La escuela de los momios

Las Vegas Raiders v Miami Dolphins

2026-09-13 20:25 UTC — NFL

Resultado del partido

45 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Las Vegas Raiders (Local)

Predicción 63.13%1.58momio equitativo
EV -1.51%
Ventaja -0.968%
Kelly -2.70%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.56

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.61%63.11%63.03%65.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.341.501.501.5674.63%66.49%66.67%64.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Miami Dolphins (Visitante)

Predicción 36.87%2.71momio equitativo
EV +1.75%
Ventaja +0.634%
Kelly +0.994%
Crecimiento +0.017%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.76

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.91%36.89%36.97%39.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.322.592.602.7643.10%38.64%38.46%36.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.49I 67.11%NM 64.94%EV -5.93%E -3.98%K -12.10%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.06%EV +1.75%E +0.634%K +0.994%G +0.017%3.3%2026-07-22 19:29
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 65.09%EV -6.56%E -4.43%K -13.67%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.91%EV +1.75%E +0.634%K +0.994%G +0.017%3.8%2026-05-18 19:15
Bovada1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -6.56%E -4.43%K -13.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV +1.38%E +0.502%K +0.789%G +0.011%3.9%2026-07-25 18:10
SportsBet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.07%EV -7.82%E -5.36%K -17.01%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV +0.274%E +0.101%K +0.160%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 19:15
Hard Rock Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -0.463%E -0.171%K -0.272%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-25 09:05
theScore Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.67%E -3.09%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -2.31%E -0.870%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-22 00:54
Unibet (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.31%E -0.870%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-03 18:24
Unibet (NL)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.31%E -0.870%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-03 18:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.31%E -0.870%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-03 18:25
Unibet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.31%E -0.870%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-03 18:24
ATG (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.31%E -0.870%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-03 18:25
betPARX1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.31%E -0.870%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-03 18:25
Bally Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.31%E -0.870%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-03 18:25
Svenska Spel1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.31%E -0.870%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-03 18:25
DraftKings1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -4.67%E -3.09%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -2.67%E -1.01%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-20 19:08
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.41%E -1.30%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-18 19:15
BetOnline.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -2.77%E -1.80%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -3.78%E -1.45%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-22 13:14
LowVig.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -2.77%E -1.80%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -3.78%E -1.45%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-22 13:14
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.40%E -2.23%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.15%E -1.60%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-22 00:55
GTbets1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.40%E -2.23%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.15%E -1.60%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-22 13:29
Caesars1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.04%E -2.66%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.15%E -1.60%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-22 08:29
Unibet (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.15%E -1.60%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 00:55
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.15%E -1.60%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 20:20
Bet Right1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.15%E -1.60%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-25 18:10
Betr (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.15%E -1.60%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 00:55
Coolbet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.56%E -4.43%K -13.67%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.15%E -1.60%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-25 18:20
BetUS1.54I 64.94%NM 62.71%EV -2.77%E -1.80%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.29%EV -4.52%E -1.74%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-22 13:14
ReBet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.33%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.67%EV -4.52%E -1.74%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-22 00:55
MyBookie.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 63.05%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.95%EV -5.62%E -2.20%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-22 01:00
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.40%E -2.23%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-16 03:30
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.04%E -2.66%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-24 07:59
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-07 14:29
NordicBet1.46I 68.49%NM 63.32%EV -7.82%E -5.36%K -17.01%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.68%EV -7.10%E -2.82%K -4.67%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-22 01:00
Betsson1.46I 68.49%NM 63.32%EV -7.82%E -5.36%K -17.01%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.68%EV -7.10%E -2.82%K -4.67%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-22 00:54
PointsBet (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -1.51%E -0.968%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -7.84%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-22 13:14
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.14%E -1.38%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -7.84%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-16 03:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.14%E -1.38%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -7.84%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-16 03:30
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.40%E -2.23%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.84%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 03:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.40%E -2.23%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.84%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 03:30
TAB1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.40%E -2.23%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.84%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-14 02:29
BetRivers1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.84%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-03 18:25
Betclic (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.56%E -4.43%K -13.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.84%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-20 19:08
LeoVegas1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -7.19%E -4.89%K -15.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -7.84%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-22 18:44
Marathon Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -1.51%E -0.968%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -11.52%E -4.80%K -8.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 19:40
NetBet (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 63.39%EV -15.40%E -11.49%K -45.29%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 36.61%EV -14.47%E -6.24%K -10.96%G +0.000%17.7%2026-07-22 00:55
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (2)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%2.0%2026-07-26 04:20
Smarkets1.47I 68.03%NM 62.78%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.22%8.3%2026-07-22 00:55