StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

San Francisco 49ers v Miami Dolphins

Spielbeginn: 2026-09-20 20:26 UTC

Endstand: San Francisco 49ers 35–13 Miami Dolphins

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

56 Wettanbieter (19 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

San Francisco 49ers (Heim)

Prognose 86.50%1.16faire Quote
EV +1.20%
Vorteil +1.03%
Kelly +7.07%
Wachstum +0.085%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.17

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
81.78%86.33%86.42%88.33%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.021.101.101.1798.04%90.92%90.91%85.47%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Miami Dolphins (Auswärts)

Prognose 13.50%7.41faire Quote
EV +13.43%
Vorteil +1.60%
Kelly +1.81%
Wachstum +0.244%

bei einer Höchstquote von 8.40

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
11.67%13.67%13.58%18.22%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
5.257.167.108.4019.05%13.97%14.08%11.90%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: San Francisco 49ers (Heim): 86.50%; Miami Dolphins (Auswärts): 13.50%. Für Miami Dolphins (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 7.41. 24 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 8.40 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +13.43%.

Wettanbieterquoten (56 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
Coolbet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 88.33%EV -3.99%E -3.59%K -36.26%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.67%EV +13.43%E +1.60%K +1.81%G +0.244%2.0%2026-09-20 14:04
MyBookie.ag🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.19%EV -5.72%E -5.25%K -63.54%G +0.000%8.14I 12.29%NM 11.81%EV +9.91%E +1.22%K +1.39%G +0.138%4.0%2026-09-20 20:23
FanDuel🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -5.72%E -5.25%K -63.54%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +8.02%E +1.00%K +1.15%G +0.092%4.2%2026-09-20 20:19
SportsBet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.58%E -6.10%K -82.29%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +8.02%E +1.00%K +1.15%G +0.092%5.1%2026-09-20 20:24
Bovada🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.58%E -6.10%K -82.29%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +8.02%E +1.00%K +1.15%G +0.092%5.1%2026-09-20 12:54
Pinnacle🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.80%EV -4.85%E -4.41%K -48.53%G +0.000%7.92I 12.63%NM 12.20%EV +6.94%E +0.877%K +1.00%G +0.070%3.5%2026-09-20 20:24
LowVig.ag🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.72%EV -4.85%E -4.41%K -48.53%G +0.000%7.86I 12.72%NM 12.28%EV +6.13%E +0.780%K +0.894%G +0.055%3.6%2026-09-17 12:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.72%EV -4.85%E -4.41%K -48.53%G +0.000%7.86I 12.72%NM 12.28%EV +6.13%E +0.780%K +0.894%G +0.055%3.6%2026-09-17 12:55
BetMGM🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.57%EV -4.85%E -4.41%K -48.53%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.43%EV +4.65%E +0.600%K +0.689%G +0.032%3.8%2026-09-20 20:24
GTbets🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 87.18%EV -3.99%E -3.59%K -36.26%G +0.000%7.55I 13.25%NM 12.82%EV +1.95%E +0.258%K +0.297%G +0.006%3.3%2026-09-20 20:24
Unibet (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 87.11%EV -3.99%E -3.59%K -36.26%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.89%EV +1.27%E +0.170%K +0.196%G +0.002%3.4%2026-09-20 15:24
Unibet (NL)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 87.11%EV -3.99%E -3.59%K -36.26%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.89%EV +1.27%E +0.170%K +0.196%G +0.002%3.4%2026-09-20 15:24
ATG (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 87.11%EV -3.99%E -3.59%K -36.26%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.89%EV +1.27%E +0.170%K +0.196%G +0.002%3.4%2026-09-20 15:24
Svenska Spel🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 87.11%EV -3.99%E -3.59%K -36.26%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.89%EV +1.27%E +0.170%K +0.196%G +0.002%3.4%2026-09-20 15:24
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 87.11%EV -3.99%E -3.59%K -36.26%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.89%EV +1.27%E +0.170%K +0.196%G +0.002%3.4%2026-09-20 20:23
BetAnything🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.85%E -4.41%K -48.53%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +1.27%E +0.170%K +0.196%G +0.002%4.2%2026-09-20 19:49
Everygame🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.85%E -4.41%K -48.53%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +1.27%E +0.170%K +0.196%G +0.002%4.2%2026-09-14 16:15
Fanatics🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.85%E -4.41%K -48.53%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +1.27%E +0.170%K +0.196%G +0.002%4.2%2026-09-20 14:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.72%E -5.25%K -63.54%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +1.27%E +0.170%K +0.196%G +0.002%5.1%2026-09-20 20:24
betfred_uk🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.72%E -5.25%K -63.54%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +1.27%E +0.170%K +0.196%G +0.002%5.1%2026-09-19 21:39
Neds🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.72%E -5.25%K -63.54%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +1.27%E +0.170%K +0.196%G +0.002%5.1%2026-09-20 20:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.72%E -5.25%K -63.54%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +1.27%E +0.170%K +0.196%G +0.002%5.1%2026-09-20 20:24
NordicBet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.28%EV -5.72%E -5.25%K -63.54%G +0.000%7.48I 13.37%NM 12.72%EV +1.00%E +0.134%K +0.155%G +0.002%5.1%2026-09-20 20:24
Betsson🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.28%EV -5.72%E -5.25%K -63.54%G +0.000%7.48I 13.37%NM 12.72%EV +1.00%E +0.134%K +0.155%G +0.002%5.1%2026-09-20 20:24
ReBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 86.85%EV -3.12%E -2.79%K -26.03%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.15%EV -0.078%E -0.011%K -0.012%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-20 20:19
LeoVegas🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.16%EV -5.72%E -5.25%K -63.54%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.84%EV -0.078%E -0.011%K -0.012%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-20 20:24
BetUS🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.80%EV -3.99%E -3.59%K -36.26%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 13.20%EV -1.43%E -0.196%K -0.227%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-20 20:19
Tipico (DE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.96%EV -6.58%E -6.10%K -82.29%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.04%EV -2.78%E -0.386%K -0.448%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-20 13:54
Betway🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -3.12%E -2.79%K -26.03%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV -5.48%E -0.783%K -0.913%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-20 20:24
