Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Washington Commanders v New York Giants

Inicio: 2026-10-11 17:02 UTC

Final: Washington Commanders 27–27 New York Giants

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (21 en el análisis )

62%

38%

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Washington Commanders (Local)

Predicción 61.82%1.62momio equitativo

EV -1.70%

Ventaja -1.07%

Kelly -2.88%

Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.59

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

60.30%61.88%61.88%63.88%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Distribución de los momios

1.401.541.541.5971.43%65.00%64.94%62.89%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

New York Giants (Visitante)

Predicción 38.18%2.62momio equitativo

EV +1.17%

Ventaja +0.441%

Kelly +0.709%

Crecimiento +0.008%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

36.12%38.12%38.12%39.70%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Distribución de los momios

2.232.502.502.6544.84%39.97%40.00%37.74%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Washington Commanders (Local): 61.82%; New York Giants (Visitante): 38.18%. Para New York Giants (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.62. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.65, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.17%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

Corredor	Local	Visitante ▼	Margen	Actualizado
LowVig.ag🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -5.41%E -3.54%K -10.21%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV +1.17%E +0.441%K +0.709%G +0.008%	3.1%	2026-10-11 16:59
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -5.41%E -3.54%K -10.21%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV +1.17%E +0.441%K +0.709%G +0.008%	3.1%	2026-10-11 17:00
Everygame🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -3.56%E -2.28%K -6.35%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -0.739%E -0.284%K -0.462%G +0.000%	2.6%	2026-10-11 16:17
ATG (SE)🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.88%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -0.739%E -0.284%K -0.462%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-10-11 15:25
Svenska Spel🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.88%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -0.739%E -0.284%K -0.462%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-10-11 15:24
Bovada🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.88%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -0.739%E -0.284%K -0.462%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-10-11 16:48
BetAnything🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.88%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -0.739%E -0.284%K -0.462%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-10-11 14:24
888sport🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.27%E -4.84%K -14.53%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.739%E -0.284%K -0.462%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-10-10 14:00
888sport (SE)🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.27%E -4.84%K -14.53%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.739%E -0.284%K -0.462%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-10-10 14:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.27%E -4.84%K -14.53%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.739%E -0.284%K -0.462%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-10-10 14:00
William Hill🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.27%E -4.84%K -14.53%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.739%E -0.284%K -0.462%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-10-10 14:01
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -9.12%E -6.20%K -19.41%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -0.739%E -0.284%K -0.462%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-10-11 13:40
Pinnacle🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32%EV -3.56%E -2.28%K -6.35%G +0.000%	2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68%EV -1.50%E -0.583%K -0.951%G +0.000%	2.9%	2026-10-11 16:05
Caesars🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.68%EV -5.41%E -3.54%K -10.21%G +0.000%	2.57I 38.91%NM 37.32%EV -1.88%E -0.733%K -1.20%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-10-10 13:58
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.68%EV -5.41%E -3.54%K -10.21%G +0.000%	2.57I 38.91%NM 37.32%EV -1.88%E -0.733%K -1.20%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-10-11 16:38
Coolbet🎯	1.59I 62.89%NM 61.59%EV -1.70%E -1.07%K -2.88%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 38.41%EV -2.65%E -1.04%K -1.71%G +0.000%	2.1%	2026-10-11 16:34
Betway🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.56%E -2.28%K -6.35%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.65%E -1.04%K -1.71%G +0.000%	3.3%	2026-10-11 17:00
BetUS🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.56%E -2.28%K -6.35%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.65%E -1.04%K -1.71%G +0.000%	3.3%	2026-10-11 15:54
GTbets🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.88%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.65%E -1.04%K -1.71%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-10-11 16:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.88%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.65%E -1.04%K -1.71%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-10-11 16:39
Fliff🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.27%E -4.84%K -14.53%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.65%E -1.04%K -1.71%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-10-11 16:59
NordicBet🎯	1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -6.03%E -3.97%K -11.59%G +0.000%	2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -3.41%E -1.35%K -2.23%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-11 17:00
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -2.94%E -1.87%K -5.15%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -4.56%E -1.82%K -3.04%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-10-11 16:59
Unibet (NL)🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -2.94%E -1.87%K -5.15%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -4.56%E -1.82%K -3.04%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-10-11 16:59
DraftKings🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.56%E -2.28%K -6.35%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.56%E -1.82%K -3.04%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-10-11 16:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.56%E -2.28%K -6.35%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.56%E -1.82%K -3.04%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-10-11 16:29
Fanatics🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.56%E -2.28%K -6.35%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.56%E -1.82%K -3.04%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-10-11 16:59
Dabble (AU)🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.17%E -2.69%K -7.59%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.56%E -1.82%K -3.04%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-10-11 16:29
Coral🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.17%E -2.69%K -7.59%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.56%E -1.82%K -3.04%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-10-11 16:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.17%E -2.69%K -7.59%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.56%E -1.82%K -3.04%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-10-11 16:39
