Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

San Francisco 49ers v Miami Dolphins

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-20 20:26 UTC

Score final : San Francisco 49ers 35–13 Miami Dolphins

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

San Francisco 49ers (Local)

Prévision 86.50%1.16cote équitable
EV +1.20%
Avantage +1.03%
Kelly +7.07%
Croissance +0.085%

avec la cote maximale 1.17

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
81.78%86.33%86.42%88.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.021.101.101.1798.04%90.92%90.91%85.47%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Miami Dolphins (Visiteur)

Prévision 13.50%7.41cote équitable
EV +13.43%
Avantage +1.60%
Kelly +1.81%
Croissance +0.244%

avec la cote maximale 8.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.67%13.67%13.58%18.22%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.257.167.108.4019.05%13.97%14.08%11.90%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : San Francisco 49ers (Local) : 86.50% ; Miami Dolphins (Visiteur) : 13.50%. Pour Miami Dolphins (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 7.41. 24 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 8.40, soit une espérance positive de +13.43%.

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Coolbet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 88.33%EV -3.99%E -3.59%K -36.26%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.67%EV +13.43%E +1.60%K +1.81%G +0.244%2.0%2026-09-20 14:04
MyBookie.ag🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.19%EV -5.72%E -5.25%K -63.54%G +0.000%8.14I 12.29%NM 11.81%EV +9.91%E +1.22%K +1.39%G +0.138%4.0%2026-09-20 20:23
FanDuel🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -5.72%E -5.25%K -63.54%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +8.02%E +1.00%K +1.15%G +0.092%4.2%2026-09-20 20:19
SportsBet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.58%E -6.10%K -82.29%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +8.02%E +1.00%K +1.15%G +0.092%5.1%2026-09-20 20:24
Bovada🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.58%E -6.10%K -82.29%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +8.02%E +1.00%K +1.15%G +0.092%5.1%2026-09-20 12:54
Pinnacle🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.80%EV -4.85%E -4.41%K -48.53%G +0.000%7.92I 12.63%NM 12.20%EV +6.94%E +0.877%K +1.00%G +0.070%3.5%2026-09-20 20:24
LowVig.ag🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.72%EV -4.85%E -4.41%K -48.53%G +0.000%7.86I 12.72%NM 12.28%EV +6.13%E +0.780%K +0.894%G +0.055%3.6%2026-09-17 12:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.72%EV -4.85%E -4.41%K -48.53%G +0.000%7.86I 12.72%NM 12.28%EV +6.13%E +0.780%K +0.894%G +0.055%3.6%2026-09-17 12:55
BetMGM🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.57%EV -4.85%E -4.41%K -48.53%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.43%EV +4.65%E +0.600%K +0.689%G +0.032%3.8%2026-09-20 20:24
GTbets🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 87.18%EV -3.99%E -3.59%K -36.26%G +0.000%7.55I 13.25%NM 12.82%EV +1.95%E +0.258%K +0.297%G +0.006%3.3%2026-09-20 20:24
Unibet (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 87.11%EV -3.99%E -3.59%K -36.26%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.89%EV +1.27%E +0.170%K +0.196%G +0.002%3.4%2026-09-20 15:24
Unibet (NL)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 87.11%EV -3.99%E -3.59%K -36.26%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.89%EV +1.27%E +0.170%K +0.196%G +0.002%3.4%2026-09-20 15:24
ATG (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 87.11%EV -3.99%E -3.59%K -36.26%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.89%EV +1.27%E +0.170%K +0.196%G +0.002%3.4%2026-09-20 15:24
Svenska Spel🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 87.11%EV -3.99%E -3.59%K -36.26%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.89%EV +1.27%E +0.170%K +0.196%G +0.002%3.4%2026-09-20 15:24
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 87.11%EV -3.99%E -3.59%K -36.26%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.89%EV +1.27%E +0.170%K +0.196%G +0.002%3.4%2026-09-20 20:23
BetAnything🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.85%E -4.41%K -48.53%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +1.27%E +0.170%K +0.196%G +0.002%4.2%2026-09-20 19:49
Everygame🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.85%E -4.41%K -48.53%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +1.27%E +0.170%K +0.196%G +0.002%4.2%2026-09-14 16:15
Fanatics🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.85%E -4.41%K -48.53%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +1.27%E +0.170%K +0.196%G +0.002%4.2%2026-09-20 14:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.72%E -5.25%K -63.54%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +1.27%E +0.170%K +0.196%G +0.002%5.1%2026-09-20 20:24
betfred_uk🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.72%E -5.25%K -63.54%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +1.27%E +0.170%K +0.196%G +0.002%5.1%2026-09-19 21:39
Neds🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.72%E -5.25%K -63.54%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +1.27%E +0.170%K +0.196%G +0.002%5.1%2026-09-20 20:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.72%E -5.25%K -63.54%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +1.27%E +0.170%K +0.196%G +0.002%5.1%2026-09-20 20:24
NordicBet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.28%EV -5.72%E -5.25%K -63.54%G +0.000%7.48I 13.37%NM 12.72%EV +1.00%E +0.134%K +0.155%G +0.002%5.1%2026-09-20 20:24
Betsson🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.28%EV -5.72%E -5.25%K -63.54%G +0.000%7.48I 13.37%NM 12.72%EV +1.00%E +0.134%K +0.155%G +0.002%5.1%2026-09-20 20:24
ReBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 86.85%EV -3.12%E -2.79%K -26.03%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.15%EV -0.078%E -0.011%K -0.012%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-20 20:19
LeoVegas🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.16%EV -5.72%E -5.25%K -63.54%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.84%EV -0.078%E -0.011%K -0.012%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-20 20:24
BetUS🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.80%EV -3.99%E -3.59%K -36.26%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 13.20%EV -1.43%E -0.196%K -0.227%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-20 20:19
Tipico (DE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.96%EV -6.58%E -6.10%K -82.29%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.04%EV -2.78%E -0.386%K -0.448%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-20 13:54
Betway🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -3.12%E -2.79%K -26.03%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV -5.48%E -0.783%K -0.913%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-20 20:24
