%EV -4.08% E -2.67% K -7.70% G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00% NM 37.97%EV -6.73% E -2.69% K -4.49% G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-05-16 03:29
Ladbrokes (UK)	1.53I 65.36% NM 62.03%EV -4.08% E -2.67% K -7.70% G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00% NM 37.97%EV -6.73% E -2.69% K -4.49% G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-05-16 03:30
Bet Right	1.53I 65.36% NM 62.03%EV -4.08% E -2.67% K -7.70% G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00% NM 37.97%EV -6.73% E -2.69% K -4.49% G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-07-08 16:24
BetRivers	1.50I 66.67% NM 62.50%EV -5.96% E -3.97% K -11.92% G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00% NM 37.50%EV -6.73% E -2.69% K -4.49% G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-07-03 18:25
Betclic (FR)	1.50I 66.67% NM 62.50%EV -5.96% E -3.97% K -11.92% G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00% NM 37.50%EV -6.73% E -2.69% K -4.49% G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-07-03 18:28
NordicBet	1.47I 68.03% NM 62.78%EV -7.84% E -5.34% K -16.69% G +0.000%	2.48I 40.32% NM 37.22%EV -7.48% E -3.01% K -5.05% G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-07-06 09:54
Betsson	1.47I 68.03% NM 62.78%EV -7.84% E -5.34% K -16.69% G +0.000%	2.48I 40.32% NM 37.22%EV -7.48% E -3.01% K -5.05% G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-07-06 09:55
Bovada	1.59I 62.89% NM 60.64%EV -0.319% E -0.201% K -0.541% G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82% NM 39.36%EV -8.60% E -3.51% K -5.93% G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-06-08 16:08
DraftKings	1.57I 63.69% NM 60.95%EV -1.57% E -1.00% K -2.76% G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82% NM 39.05%EV -8.60% E -3.51% K -5.93% G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-07-06 11:15
LeoVegas	1.47I 68.03% NM 62.50%EV -7.84% E -5.34% K -16.69% G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82% NM 37.50%EV -8.60% E -3.51% K -5.93% G +0.000%	8.8%	2026-07-08 20:44
TAB	1.57I 63.69% NM 60.45%EV -1.57% E -1.00% K -2.76% G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67% NM 39.55%EV -10.46% E -4.36% K -7.47% G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-05-15 05:40
Marathon Bet	1.56I 64.10% NM 60.61%EV -2.20% E -1.41% K -3.93% G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67% NM 39.39%EV -10.46% E -4.36% K -7.47% G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-05-19 19:40
NetBet (FR)	1.36I 73.53% NM 62.53%EV -14.74% E -10.84% K -40.94% G +0.000%	2.27I 44.05% NM 37.47%EV -15.31% E -6.75% K -12.06% G +0.000%	17.6%	2026-07-08 08:55

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (2)

Bookmaker	Las Vegas Raiders (Local)	Miami Dolphins (Visit)	Margin ▲	Updated
Kalshi	1.54I 64.94% NM 62.44%	2.56I 39.06% NM 37.56%	4.0%	2026-07-03 05:10
Smarkets	1.49I 67.11% NM 62.09%	2.44I 40.98% NM 37.91%	8.1%	2026-07-08 02:05

Arbitrage (4 combinations) +0.88%Bovada 1.59 (63.4%) / FanDuel 2.76 (36.6%)Show all 4 combinations

Las Vegas Raiders (Local)	Miami Dolphins (Visit)	Margin
Bovada 1.59 (63.4%)	FanDuel 2.76 (36.6%)	+0.883%
Bovada 1.59 (63.1%)	SportsBet 2.72 (36.9%)	+0.343%
DraftKings 1.57 (63.7%)	FanDuel 2.76 (36.3%)	+0.074%
TAB 1.57 (63.7%)	FanDuel 2.76 (36.3%)	+0.074%