Dabble (AU)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.99%E -3.59%K -36.26%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -5.48%E -0.783%K -0.913%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-20 20:24
Paddy Power🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.85%E -4.41%K -48.53%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.48%E -0.783%K -0.913%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-20 17:59
TAB🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.85%E -4.41%K -48.53%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.48%E -0.783%K -0.913%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-16 20:40
888sport🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.85%E -4.41%K -48.53%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.48%E -0.783%K -0.913%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-20 14:19
William Hill🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.85%E -4.41%K -48.53%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.48%E -0.783%K -0.913%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-20 14:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.85%E -4.41%K -48.53%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.48%E -0.783%K -0.913%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-20 14:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.85%E -4.41%K -48.53%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.48%E -0.783%K -0.913%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-20 14:19
PlayUp🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.72%E -5.25%K -63.54%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -5.48%E -0.783%K -0.913%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-20 20:24
betano_uk🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.72%E -5.25%K -63.54%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -5.48%E -0.783%K -0.913%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-19 19:58
Bet Victor🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.72%E -5.25%K -63.54%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -5.48%E -0.783%K -0.913%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-19 20:04
Coral🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.58%E -6.10%K -82.29%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -5.48%E -0.783%K -0.913%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-20 20:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.58%E -6.10%K -82.29%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -5.48%E -0.783%K -0.913%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-20 20:24
DraftKings🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -3.12%E -2.79%K -26.03%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -8.85%E -1.31%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-20 20:09
Bet Right🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.99%E -3.59%K -36.26%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -8.85%E -1.31%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-20 19:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.99%E -3.59%K -36.26%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -8.85%E -1.31%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-20 15:24
BetRivers🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.99%E -3.59%K -36.26%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -8.85%E -1.31%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-20 15:24
Unibet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.99%E -3.59%K -36.26%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -8.85%E -1.31%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-20 15:24
betPARX🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.99%E -3.59%K -36.26%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -8.85%E -1.31%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-20 15:24
Bally Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.99%E -3.59%K -36.26%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -8.85%E -1.31%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-20 15:23
Marathon Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.90%EV -4.85%E -4.41%K -48.53%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.10%EV -9.53%E -1.42%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-20 20:24
Codere (IT)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.71%EV -4.85%E -4.41%K -48.53%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.29%EV -10.88%E -1.65%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-20 19:54
Unibet (UK)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -3.12%E -2.79%K -26.03%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -12.23%E -1.88%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-20 20:24
Caesars🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.58%E -6.10%K -82.29%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -12.23%E -1.88%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-20 20:10
Fliff🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.59%EV -3.12%E -2.79%K -26.03%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.41%EV -16.96%E -2.76%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-20 20:24
Betclic (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 84.06%EV -5.72%E -5.25%K -63.54%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.94%EV -22.36%E -3.89%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-20 20:23
PMU (FR)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 84.36%EV -11.77%E -11.54%K -588.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.64%EV -25.73%E -4.68%K -5.72%G +0.000%16.2%2026-09-20 15:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV +1.20%E +1.03%K +7.07%G +0.085%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -29.11%E -5.54%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-20 20:24
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (10)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
ProphetX◎1.13I 88.50%NM 88.50%8.70I 11.49%NM 11.50%-0.0%2026-09-20 20:24
BetOpenly◎1.12I 89.29%NM 89.19%9.24I 10.82%NM 10.81%0.1%2026-09-20 20:24
Novig◎1.12I 89.29%NM 89.03%9.09I 11.00%NM 10.97%0.3%2026-09-20 20:17
Matchbook◎1.12I 89.29%NM 88.93%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.07%0.4%2026-09-20 20:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.12I 89.29%NM 88.93%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.07%0.4%2026-09-20 20:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.12I 89.29%NM 88.93%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.07%0.4%2026-09-20 20:24
Polymarket◎1.11I 90.09%NM 89.12%9.09I 11.00%NM 10.88%1.1%2026-09-20 20:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.11I 90.09%NM 89.02%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.98%1.2%2026-09-20 20:24
Kalshi◎1.12I 89.29%NM 88.15%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.85%1.3%2026-09-20 20:09
Smarkets◎1.10I 90.91%NM 89.11%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.89%2.0%2026-09-20 20:24