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Cincinnati Bengals v Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cincinnati Bengals (Local)
Prediction 63.70%1.57fair odd
EV -1.26%
Edge -0.813%
Kelly -2.29%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.96%63.74%63.72%65.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.491.501.5575.19%67.11%66.67%64.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Visit)
Prediction 36.30%2.76fair odd
EV -0.183%
Edge -0.066%
Kelly -0.104%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.37%36.26%36.28%39.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.642.652.7541.67%37.94%37.74%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cincinnati Bengals (Local): 63.70%; Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Visit): 36.30%. For Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.76. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.75, with an expected value of -0.183%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.27%EV -1.26%E -0.813%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.73%EV -3.09%E -1.16%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-09-13 17:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.96%EV -1.26%E -0.813%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.04%EV -12.16%E -5.03%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-13 16:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -2.53%E -1.66%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -3.81%E -1.44%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-13 16:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -2.53%E -1.66%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -4.54%E -1.73%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-13 15:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.53%E -1.66%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -5.63%E -2.16%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-13 16:01 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.53%E -1.66%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -5.63%E -2.16%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-13 16:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.53%E -1.66%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -5.63%E -2.16%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-13 16:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.53%E -1.66%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -7.44%E -2.92%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-13 16:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.53%E -1.66%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -7.44%E -2.92%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-13 16:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.53%E -1.66%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -7.44%E -2.92%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-13 16:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.15%EV -3.17%E -2.09%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.85%EV -1.27%E -0.467%K -0.739%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-09-13 16:31 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.72%EV -3.17%E -2.09%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.28%EV -3.09%E -1.16%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-13 16:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.72%EV -3.17%E -2.09%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.28%EV -3.09%E -1.16%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-13 16:30 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.17%E -2.09%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -5.63%E -2.16%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-13 17:01 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.17%E -2.09%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -7.44%E -2.92%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-13 17:01 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.17%E -2.09%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -9.26%E -3.70%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-13 16:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.81%E -2.52%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -3.81%E -1.44%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-13 15:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.53%EV -3.81%E -2.52%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.47%EV -4.54%E -1.73%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-13 17:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -3.81%E -2.52%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -6.35%E -2.46%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-13 16:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -4.45%E -2.96%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -0.183%E -0.066%K -0.104%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-09 11:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -4.45%E -2.96%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -0.183%E -0.066%K -0.104%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-06 20:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -4.45%E -2.96%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -0.183%E -0.066%K -0.104%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-06 20:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -4.45%E -2.96%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -0.183%E -0.066%K -0.104%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-06 20:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.45%E -2.96%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.00%E -0.740%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-13 16:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.45%E -2.96%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.81%E -1.44%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-13 15:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.45%E -2.96%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.81%E -1.44%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-13 12:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.45%E -2.96%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.81%E -1.44%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-13 16:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.45%E -2.96%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.63%E -2.16%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-13 16:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.45%E -2.96%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.63%E -2.16%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-13 16:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.45%E -2.96%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.63%E -2.16%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-13 15:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.45%E -2.96%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.63%E -2.16%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-13 17:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.45%E -2.96%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.63%E -2.16%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-13 16:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.33%EV -4.45%E -2.96%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.67%EV -5.99%E -2.31%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-13 17:01 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.45%E -2.96%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.26%E -3.70%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-13 16:58 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -5.08%E -3.41%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -2.00%E -0.740%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-13 11:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -5.08%E -3.41%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -2.00%E -0.740%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-06 20:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.72%E -3.86%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -0.183%E -0.066%K -0.104%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-13 16:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.72%E -3.86%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -0.183%E -0.066%K -0.104%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-13 08:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.72%E -3.86%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.00%E -0.740%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-06 20:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.72%E -3.86%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.00%E -0.740%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.72%E -3.86%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.00%E -0.740%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-06 20:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.72%E -3.86%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.00%E -0.740%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-06 20:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.72%E -3.86%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.81%E -1.44%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-13 16:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%EV -5.72%E -3.86%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%EV -11.07%E -4.52%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-13 16:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%EV -5.72%E -3.86%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%EV -11.07%E -4.52%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-13 16:31 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.83%EV -6.36%E -4.32%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.17%EV -1.63%E -0.603%K -0.956%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-13 01:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.36%E -4.32%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.00%E -0.740%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-13 16:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -6.99%E -4.79%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -3.81%E -1.44%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-13 01:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.63%E -5.26%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.00%E -0.740%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-13 01:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.63%E -5.26%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.00%E -0.740%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-13 16:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -7.63%E -5.26%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -9.26%E -3.70%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-13 17:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -8.27%E -5.74%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -0.183%E -0.066%K -0.104%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 20:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -8.27%E -5.74%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -0.183%E -0.066%K -0.104%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-13 17:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -8.27%E -5.74%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -0.183%E -0.066%K -0.104%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-08 08:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -8.27%E -5.74%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -0.183%E -0.066%K -0.104%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-08 08:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -8.27%E -5.74%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -0.183%E -0.066%K -0.104%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-08 09:04 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.25%EV -8.91%E -6.23%K -20.71%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 35.75%EV -6.72%E -2.61%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-13 16:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 62.83%EV -9.54%E -6.72%K -22.72%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -12.89%E -5.37%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-13 17:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 64.63%EV -15.28%E -11.49%K -46.29%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 35.37%EV -11.80%E -4.86%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-09-07 09:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80% | 0.5% | 2026-09-13 16:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48% | 0.6% | 2026-09-13 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48% | 0.6% | 2026-09-13 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48% | 0.6% | 2026-09-13 16:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 0.9% | 2026-09-13 16:45 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 0.9% | 2026-09-07 18:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.50% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.50% | 1.3% | 2026-09-13 17:01 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.55% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.45% | 2.6% | 2026-09-13 16:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.94% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.06% | 3.3% | 2026-09-13 17:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.21% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.79% | 6.2% | 2026-09-13 17:00 |