L’École des cotes

Las Vegas Raiders v Miami Dolphins

2026-09-13 20:25 UTC — NFL

Résultat du match

45 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Las Vegas Raiders (Local)

Prévision 63.13%1.58cote équitable
EV -1.51%
Avantage -0.968%
Kelly -2.70%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.56

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.61%63.11%63.03%65.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.341.501.501.5674.63%66.49%66.67%64.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Miami Dolphins (Visiteur)

Prévision 36.87%2.71cote équitable
EV +1.75%
Avantage +0.634%
Kelly +0.994%
Croissance +0.017%

avec la cote maximale 2.76

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.91%36.89%36.97%39.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.322.592.602.7643.10%38.64%38.46%36.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.49I 67.11%NM 64.94%EV -5.93%E -3.98%K -12.10%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.06%EV +1.75%E +0.634%K +0.994%G +0.017%3.3%2026-07-22 19:29
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 65.09%EV -6.56%E -4.43%K -13.67%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.91%EV +1.75%E +0.634%K +0.994%G +0.017%3.8%2026-05-18 19:15
Bovada1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -6.56%E -4.43%K -13.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV +1.38%E +0.502%K +0.789%G +0.011%3.9%2026-07-25 18:10
SportsBet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.07%EV -7.82%E -5.36%K -17.01%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV +0.274%E +0.101%K +0.160%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 19:15
Hard Rock Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -0.463%E -0.171%K -0.272%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-25 09:05
theScore Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.67%E -3.09%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -2.31%E -0.870%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-22 00:54
Unibet (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.31%E -0.870%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-03 18:24
Unibet (NL)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.31%E -0.870%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-03 18:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.31%E -0.870%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-03 18:25
Unibet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.31%E -0.870%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-03 18:24
ATG (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.31%E -0.870%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-03 18:25
betPARX1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.31%E -0.870%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-03 18:25
Bally Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.31%E -0.870%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-03 18:25
Svenska Spel1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.31%E -0.870%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-03 18:25
DraftKings1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -4.67%E -3.09%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -2.67%E -1.01%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-20 19:08
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.41%E -1.30%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-18 19:15
BetOnline.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -2.77%E -1.80%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -3.78%E -1.45%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-22 13:14
LowVig.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -2.77%E -1.80%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -3.78%E -1.45%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-22 13:14
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.40%E -2.23%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.15%E -1.60%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-22 00:55
GTbets1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.40%E -2.23%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.15%E -1.60%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-22 13:29
Caesars1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.04%E -2.66%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.15%E -1.60%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-22 08:29
Unibet (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.15%E -1.60%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 00:55
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.15%E -1.60%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 20:20
Bet Right1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.15%E -1.60%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-25 18:10
Betr (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.15%E -1.60%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 00:55
Coolbet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.56%E -4.43%K -13.67%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.15%E -1.60%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-25 18:20
BetUS1.54I 64.94%NM 62.71%EV -2.77%E -1.80%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.29%EV -4.52%E -1.74%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-22 13:14
ReBet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.33%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.67%EV -4.52%E -1.74%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-22 00:55
MyBookie.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 63.05%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.95%EV -5.62%E -2.20%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-22 01:00
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.40%E -2.23%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-16 03:30
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.04%E -2.66%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-24 07:59
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-07 14:29
NordicBet1.46I 68.49%NM 63.32%EV -7.82%E -5.36%K -17.01%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.68%EV -7.10%E -2.82%K -4.67%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-22 01:00
Betsson1.46I 68.49%NM 63.32%EV -7.82%E -5.36%K -17.01%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.68%EV -7.10%E -2.82%K -4.67%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-22 00:54
PointsBet (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -1.51%E -0.968%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -7.84%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-22 13:14
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.14%E -1.38%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -7.84%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-16 03:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.14%E -1.38%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -7.84%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-16 03:30
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.40%E -2.23%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.84%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 03:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.40%E -2.23%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.84%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 03:30
TAB1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.40%E -2.23%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.84%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-14 02:29
BetRivers1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.84%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-03 18:25
Betclic (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.56%E -4.43%K -13.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.84%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-20 19:08
LeoVegas1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -7.19%E -4.89%K -15.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -7.84%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-22 18:44
Marathon Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -1.51%E -0.968%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -11.52%E -4.80%K -8.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 19:40
NetBet (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 63.39%EV -15.40%E -11.49%K -45.29%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 36.61%EV -14.47%E -6.24%K -10.96%G +0.000%17.7%2026-07-22 00:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (2)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%2.0%2026-07-26 04:20
Smarkets1.47I 68.03%NM 62.78%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.22%8.3%2026-07-22 00:55