Dabble (AU)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.99%E -3.59%K -36.26%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -5.48%E -0.783%K -0.913%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-20 20:24
Paddy Power🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.85%E -4.41%K -48.53%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.48%E -0.783%K -0.913%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-20 17:59
TAB🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.85%E -4.41%K -48.53%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.48%E -0.783%K -0.913%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-16 20:40
888sport🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.85%E -4.41%K -48.53%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.48%E -0.783%K -0.913%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-20 14:19
William Hill🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.85%E -4.41%K -48.53%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.48%E -0.783%K -0.913%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-20 14:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.85%E -4.41%K -48.53%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.48%E -0.783%K -0.913%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-20 14:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.85%E -4.41%K -48.53%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.48%E -0.783%K -0.913%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-20 14:19
PlayUp🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.72%E -5.25%K -63.54%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -5.48%E -0.783%K -0.913%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-20 20:24
betano_uk🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.72%E -5.25%K -63.54%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -5.48%E -0.783%K -0.913%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-19 19:58
Bet Victor🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.72%E -5.25%K -63.54%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -5.48%E -0.783%K -0.913%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-19 20:04
Coral🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.58%E -6.10%K -82.29%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -5.48%E -0.783%K -0.913%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-20 20:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.58%E -6.10%K -82.29%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -5.48%E -0.783%K -0.913%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-20 20:24
DraftKings🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -3.12%E -2.79%K -26.03%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -8.85%E -1.31%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-20 20:09
Bet Right🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.99%E -3.59%K -36.26%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -8.85%E -1.31%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-20 19:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.99%E -3.59%K -36.26%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -8.85%E -1.31%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-20 15:24
BetRivers🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.99%E -3.59%K -36.26%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -8.85%E -1.31%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-20 15:24
Unibet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.99%E -3.59%K -36.26%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -8.85%E -1.31%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-20 15:24
betPARX🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.99%E -3.59%K -36.26%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -8.85%E -1.31%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-20 15:24
Bally Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.99%E -3.59%K -36.26%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -8.85%E -1.31%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-20 15:23
Marathon Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.90%EV -4.85%E -4.41%K -48.53%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.10%EV -9.53%E -1.42%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-20 20:24
Codere (IT)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.71%EV -4.85%E -4.41%K -48.53%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.29%EV -10.88%E -1.65%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-20 19:54
Unibet (UK)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -3.12%E -2.79%K -26.03%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -12.23%E -1.88%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-20 20:24
Caesars🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.58%E -6.10%K -82.29%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -12.23%E -1.88%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-20 20:10
Fliff🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.59%EV -3.12%E -2.79%K -26.03%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.41%EV -16.96%E -2.76%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-20 20:24
Betclic (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 84.06%EV -5.72%E -5.25%K -63.54%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.94%EV -22.36%E -3.89%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-20 20:23
PMU (FR)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 84.36%EV -11.77%E -11.54%K -588.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.64%EV -25.73%E -4.68%K -5.72%G +0.000%16.2%2026-09-20 15:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV +1.20%E +1.03%K +7.07%G +0.085%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -29.11%E -5.54%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-20 20:24
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
ProphetX◎1.13I 88.50%NM 88.50%8.70I 11.49%NM 11.50%-0.0%2026-09-20 20:24
BetOpenly◎1.12I 89.29%NM 89.19%9.24I 10.82%NM 10.81%0.1%2026-09-20 20:24
Novig◎1.12I 89.29%NM 89.03%9.09I 11.00%NM 10.97%0.3%2026-09-20 20:17
Matchbook◎1.12I 89.29%NM 88.93%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.07%0.4%2026-09-20 20:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.12I 89.29%NM 88.93%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.07%0.4%2026-09-20 20:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.12I 89.29%NM 88.93%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.07%0.4%2026-09-20 20:24
Polymarket◎1.11I 90.09%NM 89.12%9.09I 11.00%NM 10.88%1.1%2026-09-20 20:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.11I 90.09%NM 89.02%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.98%1.2%2026-09-20 20:24
Kalshi◎1.12I 89.29%NM 88.15%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.85%1.3%2026-09-20 20:09
Smarkets◎1.10I 90.91%NM 89.11%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.89%2.0%2026-09-20 20:24