Language:English
San Francisco 49ers v Denver Broncos
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
San Francisco 49ers (Local)
Prediction 59.66%1.68fair odd
EV -0.962%
Edge -0.580%
Kelly -1.46%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.66
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.62%59.53%59.75%61.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.601.611.6667.57%62.32%62.11%60.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Denver Broncos (Visit)
Prediction 40.34%2.48fair odd
EV +0.443%
Edge +0.178%
Kelly +0.298%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 2.49
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.97%40.47%40.25%42.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.062.352.352.4948.54%42.47%42.55%40.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Francisco 49ers (Local): 59.66%; Denver Broncos (Visit): 40.34%. For Denver Broncos (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.48. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.49, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.443%.
Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -5.14%E -3.23%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV +0.443%E +0.178%K +0.298%G +0.001% | 3.1% | 2026-10-04 20:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -5.14%E -3.23%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV +0.443%E +0.178%K +0.298%G +0.001% | 3.1% | 2026-10-04 20:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -3.95%E -2.45%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV -0.363%E -0.147%K -0.247%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-10-04 20:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -2.75%E -1.69%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -0.767%E -0.312%K -0.525%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-10-04 20:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.74%EV -5.14%E -3.23%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.26%EV -0.767%E -0.312%K -0.525%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-10-04 20:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.95%E -2.45%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -1.17%E -0.478%K -0.807%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-10-04 20:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -5.14%E -3.23%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -1.17%E -0.478%K -0.807%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-04 20:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -5.14%E -3.23%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -1.17%E -0.478%K -0.807%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-04 20:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -5.14%E -3.23%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -1.17%E -0.478%K -0.807%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-04 20:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -3.35%E -2.07%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -2.38%E -0.984%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-10-04 20:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.35%E -2.07%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.19%E -1.33%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-04 15:24 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.95%E -2.45%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.19%E -1.33%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-04 20:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.95%E -2.45%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.19%E -1.33%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-04 19:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.95%E -2.45%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.19%E -1.33%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-04 19:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.54%E -2.84%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.19%E -1.33%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-04 18:59 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.54%E -2.84%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.19%E -1.33%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-04 20:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.54%E -2.84%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.19%E -1.33%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-04 20:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.54%E -2.84%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.19%E -1.33%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-04 20:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.14%E -3.23%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.19%E -1.33%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-04 20:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.74%E -3.63%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.19%E -1.33%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-04 20:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.74%E -3.63%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.19%E -1.33%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-04 20:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.74%E -3.63%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.19%E -1.33%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-04 20:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.33%E -4.03%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.19%E -1.33%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-04 20:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.75%EV -3.95%E -2.45%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.25%EV -3.59%E -1.50%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-04 20:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.54%E -2.84%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.99%E -1.68%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-04 20:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.35%E -2.07%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.20%E -2.21%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-04 19:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.95%E -2.45%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.20%E -2.21%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-04 15:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.54%E -2.84%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.20%E -2.21%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-04 19:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.14%E -3.23%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.20%E -2.21%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-04 19:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.14%E -3.23%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.20%E -2.21%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-04 20:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.74%E -3.63%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.20%E -2.21%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-04 20:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.74%E -3.63%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.20%E -2.21%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-04 20:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.33%E -4.03%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.20%E -2.21%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-04 19:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.69%EV -5.74%E -3.63%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.31%EV -5.61%E -2.40%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-04 20:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.40%EV -0.962%E -0.580%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.60%EV -6.01%E -2.58%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-10-04 15:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.40%EV -0.962%E -0.580%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.60%EV -6.01%E -2.58%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-10-04 15:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.40%EV -0.962%E -0.580%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.60%EV -6.01%E -2.58%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-10-04 15:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.40%EV -0.962%E -0.580%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.60%EV -6.01%E -2.58%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-10-04 15:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -2.16%E -1.31%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -6.41%E -2.76%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-04 19:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -1.56%E -0.945%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -7.22%E -3.14%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-04 15:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -2.16%E -1.31%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -7.22%E -3.14%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-04 15:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -2.16%E -1.31%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -7.22%E -3.14%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-04 15:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -2.16%E -1.31%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -7.22%E -3.14%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-04 15:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -2.16%E -1.31%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -7.22%E -3.14%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-04 15:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.35%E -2.07%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.22%E -3.14%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-04 19:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.35%E -2.07%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.22%E -3.14%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-04 15:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.95%E -2.45%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.22%E -3.14%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-04 15:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.95%E -2.45%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.22%E -3.14%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-04 15:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.95%E -2.45%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.22%E -3.14%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-04 15:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.33%E -4.03%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.22%E -3.14%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-04 19:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.33%E -4.03%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.22%E -3.14%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-04 19:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.35%E -2.07%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.24%E -4.11%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-04 19:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.35%E -2.07%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.24%E -4.11%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-04 20:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -5.74%E -3.63%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -9.24%E -4.11%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-04 20:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -2.16%E -1.31%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -10.04%E -4.50%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-04 20:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.20%EV -8.72%E -5.70%K -16.45%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 40.80%EV -10.45%E -4.71%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-04 20:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 58.19%EV -11.70%E -7.91%K -24.38%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 41.81%EV -16.90%E -8.20%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-10-04 15:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90% | 0.2% | 2026-10-04 20:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.43% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.57% | 0.3% | 2026-10-04 20:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.66% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 40.34% | 0.4% | 2026-10-04 19:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 0.6% | 2026-10-04 20:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 0.6% | 2026-10-04 20:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 0.6% | 2026-10-04 20:20 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-10-04 15:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-10-04 20:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85% | 2.0% | 2026-10-04 20:20 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.41% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.59% | 2.6% | 2026-10-04 20:20 |