Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Washington Commanders v New York Giants

Início: 2026-10-11 17:02 UTC

Final: Washington Commanders 27–27 New York Giants

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

59 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Washington Commanders (Local)

Previsão 61.82%1.62odd justa
EV -1.70%
Vantagem -1.07%
Kelly -2.88%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.59

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
60.30%61.88%61.88%63.88%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.401.541.541.5971.43%65.00%64.94%62.89%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

New York Giants (Visitante)

Previsão 38.18%2.62odd justa
EV +1.17%
Vantagem +0.441%
Kelly +0.709%
Crescimento +0.008%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.65

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
36.12%38.12%38.12%39.70%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.232.502.502.6544.84%39.97%40.00%37.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Washington Commanders (Local): 61.82%; New York Giants (Visitante): 38.18%. Para New York Giants (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.62. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.65, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.17%.

Odds das casas de apostas (59 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
LowVig.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -5.41%E -3.54%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV +1.17%E +0.441%K +0.709%G +0.008%3.1%2026-10-11 16:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -5.41%E -3.54%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV +1.17%E +0.441%K +0.709%G +0.008%3.1%2026-10-11 17:00
Everygame🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -3.56%E -2.28%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -0.739%E -0.284%K -0.462%G +0.000%2.6%2026-10-11 16:17
ATG (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -0.739%E -0.284%K -0.462%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-11 15:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -0.739%E -0.284%K -0.462%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-11 15:24
Bovada🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -0.739%E -0.284%K -0.462%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-11 16:48
BetAnything🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -0.739%E -0.284%K -0.462%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-11 14:24
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.27%E -4.84%K -14.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.739%E -0.284%K -0.462%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-10 14:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.27%E -4.84%K -14.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.739%E -0.284%K -0.462%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-10 14:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.27%E -4.84%K -14.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.739%E -0.284%K -0.462%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-10 14:00
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.27%E -4.84%K -14.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.739%E -0.284%K -0.462%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-10 14:01
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -9.12%E -6.20%K -19.41%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -0.739%E -0.284%K -0.462%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-11 13:40
Pinnacle🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32%EV -3.56%E -2.28%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68%EV -1.50%E -0.583%K -0.951%G +0.000%2.9%2026-10-11 16:05
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.68%EV -5.41%E -3.54%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.32%EV -1.88%E -0.733%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-10 13:58
MyBookie.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.68%EV -5.41%E -3.54%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.32%EV -1.88%E -0.733%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-11 16:38
Coolbet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.59%EV -1.70%E -1.07%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.41%EV -2.65%E -1.04%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.1%2026-10-11 16:34
Betway🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.56%E -2.28%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.65%E -1.04%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-11 17:00
BetUS🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.56%E -2.28%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.65%E -1.04%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-11 15:54
GTbets🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.65%E -1.04%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-11 16:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.65%E -1.04%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-11 16:39
Fliff🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.27%E -4.84%K -14.53%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.65%E -1.04%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-11 16:59
NordicBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -6.03%E -3.97%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -3.41%E -1.35%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-11 17:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -2.94%E -1.87%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -4.56%E -1.82%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-11 16:59
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -2.94%E -1.87%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -4.56%E -1.82%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-11 16:59
DraftKings🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.56%E -2.28%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.56%E -1.82%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-11 16:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.56%E -2.28%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.56%E -1.82%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-11 16:29
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.56%E -2.28%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.56%E -1.82%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-11 16:59
Dabble (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.17%E -2.69%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.56%E -1.82%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-11 16:29
Coral🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.17%E -2.69%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.56%E -1.82%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-11 16:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.17%E -2.69%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.56%E -1.82%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-11 16:39
BetMGM🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.56%E -1.82%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-11 16:39
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.41%E -3.54%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.56%E -1.82%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-11 16:35
Betsson🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.41%E -3.54%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.56%E -1.82%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-11 16:40
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -6.03%E -3.97%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.56%E -1.82%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-11 17:00
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -3.56%E -2.28%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -5.32%E -2.15%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-11 16:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.32%E -2.15%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-11 15:24
BetRivers🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.32%E -2.15%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-11 15:24
Unibet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.32%E -2.15%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-11 15:24
Bally Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.32%E -2.15%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-11 15:24
Codere (IT)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -6.03%E -3.97%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -5.32%E -2.15%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-11 16:39
theScore Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -1.70%E -1.07%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -6.47%E -2.64%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-11 16:29
Neds🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -2.94%E -1.87%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -6.47%E -2.64%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-11 16:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -2.94%E -1.87%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -6.47%E -2.64%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-11 16:39
TAB🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.17%E -2.69%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.47%E -2.64%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-11 16:30
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.27%E -4.84%K -14.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.47%E -2.64%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-11 16:29
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.27%E -4.84%K -14.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.47%E -2.64%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-11 16:29
LeoVegas🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -9.12%E -6.20%K -19.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -6.47%E -2.64%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-11 11:59
FanDuel🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.70%EV -2.32%E -1.47%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.30%EV -6.85%E -2.81%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-11 16:45
SportsBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -2.94%E -1.87%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -7.61%E -3.15%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-11 16:44
Bet Right🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -3.56%E -2.28%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -7.61%E -3.15%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-11 16:29
NetBet (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.05%EV -8.50%E -5.74%K -17.71%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.95%EV -7.61%E -3.15%K -5.36%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-11 16:39
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -2.32%E -1.47%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -8.37%E -3.49%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-11 17:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.94%E -1.87%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.37%E -3.49%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-11 16:34
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.94%E -1.87%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.37%E -3.49%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-11 16:44
ReBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.94%E -1.87%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.37%E -3.49%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-11 17:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.94%E -1.87%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.37%E -3.49%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-11 16:44
Marathon Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.56%E -2.28%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.37%E -3.49%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-11 16:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.27%E -4.84%K -14.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.37%E -3.49%K -5.98%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-11 16:43
PMU (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 61.43%EV -13.45%E -9.61%K -33.62%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 38.57%EV -14.86%E -6.67%K -12.09%G +0.000%16.3%2026-10-11 15:24
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.68%2.67I 37.45%NM 37.32%0.3%2026-10-11 17:00
Matchbook◎1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%0.4%2026-10-11 17:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%0.4%2026-10-11 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%0.4%2026-10-11 16:59
ProphetX◎1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%0.5%2026-10-11 16:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59%0.8%2026-10-11 16:55
Polymarket◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-10-11 16:14
Kalshi◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-10-11 16:05
BetOpenly◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.21%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.79%1.4%2026-10-11 16:59
Smarkets◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.20%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.80%1.8%2026-10-11 16:59