Washington Commanders v New York Giants

2026-10-11 17:00 — NFL

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis)

Option 1: Washington Commanders (Local)

Odds

1.6560.61%Min

1.6959.00%Mean

1.6959.00%Median

1.7457.47%Max

Consensus probabilities

55.15%1.813Min

57.69%1.733Max

56.42%1.772Mean

56.42%1.772Median

56.42%1.772IQM

56.33%1.775Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.74 under the IQM model: 56.42%

EV -1.82%Edge -1.05%Kelly -2.46%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: New York Giants (Visit)

Odds

2.1446.73%Min

2.2045.56%Mean

2.2045.56%Median

2.2544.44%Max

Consensus probabilities

42.31%2.364Min

44.85%2.230Max

43.58%2.295Mean

43.58%2.295Median

43.58%2.295IQM

43.67%2.290Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.25 under the IQM model: 43.58%

EV -1.95%Edge -0.868%Kelly -1.56%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Washington Commanders (Local) ▼	New York Giants (Visit)	Margin	Updated
DraftKings	1.74I 57.47% NM 55.15%EV -1.82% E -1.05% K -2.46% G +0.000%	2.14I 46.73% NM 44.85%EV -6.75% E -3.15% K -5.92% G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-06-16 16:20
Bet Right	1.70I 58.82% NM 56.19%EV -4.08% E -2.40% K -5.83% G +0.000%	2.18I 45.87% NM 43.81%EV -5.00% E -2.30% K -4.24% G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-05-26 02:11
Caesars	1.65I 60.61% NM 57.69%EV -6.90% E -4.18% K -10.62% G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44% NM 42.31%EV -1.95% E -0.868% K -1.56% G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-05-15 21:39

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth