La escuela de los momios

Cincinnati Bengals v Tampa Bay Buccaneers

2026-09-13 17:00 UTC — NFL

Resultado del partido

46 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Cincinnati Bengals (Local)

Predicción 63.65%1.57momio equitativo
EV +2.48%
Ventaja +1.54%
Kelly +4.06%
Crecimiento +0.101%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.61

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.72%63.53%63.67%65.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.341.501.501.6174.63%66.83%66.67%62.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Visitante)

Predicción 36.35%2.75momio equitativo
EV +0.321%
Ventaja +0.116%
Kelly +0.183%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.76

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.37%36.47%36.33%41.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.292.622.632.7643.67%38.17%38.02%36.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Marathon Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.72%EV +2.48%E +1.54%K +4.06%G +0.101%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.28%EV -16.76%E -7.32%K -12.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 14:39
Pinnacle1.54I 64.94%NM 63.07%EV -1.98%E -1.28%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.93%EV -4.40%E -1.67%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-04 04:50
Bovada1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -1.98%E -1.28%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-25 18:10
LowVig.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -2.61%E -1.71%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -3.68%E -1.39%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-23 22:49
BetOnline.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -2.61%E -1.71%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -3.68%E -1.39%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-23 22:49
BetUS1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -2.61%E -1.71%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -4.40%E -1.67%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-23 22:49
TAB1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.61%E -1.71%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.13%E -3.65%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-14 02:20
DraftKings1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.25%E -2.14%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-20 19:08
GTbets1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.89%E -2.57%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -3.68%E -1.39%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-08 15:59
Caesars1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -3.89%E -2.57%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -4.04%E -1.53%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-22 08:09
theScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.52%E -3.01%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -1.86%E -0.689%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-20 13:15
Hard Rock Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.52%E -3.01%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -1.86%E -0.689%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-25 09:05
Unibet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.52%E -3.01%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.68%E -1.39%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-01 17:00
Unibet (NL)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.52%E -3.01%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.68%E -1.39%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-01 16:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.52%E -3.01%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.68%E -1.39%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-01 16:59
Unibet (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.52%E -3.01%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.68%E -1.39%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-01 17:00
Svenska Spel1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.52%E -3.01%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.68%E -1.39%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-01 16:59
Bally Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.52%E -3.01%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.68%E -1.39%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-01 16:59
ATG (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.52%E -3.01%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.68%E -1.39%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-01 17:00
betPARX1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.52%E -3.01%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.68%E -1.39%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-01 16:59
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.52%E -3.01%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.68%E -1.39%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-15 01:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.52%E -3.01%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -4.40%E -1.67%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 23:00
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.52%E -3.01%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.77%E -1.82%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 22:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.52%E -3.01%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.77%E -1.82%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-15 01:09
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.52%E -3.01%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.77%E -1.82%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-15 01:09
BetRivers1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.52%E -3.01%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-01 16:59
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.52%E -3.01%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-15 01:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.52%E -3.01%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-15 01:09
Bet Right1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.52%E -3.01%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-25 18:25
Betr (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.52%E -3.01%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 08:15
PlayUp1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.52%E -3.01%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-24 05:00
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.52%E -3.01%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.31%E -2.87%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-15 06:49
ReBet1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.16%E -3.46%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -3.68%E -1.39%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-20 13:14
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 65.09%EV -5.80%E -3.92%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.91%EV +0.321%E +0.116%K +0.183%G +0.001%3.8%2026-07-13 16:25
Fanatics1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.80%E -3.92%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -0.042%E -0.015%K -0.024%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-24 04:24
PointsBet (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.80%E -3.92%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -0.042%E -0.015%K -0.024%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-25 18:25
Unibet (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.80%E -3.92%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.68%E -1.39%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-20 13:15
MyBookie.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 63.81%EV -5.80%E -3.92%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.19%EV -5.13%E -1.97%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-20 13:20
Betclic (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.80%E -3.92%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-20 13:15
Coolbet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.80%E -3.92%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-25 18:25
LeoVegas1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -6.43%E -4.38%K -13.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -9.13%E -3.65%K -6.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-22 08:15
SportsBet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.40%EV -7.07%E -4.84%K -15.37%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.60%EV +0.321%E +0.116%K +0.183%G +0.001%4.7%2026-07-13 16:20
NordicBet1.46I 68.49%NM 63.32%EV -7.07%E -4.84%K -15.37%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.68%EV -8.40%E -3.33%K -5.53%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-22 08:15
Betsson1.46I 68.49%NM 63.32%EV -7.07%E -4.84%K -15.37%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.68%EV -8.40%E -3.33%K -5.53%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-22 08:15
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -8.34%E -5.79%K -18.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -0.042%E -0.015%K -0.024%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-20 19:10
NetBet (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 63.69%EV -14.71%E -10.98%K -43.25%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 36.31%EV -14.58%E -6.20%K -10.80%G +0.000%17.2%2026-07-14 03:04
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (2)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%2.0%2026-07-25 16:50
Smarkets1.45I 68.97%NM 63.66%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.34%8.3%2026-07-20 13:15
Arbitraje (22 combinaciones) +1.68%Marathon Bet 1.61 (63.2%) / SportsBet 2.76 (36.8%)Ver las 22 combinaciones
Cincinnati Bengals (Local)Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Visitante)Margen
Marathon Bet 1.61 (63.2%)FanDuel 2.76 (36.8%)+1.68%
Marathon Bet 1.61 (63.2%)SportsBet 2.76 (36.8%)+1.68%
Marathon Bet 1.61 (63.1%)Fanatics 2.75 (36.9%)+1.55%
Marathon Bet 1.61 (63.1%)PointsBet (AU) 2.75 (36.9%)+1.55%
Marathon Bet 1.61 (63.1%)William Hill 2.75 (36.9%)+1.55%
Marathon Bet 1.61 (62.6%)theScore Bet 2.70 (37.4%)+0.858%
Marathon Bet 1.61 (62.6%)Hard Rock Bet 2.70 (37.4%)+0.858%
Marathon Bet 1.61 (62.2%)LowVig.ag 2.65 (37.8%)+0.153%
Marathon Bet 1.61 (62.2%)BetOnline.ag 2.65 (37.8%)+0.153%
Marathon Bet 1.61 (62.2%)GTbets 2.65 (37.8%)+0.153%
Marathon Bet 1.61 (62.2%)Unibet 2.65 (37.8%)+0.153%
Marathon Bet 1.61 (62.2%)Unibet (NL) 2.65 (37.8%)+0.153%
Marathon Bet 1.61 (62.2%)LeoVegas (SE) 2.65 (37.8%)+0.153%
Marathon Bet 1.61 (62.2%)Unibet (SE) 2.65 (37.8%)+0.153%
Marathon Bet 1.61 (62.2%)Svenska Spel 2.65 (37.8%)+0.153%
Marathon Bet 1.61 (62.2%)Bally Bet 2.65 (37.8%)+0.153%
Marathon Bet 1.61 (62.2%)ATG (SE) 2.65 (37.8%)+0.153%
Marathon Bet 1.61 (62.2%)betPARX 2.65 (37.8%)+0.153%
Marathon Bet 1.61 (62.2%)BetMGM 2.65 (37.8%)+0.153%
Marathon Bet 1.61 (62.2%)ReBet 2.65 (37.8%)+0.153%
Marathon Bet 1.61 (62.2%)Unibet (UK) 2.65 (37.8%)+0.153%
Marathon Bet 1.61 (62.1%)Caesars 2.64 (37.9%)+0.009%