Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Washington Commanders v Miami Dolphins

2026-08-14 23:00 UTC — NFL Preseason

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Washington Commanders (Local)

Prediction 50.97%1.96fair odd
EV -2.65%
Edge -1.39%
Kelly -2.91%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%51.01%50.80%52.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.871.881.9154.64%53.37%53.19%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Miami Dolphins (Visit)

Prediction 49.03%2.04fair odd
EV -1.94%
Edge -0.970%
Kelly -1.94%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.78%48.99%49.20%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.851.931.922.0054.05%51.85%52.08%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Washington Commanders (Local): 50.97%; Miami Dolphins (Visit): 49.03%. For Miami Dolphins (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.04. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.00, with an expected value of -1.94%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -2.65%E -1.39%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -4.88%E -2.52%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-07 15:50
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.65%E -1.39%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.35%E -3.33%K -6.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-07 17:35
BetRivers🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.67%E -1.94%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.86%E -3.05%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 15:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.67%E -1.94%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.86%E -3.05%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 15:49
Unibet (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.67%E -1.94%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.86%E -3.05%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 15:49
betPARX🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.67%E -1.94%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.86%E -3.05%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 15:48
Bally Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.67%E -1.94%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.86%E -3.05%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 16:05
SportsBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.18%E -2.22%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.86%E -3.05%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 15:44
LeoVegas🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.18%E -2.22%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.86%E -3.05%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 19:00
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.69%E -2.51%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.39%E -2.25%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-07 17:08
GTbets🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.69%E -2.51%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.39%E -2.25%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-07 18:59
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.71%E -3.08%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.35%E -3.33%K -6.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-07 17:14
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.71%E -3.08%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.35%E -3.33%K -6.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-07 17:15
Paddy Power🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.71%E -3.08%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.29%E -5.02%K -10.93%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-07 14:55
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.73%E -3.68%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.94%E -0.970%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 14:55
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.73%E -3.68%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.94%E -0.970%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 18:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.53%2.1%2026-08-07 16:55