Language:English
Washington Commanders v New York Giants
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Washington Commanders (Local)
Prediction 61.82%1.62fair odd
EV -1.70%
Edge -1.07%
Kelly -2.88%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.59
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.30%61.88%61.88%63.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.541.541.5971.43%65.00%64.94%62.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
New York Giants (Visit)
Prediction 38.18%2.62fair odd
EV +1.17%
Edge +0.441%
Kelly +0.709%
Growth +0.008%
assuming max odds 2.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.12%38.12%38.12%39.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.232.502.502.6544.84%39.97%40.00%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Washington Commanders (Local): 61.82%; New York Giants (Visit): 38.18%. For New York Giants (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.62. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.65, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.17%.
Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -5.41%E -3.54%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV +1.17%E +0.441%K +0.709%G +0.008% | 3.1% | 2026-10-11 16:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -5.41%E -3.54%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV +1.17%E +0.441%K +0.709%G +0.008% | 3.1% | 2026-10-11 17:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -3.56%E -2.28%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -0.739%E -0.284%K -0.462%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-10-11 16:17 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -0.739%E -0.284%K -0.462%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-11 15:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -0.739%E -0.284%K -0.462%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-11 15:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -0.739%E -0.284%K -0.462%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-11 16:48 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -0.739%E -0.284%K -0.462%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-11 14:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.27%E -4.84%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.739%E -0.284%K -0.462%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.27%E -4.84%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.739%E -0.284%K -0.462%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.27%E -4.84%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.739%E -0.284%K -0.462%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.27%E -4.84%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.739%E -0.284%K -0.462%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -9.12%E -6.20%K -19.41%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -0.739%E -0.284%K -0.462%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-11 13:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32%EV -3.56%E -2.28%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68%EV -1.50%E -0.583%K -0.951%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-10-11 16:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.68%EV -5.41%E -3.54%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.32%EV -1.88%E -0.733%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-10 13:58 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.68%EV -5.41%E -3.54%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.32%EV -1.88%E -0.733%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-11 16:38 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.59%EV -1.70%E -1.07%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.41%EV -2.65%E -1.04%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-10-11 16:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.56%E -2.28%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.65%E -1.04%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-10-11 17:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.56%E -2.28%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.65%E -1.04%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-10-11 15:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.65%E -1.04%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-11 16:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.65%E -1.04%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-11 16:39 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.27%E -4.84%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.65%E -1.04%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-11 16:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -6.03%E -3.97%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -3.41%E -1.35%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-11 17:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -2.94%E -1.87%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -4.56%E -1.82%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-11 16:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -2.94%E -1.87%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -4.56%E -1.82%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-11 16:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.56%E -2.28%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.56%E -1.82%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-11 16:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.56%E -2.28%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.56%E -1.82%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-11 16:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.56%E -2.28%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.56%E -1.82%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-11 16:59 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.17%E -2.69%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.56%E -1.82%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-11 16:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.17%E -2.69%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.56%E -1.82%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-11 16:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.17%E -2.69%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.56%E -1.82%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-11 16:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.56%E -1.82%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-11 16:39 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.41%E -3.54%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.56%E -1.82%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-11 16:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.41%E -3.54%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.56%E -1.82%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-11 16:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -6.03%E -3.97%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.56%E -1.82%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-11 17:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -3.56%E -2.28%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -5.32%E -2.15%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-11 16:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.32%E -2.15%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-11 15:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.32%E -2.15%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-11 15:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.32%E -2.15%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-11 15:24 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.32%E -2.15%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-11 15:24 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -6.03%E -3.97%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -5.32%E -2.15%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-11 16:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -1.70%E -1.07%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -6.47%E -2.64%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-11 16:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -2.94%E -1.87%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -6.47%E -2.64%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-11 16:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -2.94%E -1.87%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -6.47%E -2.64%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-11 16:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.17%E -2.69%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.47%E -2.64%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-11 16:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.27%E -4.84%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.47%E -2.64%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-11 16:29 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.27%E -4.84%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.47%E -2.64%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-11 16:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -9.12%E -6.20%K -19.41%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -6.47%E -2.64%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-11 11:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.70%EV -2.32%E -1.47%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.30%EV -6.85%E -2.81%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-11 16:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -2.94%E -1.87%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -7.61%E -3.15%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-11 16:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -3.56%E -2.28%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -7.61%E -3.15%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-11 16:29 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.05%EV -8.50%E -5.74%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 37.95%EV -7.61%E -3.15%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-11 16:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -2.32%E -1.47%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -8.37%E -3.49%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-11 17:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.94%E -1.87%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.37%E -3.49%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-11 16:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.94%E -1.87%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.37%E -3.49%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-11 16:44 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.94%E -1.87%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.37%E -3.49%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-11 17:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.94%E -1.87%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.37%E -3.49%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-11 16:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.56%E -2.28%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.37%E -3.49%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-11 16:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.27%E -4.84%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.37%E -3.49%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-11 16:43 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 61.43%EV -13.45%E -9.61%K -33.62%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 38.57%EV -14.86%E -6.67%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-10-11 15:24 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.68% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 37.32% | 0.3% | 2026-10-11 17:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74% | 0.4% | 2026-10-11 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74% | 0.4% | 2026-10-11 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74% | 0.4% | 2026-10-11 16:59 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 0.5% | 2026-10-11 16:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59% | 0.8% | 2026-10-11 16:55 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 0.9% | 2026-10-11 16:14 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 0.9% | 2026-10-11 16:05 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.21% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.79% | 1.4% | 2026-10-11 16:59 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.20% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.80% | 1.8% | 2026-10-11 16:59 |