San Francisco 49ers v Denver Broncos

2026-10-04 20:25 — NFL

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis)

Option 1: San Francisco 49ers (Local)

Odds

1.6261.73%Min

1.6560.61%Mean

1.6560.61%Median

1.6859.52%Max

Consensus probabilities

57.14%1.750Min

58.14%1.720Max

57.64%1.735Mean

57.64%1.735Median

57.64%1.735IQM

57.56%1.737Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.68 under the IQM model: 57.64%

EV -3.16%Edge -1.88%Kelly -4.65%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Denver Broncos (Visit)

Odds

2.2444.64%Min

2.2544.54%Mean

2.2544.54%Median

2.2544.44%Max

Consensus probabilities

41.86%2.389Min

42.86%2.333Max

42.36%2.361Mean

42.36%2.361Median

42.36%2.361IQM

42.44%2.356Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.25 under the IQM model: 42.36%

EV -4.69%Edge -2.09%Kelly -3.75%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	San Francisco 49ers (Local) ▼	Denver Broncos (Visit)	Margin	Updated
DraftKings	1.68I 59.52% NM 57.14%EV -3.16% E -1.88% K -4.65% G +0.000%	2.24I 44.64% NM 42.86%EV -5.12% E -2.28% K -4.13% G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-07-02 17:39
Bet Right	1.68I 59.52% NM 56.70%EV -3.16% E -1.88% K -4.65% G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45% NM 43.30%EV -6.81% E -3.10% K -5.68% G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-05-26 02:11
Caesars	1.62I 61.73% NM 58.14%EV -6.62% E -4.09% K -10.68% G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44% NM 41.86%EV -4.69% E -2.09% K -3.75% G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-05-15 22:35

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth