San Francisco 49ers v Miami Dolphins

2026-09-20 20:25 — NFL

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis)

Option 1: San Francisco 49ers (Local)

Odds

1.1785.47%Min

1.1785.11%Mean

1.1785.11%Median

1.1884.75%Max

Consensus probabilities

80.91%1.236Min

82.19%1.217Max

81.55%1.226Mean

81.55%1.226Median

81.55%1.226IQM

81.59%1.226Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.18 under the IQM model: 81.55%

EV -3.77%Edge -3.20%Kelly -20.96%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Miami Dolphins (Visit)

Odds

5.0020.00%Min

5.2019.23%Mean

5.2019.23%Median

5.4018.52%Max

Consensus probabilities

17.81%5.615Min

19.09%5.237Max

18.45%5.420Mean

18.45%5.420Median

18.45%5.420IQM

18.41%5.433Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 5.40 under the IQM model: 18.45%

EV -0.364%Edge -0.067%Kelly -0.083%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	San Francisco 49ers (Local) ▼	Miami Dolphins (Visit)	Margin	Updated
Caesars	1.18I 84.75% NM 80.91%EV -3.77% E -3.20% K -20.96% G +0.000%	5.00I 20.00% NM 19.09%EV -7.74% E -1.55% K -1.94% G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-05-15 01:33
Bet Right	1.18I 84.75% NM 80.91%EV -3.77% E -3.20% K -20.96% G +0.000%	5.00I 20.00% NM 19.09%EV -7.74% E -1.55% K -1.94% G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-05-26 02:11
DraftKings	1.17I 85.47% NM 82.19%EV -4.59% E -3.92% K -26.99% G +0.000%	5.40I 18.52% NM 17.81%EV -0.364% E -0.067% K -0.083% G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-06-30 09:59

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth