Language:English
San Francisco 49ers v Miami Dolphins
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
San Francisco 49ers (Local)
Prediction 86.50%1.16fair odd
EV +1.20%
Edge +1.03%
Kelly +7.07%
Growth +0.085%
assuming max odds 1.17
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
81.78%86.33%86.42%88.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.021.101.101.1798.04%90.92%90.91%85.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Miami Dolphins (Visit)
Prediction 13.50%7.41fair odd
EV +13.43%
Edge +1.60%
Kelly +1.81%
Growth +0.244%
assuming max odds 8.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.67%13.67%13.58%18.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.257.167.108.4019.05%13.97%14.08%11.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Francisco 49ers (Local): 86.50%; Miami Dolphins (Visit): 13.50%. For Miami Dolphins (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.41. 24 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +13.43%.
Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 88.33%EV -3.99%E -3.59%K -36.26%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.67%EV +13.43%E +1.60%K +1.81%G +0.244% | 2.0% | 2026-09-20 14:04 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.19%EV -5.72%E -5.25%K -63.54%G +0.000% | 8.14I 12.29%NM 11.81%EV +9.91%E +1.22%K +1.39%G +0.138% | 4.0% | 2026-09-20 20:23 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -5.72%E -5.25%K -63.54%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +8.02%E +1.00%K +1.15%G +0.092% | 4.2% | 2026-09-20 20:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.58%E -6.10%K -82.29%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +8.02%E +1.00%K +1.15%G +0.092% | 5.1% | 2026-09-20 20:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.58%E -6.10%K -82.29%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +8.02%E +1.00%K +1.15%G +0.092% | 5.1% | 2026-09-20 12:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.80%EV -4.85%E -4.41%K -48.53%G +0.000% | 7.92I 12.63%NM 12.20%EV +6.94%E +0.877%K +1.00%G +0.070% | 3.5% | 2026-09-20 20:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.72%EV -4.85%E -4.41%K -48.53%G +0.000% | 7.86I 12.72%NM 12.28%EV +6.13%E +0.780%K +0.894%G +0.055% | 3.6% | 2026-09-17 12:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.72%EV -4.85%E -4.41%K -48.53%G +0.000% | 7.86I 12.72%NM 12.28%EV +6.13%E +0.780%K +0.894%G +0.055% | 3.6% | 2026-09-17 12:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.57%EV -4.85%E -4.41%K -48.53%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.43%EV +4.65%E +0.600%K +0.689%G +0.032% | 3.8% | 2026-09-20 20:24 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.18%EV -3.99%E -3.59%K -36.26%G +0.000% | 7.55I 13.25%NM 12.82%EV +1.95%E +0.258%K +0.297%G +0.006% | 3.3% | 2026-09-20 20:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.11%EV -3.99%E -3.59%K -36.26%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.89%EV +1.27%E +0.170%K +0.196%G +0.002% | 3.4% | 2026-09-20 15:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.11%EV -3.99%E -3.59%K -36.26%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.89%EV +1.27%E +0.170%K +0.196%G +0.002% | 3.4% | 2026-09-20 15:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.11%EV -3.99%E -3.59%K -36.26%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.89%EV +1.27%E +0.170%K +0.196%G +0.002% | 3.4% | 2026-09-20 15:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.11%EV -3.99%E -3.59%K -36.26%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.89%EV +1.27%E +0.170%K +0.196%G +0.002% | 3.4% | 2026-09-20 15:24 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.11%EV -3.99%E -3.59%K -36.26%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.89%EV +1.27%E +0.170%K +0.196%G +0.002% | 3.4% | 2026-09-20 20:23 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.85%E -4.41%K -48.53%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +1.27%E +0.170%K +0.196%G +0.002% | 4.2% | 2026-09-20 19:49 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.85%E -4.41%K -48.53%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +1.27%E +0.170%K +0.196%G +0.002% | 4.2% | 2026-09-14 16:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.85%E -4.41%K -48.53%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +1.27%E +0.170%K +0.196%G +0.002% | 4.2% | 2026-09-20 14:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.72%E -5.25%K -63.54%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +1.27%E +0.170%K +0.196%G +0.002% | 5.1% | 2026-09-20 20:24 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.72%E -5.25%K -63.54%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +1.27%E +0.170%K +0.196%G +0.002% | 5.1% | 2026-09-19 21:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.72%E -5.25%K -63.54%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +1.27%E +0.170%K +0.196%G +0.002% | 5.1% | 2026-09-20 20:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.72%E -5.25%K -63.54%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +1.27%E +0.170%K +0.196%G +0.002% | 5.1% | 2026-09-20 20:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.28%EV -5.72%E -5.25%K -63.54%G +0.000% | 7.48I 13.37%NM 12.72%EV +1.00%E +0.134%K +0.155%G +0.002% | 5.1% | 2026-09-20 20:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.28%EV -5.72%E -5.25%K -63.54%G +0.000% | 7.48I 13.37%NM 12.72%EV +1.00%E +0.134%K +0.155%G +0.002% | 5.1% | 2026-09-20 20:24 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.85%EV -3.12%E -2.79%K -26.03%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.15%EV -0.078%E -0.011%K -0.012%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-20 20:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.16%EV -5.72%E -5.25%K -63.54%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.84%EV -0.078%E -0.011%K -0.012%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-20 20:24 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.80%EV -3.99%E -3.59%K -36.26%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 13.20%EV -1.43%E -0.196%K -0.227%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-20 20:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.96%EV -6.58%E -6.10%K -82.29%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.04%EV -2.78%E -0.386%K -0.448%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-20 13:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -3.12%E -2.79%K -26.03%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV -5.48%E -0.783%K -0.913%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-20 20:24 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.99%E -3.59%K -36.26%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -5.48%E -0.783%K -0.913%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-20 20:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.85%E -4.41%K -48.53%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.48%E -0.783%K -0.913%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-20 17:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.85%E -4.41%K -48.53%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.48%E -0.783%K -0.913%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-16 20:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.85%E -4.41%K -48.53%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.48%E -0.783%K -0.913%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-20 14:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.85%E -4.41%K -48.53%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.48%E -0.783%K -0.913%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-20 14:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.85%E -4.41%K -48.53%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.48%E -0.783%K -0.913%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-20 14:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.85%E -4.41%K -48.53%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.48%E -0.783%K -0.913%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-20 14:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.72%E -5.25%K -63.54%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -5.48%E -0.783%K -0.913%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-20 20:24 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.72%E -5.25%K -63.54%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -5.48%E -0.783%K -0.913%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-19 19:58 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.72%E -5.25%K -63.54%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -5.48%E -0.783%K -0.913%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-19 20:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.58%E -6.10%K -82.29%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -5.48%E -0.783%K -0.913%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-20 20:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.58%E -6.10%K -82.29%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -5.48%E -0.783%K -0.913%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-20 20:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -3.12%E -2.79%K -26.03%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -8.85%E -1.31%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-20 20:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.99%E -3.59%K -36.26%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -8.85%E -1.31%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-20 19:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.99%E -3.59%K -36.26%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -8.85%E -1.31%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-20 15:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.99%E -3.59%K -36.26%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -8.85%E -1.31%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-20 15:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.99%E -3.59%K -36.26%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -8.85%E -1.31%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-20 15:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.99%E -3.59%K -36.26%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -8.85%E -1.31%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-20 15:24 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.99%E -3.59%K -36.26%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -8.85%E -1.31%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-20 15:23 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.90%EV -4.85%E -4.41%K -48.53%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.10%EV -9.53%E -1.42%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-20 20:24 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.71%EV -4.85%E -4.41%K -48.53%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.29%EV -10.88%E -1.65%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-20 19:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -3.12%E -2.79%K -26.03%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -12.23%E -1.88%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-20 20:24 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.58%E -6.10%K -82.29%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -12.23%E -1.88%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-20 20:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.59%EV -3.12%E -2.79%K -26.03%G +0.000% | 6.15I 16.26%NM 15.41%EV -16.96%E -2.76%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-20 20:24 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.06%EV -5.72%E -5.25%K -63.54%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.94%EV -22.36%E -3.89%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-20 20:23 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 84.36%EV -11.77%E -11.54%K -588.65%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.64%EV -25.73%E -4.68%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-09-20 15:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV +1.20%E +1.03%K +7.07%G +0.085% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -29.11%E -5.54%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-20 20:24 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 88.50% | 8.70I 11.49%NM 11.50% | -0.0% | 2026-09-20 20:24 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 89.19% | 9.24I 10.82%NM 10.81% | 0.1% | 2026-09-20 20:24 |
| Novig◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 89.03% | 9.09I 11.00%NM 10.97% | 0.3% | 2026-09-20 20:17 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.93% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 11.07% | 0.4% | 2026-09-20 20:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.93% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 11.07% | 0.4% | 2026-09-20 20:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.93% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 11.07% | 0.4% | 2026-09-20 20:24 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.12% | 9.09I 11.00%NM 10.88% | 1.1% | 2026-09-20 20:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.02% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.98% | 1.2% | 2026-09-20 20:24 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.15% | 8.33I 12.00%NM 11.85% | 1.3% | 2026-09-20 20:09 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 89.11% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.89% | 2.0% | 2026-09-20 20:24 |