L’École des cotes

Cincinnati Bengals v Tampa Bay Buccaneers

2026-09-13 17:00 UTC — NFL

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Cincinnati Bengals (Local)

Prévision 63.65%1.57cote équitable
EV +2.48%
Avantage +1.54%
Kelly +4.06%
Croissance +0.101%

avec la cote maximale 1.61

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.72%63.53%63.67%65.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.341.501.501.6174.63%66.83%66.67%62.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Visiteur)

Prévision 36.35%2.75cote équitable
EV +0.321%
Avantage +0.116%
Kelly +0.183%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 2.76

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.37%36.47%36.33%41.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.292.622.632.7643.67%38.17%38.02%36.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Marathon Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.72%EV +2.48%E +1.54%K +4.06%G +0.101%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.28%EV -16.76%E -7.32%K -12.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 14:39
Pinnacle1.54I 64.94%NM 63.07%EV -1.98%E -1.28%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.93%EV -4.40%E -1.67%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-04 04:50
Bovada1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -1.98%E -1.28%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-25 18:10
LowVig.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -2.61%E -1.71%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -3.68%E -1.39%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-23 22:49
BetOnline.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -2.61%E -1.71%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -3.68%E -1.39%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-23 22:49
BetUS1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -2.61%E -1.71%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -4.40%E -1.67%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-23 22:49
TAB1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.61%E -1.71%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.13%E -3.65%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-14 02:20
DraftKings1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.25%E -2.14%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-20 19:08
GTbets1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.89%E -2.57%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -3.68%E -1.39%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-08 15:59
Caesars1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -3.89%E -2.57%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -4.04%E -1.53%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-22 08:09
theScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.52%E -3.01%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -1.86%E -0.689%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-20 13:15
Hard Rock Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.52%E -3.01%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -1.86%E -0.689%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-25 09:05
Unibet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.52%E -3.01%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.68%E -1.39%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-01 17:00
Unibet (NL)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.52%E -3.01%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.68%E -1.39%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-01 16:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.52%E -3.01%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.68%E -1.39%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-01 16:59
Unibet (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.52%E -3.01%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.68%E -1.39%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-01 17:00
Svenska Spel1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.52%E -3.01%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.68%E -1.39%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-01 16:59
Bally Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.52%E -3.01%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.68%E -1.39%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-01 16:59
ATG (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.52%E -3.01%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.68%E -1.39%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-01 17:00
betPARX1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.52%E -3.01%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.68%E -1.39%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-01 16:59
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.52%E -3.01%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.68%E -1.39%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-15 01:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.52%E -3.01%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -4.40%E -1.67%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 23:00
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.52%E -3.01%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.77%E -1.82%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 22:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.52%E -3.01%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.77%E -1.82%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-15 01:09
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.52%E -3.01%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.77%E -1.82%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-15 01:09
BetRivers1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.52%E -3.01%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-01 16:59
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.52%E -3.01%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-15 01:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.52%E -3.01%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-15 01:09
Bet Right1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.52%E -3.01%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-25 18:25
Betr (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.52%E -3.01%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 08:15
PlayUp1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.52%E -3.01%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-24 05:00
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.52%E -3.01%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.31%E -2.87%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-15 06:49
ReBet1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.16%E -3.46%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -3.68%E -1.39%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-20 13:14
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 65.09%EV -5.80%E -3.92%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.91%EV +0.321%E +0.116%K +0.183%G +0.001%3.8%2026-07-13 16:25
Fanatics1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.80%E -3.92%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -0.042%E -0.015%K -0.024%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-24 04:24
PointsBet (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.80%E -3.92%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -0.042%E -0.015%K -0.024%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-25 18:25
Unibet (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.80%E -3.92%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.68%E -1.39%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-20 13:15
MyBookie.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 63.81%EV -5.80%E -3.92%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.19%EV -5.13%E -1.97%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-20 13:20
Betclic (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.80%E -3.92%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-20 13:15
Coolbet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.80%E -3.92%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-25 18:25
LeoVegas1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -6.43%E -4.38%K -13.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -9.13%E -3.65%K -6.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-22 08:15
SportsBet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.40%EV -7.07%E -4.84%K -15.37%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.60%EV +0.321%E +0.116%K +0.183%G +0.001%4.7%2026-07-13 16:20
NordicBet1.46I 68.49%NM 63.32%EV -7.07%E -4.84%K -15.37%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.68%EV -8.40%E -3.33%K -5.53%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-22 08:15
Betsson1.46I 68.49%NM 63.32%EV -7.07%E -4.84%K -15.37%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.68%EV -8.40%E -3.33%K -5.53%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-22 08:15
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -8.34%E -5.79%K -18.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -0.042%E -0.015%K -0.024%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-20 19:10
NetBet (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 63.69%EV -14.71%E -10.98%K -43.25%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 36.31%EV -14.58%E -6.20%K -10.80%G +0.000%17.2%2026-07-14 03:04
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (2)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%2.0%2026-07-25 16:50
Smarkets1.45I 68.97%NM 63.66%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.34%8.3%2026-07-20 13:15
Arbitrage (22 combinaisons) +1.68%Marathon Bet 1.61 (63.2%) / SportsBet 2.76 (36.8%)Afficher les 22 combinaisons
Cincinnati Bengals (Local)Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Visiteur)Marge
Marathon Bet 1.61 (63.2%)FanDuel 2.76 (36.8%)+1.68%
Marathon Bet 1.61 (63.2%)SportsBet 2.76 (36.8%)+1.68%
Marathon Bet 1.61 (63.1%)Fanatics 2.75 (36.9%)+1.55%
Marathon Bet 1.61 (63.1%)PointsBet (AU) 2.75 (36.9%)+1.55%
Marathon Bet 1.61 (63.1%)William Hill 2.75 (36.9%)+1.55%
Marathon Bet 1.61 (62.6%)theScore Bet 2.70 (37.4%)+0.858%
Marathon Bet 1.61 (62.6%)Hard Rock Bet 2.70 (37.4%)+0.858%
Marathon Bet 1.61 (62.2%)LowVig.ag 2.65 (37.8%)+0.153%
Marathon Bet 1.61 (62.2%)BetOnline.ag 2.65 (37.8%)+0.153%
Marathon Bet 1.61 (62.2%)GTbets 2.65 (37.8%)+0.153%
Marathon Bet 1.61 (62.2%)Unibet 2.65 (37.8%)+0.153%
Marathon Bet 1.61 (62.2%)Unibet (NL) 2.65 (37.8%)+0.153%
Marathon Bet 1.61 (62.2%)LeoVegas (SE) 2.65 (37.8%)+0.153%
Marathon Bet 1.61 (62.2%)Unibet (SE) 2.65 (37.8%)+0.153%
Marathon Bet 1.61 (62.2%)Svenska Spel 2.65 (37.8%)+0.153%
Marathon Bet 1.61 (62.2%)Bally Bet 2.65 (37.8%)+0.153%
Marathon Bet 1.61 (62.2%)ATG (SE) 2.65 (37.8%)+0.153%
Marathon Bet 1.61 (62.2%)betPARX 2.65 (37.8%)+0.153%
Marathon Bet 1.61 (62.2%)BetMGM 2.65 (37.8%)+0.153%
Marathon Bet 1.61 (62.2%)ReBet 2.65 (37.8%)+0.153%
Marathon Bet 1.61 (62.2%)Unibet (UK) 2.65 (37.8%)+0.153%
Marathon Bet 1.61 (62.1%)Caesars 2.64 (37.9%)+0.009%