Washington Commanders v New York Giants

2026-10-11 17:00 UTC — NFL

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Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

56%

44%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Washington Commanders (Local)

Prediction 55.98%1.79fair odd

EV -0.919%

Edge -0.519%

Kelly -1.19%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

54.26%55.98%55.98%57.69%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.651.711.711.7761%58%58%56%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

New York Giants (Visit)

Prediction 44.02%2.27fair odd

EV -0.950%

Edge -0.422%

Kelly -0.760%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

42.31%44.02%44.02%45.74%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

2.102.172.172.2548%46%46%44%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
DraftKings	1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -0.919%E -0.519%K -1.19%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -7.55%E -3.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-07-21 10:10
Caesars	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.64%E -4.63%K -11.75%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -0.950%E -0.422%K -0.760%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-05-15 21:39

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.