BetMGM🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.88%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.56%E -1.82%K -3.04%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-10-11 16:39
betfred_uk🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.41%E -3.54%K -10.21%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.56%E -1.82%K -3.04%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-10-11 16:35
Betsson🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.41%E -3.54%K -10.21%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.56%E -1.82%K -3.04%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-10-11 16:40
PlayUp🎯	1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -6.03%E -3.97%K -11.59%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.56%E -1.82%K -3.04%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-10-11 17:00
betPARX🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -3.56%E -2.28%K -6.35%G +0.000%	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -5.32%E -2.15%K -3.60%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-10-11 16:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.88%G +0.000%	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.32%E -2.15%K -3.60%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-11 15:24
BetRivers🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.88%G +0.000%	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.32%E -2.15%K -3.60%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-11 15:24
Unibet🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.88%G +0.000%	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.32%E -2.15%K -3.60%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-11 15:24
Bally Bet🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.88%G +0.000%	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.32%E -2.15%K -3.60%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-11 15:24
Codere (IT)🎯	1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -6.03%E -3.97%K -11.59%G +0.000%	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -5.32%E -2.15%K -3.60%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-10-11 16:39
theScore Bet🎯	1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -1.70%E -1.07%K -2.88%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -6.47%E -2.64%K -4.46%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-10-11 16:29
Neds🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -2.94%E -1.87%K -5.15%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -6.47%E -2.64%K -4.46%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-10-11 16:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -2.94%E -1.87%K -5.15%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -6.47%E -2.64%K -4.46%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-10-11 16:39
TAB🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.17%E -2.69%K -7.59%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.47%E -2.64%K -4.46%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-11 16:30
Bet Victor🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.27%E -4.84%K -14.53%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.47%E -2.64%K -4.46%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-10-11 16:29
betano_uk🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.27%E -4.84%K -14.53%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.47%E -2.64%K -4.46%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-10-11 16:29
LeoVegas🎯	1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -9.12%E -6.20%K -19.41%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -6.47%E -2.64%K -4.46%G +0.000%	8.8%	2026-10-11 11:59
FanDuel🎯	1.58I 63.29%NM 60.70%EV -2.32%E -1.47%K -4.00%G +0.000%	2.44I 40.98%NM 39.30%EV -6.85%E -2.81%K -4.76%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-10-11 16:45
SportsBet🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -2.94%E -1.87%K -5.15%G +0.000%	2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -7.61%E -3.15%K -5.36%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-10-11 16:44
Bet Right🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -3.56%E -2.28%K -6.35%G +0.000%	2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -7.61%E -3.15%K -5.36%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-10-11 16:29
NetBet (FR)🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 62.05%EV -8.50%E -5.74%K -17.71%G +0.000%	2.42I 41.32%NM 37.95%EV -7.61%E -3.15%K -5.36%G +0.000%	8.9%	2026-10-11 16:39
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -2.32%E -1.47%K -4.00%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -8.37%E -3.49%K -5.98%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-10-11 17:00
Betr (AU)🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.94%E -1.87%K -5.15%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.37%E -3.49%K -5.98%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-10-11 16:34
Paddy Power🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.94%E -1.87%K -5.15%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.37%E -3.49%K -5.98%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-10-11 16:44
ReBet🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.94%E -1.87%K -5.15%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.37%E -3.49%K -5.98%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-10-11 17:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.94%E -1.87%K -5.15%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.37%E -3.49%K -5.98%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-10-11 16:44
Marathon Bet🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.56%E -2.28%K -6.35%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.37%E -3.49%K -5.98%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-10-11 16:50
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.27%E -4.84%K -14.53%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.37%E -3.49%K -5.98%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-10-11 16:43
PMU (FR)🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 61.43%EV -13.45%E -9.61%K -33.62%G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84%NM 38.57%EV -14.86%E -6.67%K -12.09%G +0.000%	16.3%	2026-10-11 15:24

Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

Corredor	Local	Visitante	Margen ▲	Actualizado
Novig◎	1.59I 62.89%NM 62.68%	2.67I 37.45%NM 37.32%	0.3%	2026-10-11 17:00
Matchbook◎	1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26%	2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%	0.4%	2026-10-11 17:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26%	2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%	0.4%	2026-10-11 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26%	2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%	0.4%	2026-10-11 16:59
ProphetX◎	1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%	2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%	0.5%	2026-10-11 16:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41%	2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59%	0.8%	2026-10-11 16:55
Polymarket◎	1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%	2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%	0.9%	2026-10-11 16:14
Kalshi◎	1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%	2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%	0.9%	2026-10-11 16:05
BetOpenly◎	1.56I 64.10%NM 63.21%	2.68I 37.31%NM 36.79%	1.4%	2026-10-11 16:59
Smarkets◎	1.58I 63.29%NM 62.20%	2.60I 38.46%NM 37.80%	1.8%	2026-10-11 16:59