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Washington Commanders v Miami Dolphins
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Washington Commanders (主队)
预测 39.73%2.52公平赔率
EV +13.24%
优势 +4.65%
Kelly +7.16%
增长率 +0.948%
假设最高赔率为 2.85
博彩公司预测分布
33.26%39.65%39.43%41.64%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.202.432.452.8545.45%41.12%40.82%35.09%最小值均值中位数最大值
Miami Dolphins (客队)
预测 60.27%1.66公平赔率
EV -3.57%
优势 -2.23%
Kelly -5.96%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.60
博彩公司预测分布
58.36%60.35%60.57%66.74%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.381.551.571.6072.46%64.43%63.69%62.50%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Washington Commanders (主队)：39.73%；Miami Dolphins (客队)：60.27%。 对于“Washington Commanders (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.52。 当时有4家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.85，对应+13.24%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (32 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV +13.24%E +4.65%K +7.16%G +0.948% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -14.42%E -10.16%K -34.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 23:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV +11.26%E +4.02%K +6.25%G +0.704% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -15.63%E -11.16%K -39.07%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-14 23:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV +9.27%E +3.37%K +5.30%G +0.491% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.59%EV -16.83%E -12.20%K -44.30%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-14 23:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +1.32%E +0.518%K +0.853%G +0.011% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -7.79%E -5.09%K -14.70%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-14 23:08 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.48%EV -0.267%E -0.106%K -0.177%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.52%EV -5.38%E -3.43%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-14 21:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.33%EV -0.267%E -0.106%K -0.177%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.67%EV -5.99%E -3.84%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-14 22:19 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -0.665%E -0.266%K -0.443%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -11.41%E -7.76%K -24.27%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-14 23:08 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -1.06%E -0.426%K -0.713%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -4.18%E -2.63%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-14 22:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -1.06%E -0.426%K -0.713%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -4.18%E -2.63%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-14 22:54 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -1.06%E -0.426%K -0.713%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -7.19%E -4.67%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 23:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.26%EV -2.25%E -0.916%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.74%EV -4.18%E -2.63%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-14 22:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.65%E -1.08%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.18%E -2.63%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-14 22:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.65%E -1.08%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.18%E -2.63%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-14 22:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.65%E -1.08%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.38%E -3.43%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-14 23:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.65%E -1.08%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.99%E -3.84%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-14 11:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.65%E -1.08%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.99%E -3.84%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-14 11:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.65%E -1.08%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.59%E -4.25%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 21:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.65%E -1.08%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.59%E -4.25%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 21:04 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.73%EV -3.84%E -1.59%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.27%EV -7.79%E -5.09%K -14.70%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-14 23:03 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.64%E -1.93%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.78%E -3.03%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-14 21:24 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -4.64%E -1.93%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.79%E -5.09%K -14.70%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-14 22:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.62%E -2.82%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.99%E -3.84%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-14 23:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.61%E -3.74%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.57%E -2.23%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-14 23:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.61%E -3.74%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.57%E -2.23%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-14 23:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -8.61%E -3.74%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -4.18%E -2.63%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-14 23:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -8.61%E -3.74%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -5.99%E -3.84%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-14 23:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -9.41%E -4.13%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -3.57%E -2.23%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-14 23:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -9.41%E -4.13%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -3.57%E -2.23%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-14 23:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -10.60%E -4.71%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.57%E -2.23%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 23:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.60%E -4.71%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.38%E -3.43%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-14 23:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.60%E -4.71%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.38%E -3.43%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-14 23:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -12.58%E -5.72%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -5.38%E -3.43%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-14 23:09 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (6)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62% | 1.5% | 2026-08-14 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62% | 1.5% | 2026-08-14 23:10 |
| Novig◎ | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69% | 3.0% | 2026-08-14 23:09 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15% | 4.6% | 2026-08-14 23:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.97% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.03% | 7.8% | 2026-08-14 23:09 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.52% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.48% | 11.0% | 2026-08-14 23:00 |