Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Washington Commanders v Miami Dolphins

Inizio: 2026-08-14 23:11 UTC

Finale: Washington Commanders 20–7 Miami Dolphins

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

32 bookmaker (10 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Washington Commanders (Casa)

Previsione 39.73%2.52quota equa
EV +13.24%
Vantaggio +4.65%
Kelly +7.16%
Crescita +0.948%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.85

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
33.26%39.65%39.43%41.64%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.202.432.452.8545.45%41.12%40.82%35.09%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Miami Dolphins (Trasferta)

Previsione 60.27%1.66quota equa
EV -3.57%
Vantaggio -2.23%
Kelly -5.96%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
58.36%60.35%60.57%66.74%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.381.551.571.6072.46%64.43%63.69%62.50%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Washington Commanders (Casa): 39.73%; Miami Dolphins (Trasferta): 60.27%. Per Washington Commanders (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.52. 4 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 2.85, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +13.24%.

Quote dei bookmaker (32 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Unibet (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV +13.24%E +4.65%K +7.16%G +0.948%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -14.42%E -10.16%K -34.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 23:09
Bally Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV +11.26%E +4.02%K +6.25%G +0.704%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -15.63%E -11.16%K -39.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-14 23:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV +9.27%E +3.37%K +5.30%G +0.491%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.59%EV -16.83%E -12.20%K -44.30%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-14 23:10
BetMGM🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +1.32%E +0.518%K +0.853%G +0.011%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -7.79%E -5.09%K -14.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-14 23:08
BetAnything🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 38.48%EV -0.267%E -0.106%K -0.177%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.52%EV -5.38%E -3.43%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-14 21:19
Pinnacle🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 38.33%EV -0.267%E -0.106%K -0.177%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.67%EV -5.99%E -3.84%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-14 22:19
ReBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -0.665%E -0.266%K -0.443%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -11.41%E -7.76%K -24.27%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-14 23:08
LowVig.ag🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -1.06%E -0.426%K -0.713%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -4.18%E -2.63%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-14 22:54
BetOnline.ag🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -1.06%E -0.426%K -0.713%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -4.18%E -2.63%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-14 22:54
MyBookie.ag🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -1.06%E -0.426%K -0.713%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -7.19%E -4.67%K -13.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 23:00
BetUS🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 39.26%EV -2.25%E -0.916%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.74%EV -4.18%E -2.63%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-14 22:54
GTbets🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.65%E -1.08%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.18%E -2.63%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-14 22:59
Bovada🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.65%E -1.08%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.18%E -2.63%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-14 22:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.65%E -1.08%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.38%E -3.43%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-14 23:05
BetRivers🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.65%E -1.08%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.99%E -3.84%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-14 11:05
betPARX🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.65%E -1.08%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.99%E -3.84%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-14 11:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.65%E -1.08%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.59%E -4.25%K -11.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 21:04
Neds🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.65%E -1.08%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.59%E -4.25%K -11.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 21:04
Caesars🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.73%EV -3.84%E -1.59%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.27%EV -7.79%E -5.09%K -14.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 23:03
PlayUp🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.64%E -1.93%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.78%E -3.03%K -8.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 21:24
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -4.64%E -1.93%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.79%E -5.09%K -14.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-14 22:49
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.62%E -2.82%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.99%E -3.84%K -10.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 23:09
FanDuel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.61%E -3.74%K -6.62%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.57%E -2.23%K -5.96%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-14 23:10
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.61%E -3.74%K -6.62%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.57%E -2.23%K -5.96%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-14 23:09
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -8.61%E -3.74%K -6.62%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -4.18%E -2.63%K -7.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-14 23:10
Fliff🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -8.61%E -3.74%K -6.62%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -5.99%E -3.84%K -10.69%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-14 23:10
NordicBet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -9.41%E -4.13%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -3.57%E -2.23%K -5.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-14 23:09
Betsson🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -9.41%E -4.13%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -3.57%E -2.23%K -5.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-14 23:10
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -10.60%E -4.71%K -8.48%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.57%E -2.23%K -5.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 23:09
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.60%E -4.71%K -8.48%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.38%E -3.43%K -9.44%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-14 23:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.60%E -4.71%K -8.48%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.38%E -3.43%K -9.44%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-14 23:10
LeoVegas🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -12.58%E -5.72%K -10.49%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -5.38%E -3.43%K -9.44%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-14 23:09
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%1.5%2026-08-14 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%1.5%2026-08-14 23:10
Novig◎2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%3.0%2026-08-14 23:09
ProphetX◎2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%4.6%2026-08-14 23:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.38I 42.02%NM 38.97%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.03%7.8%2026-08-14 23:09
Matchbook◎2.28I 43.86%NM 39.52%1.49I 67.11%NM 60.48%11.0%2026-08-14 23:00