默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

San Francisco 49ers v Denver Broncos

开赛时间: 2026-10-04 20:25 UTC

最终结果: San Francisco 49ers 24–14 Denver Broncos

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

57 家博彩公司 (20 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

San Francisco 49ers (主队)

预测 59.66%1.68公平赔率
EV -0.962%
优势 -0.580%
Kelly -1.46%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.66

博彩公司预测分布
57.62%59.53%59.75%61.03%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.481.601.611.6667.57%62.32%62.11%60.24%最小值均值中位数最大值

Denver Broncos (客队)

预测 40.34%2.48公平赔率
EV +0.443%
优势 +0.178%
Kelly +0.298%
增长率 +0.001%

假设最高赔率为 2.49

博彩公司预测分布
38.97%40.47%40.25%42.38%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.062.352.352.4948.54%42.47%42.55%40.16%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:San Francisco 49ers (主队):59.66%;Denver Broncos (客队):40.34%。 对于“Denver Broncos (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.48。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为2.49,对应+0.443%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (57 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
BetOnline.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -5.14%E -3.23%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV +0.443%E +0.178%K +0.298%G +0.001%3.1%2026-10-04 20:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -5.14%E -3.23%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV +0.443%E +0.178%K +0.298%G +0.001%3.1%2026-10-04 20:20
Pinnacle🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -3.95%E -2.45%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV -0.363%E -0.147%K -0.247%G +0.000%2.6%2026-10-04 20:15
Coolbet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -2.75%E -1.69%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -0.767%E -0.312%K -0.525%G +0.000%2.0%2026-10-04 20:09
BetUS🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.74%EV -5.14%E -3.23%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.26%EV -0.767%E -0.312%K -0.525%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-04 20:20
BetAnything🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.95%E -2.45%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -1.17%E -0.478%K -0.807%G +0.000%2.9%2026-10-04 20:20
GTbets🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -5.14%E -3.23%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -1.17%E -0.478%K -0.807%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-04 20:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -5.14%E -3.23%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -1.17%E -0.478%K -0.807%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-04 20:15
Bovada🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -5.14%E -3.23%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -1.17%E -0.478%K -0.807%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-04 20:05
ReBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -3.35%E -2.07%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -2.38%E -0.984%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-04 20:20
Everygame🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.35%E -2.07%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.19%E -1.33%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-04 15:24
Caesars🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.95%E -2.45%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.19%E -1.33%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-04 20:20
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.95%E -2.45%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.19%E -1.33%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-04 19:44
theScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.95%E -2.45%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.19%E -1.33%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-04 19:40
DraftKings🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.54%E -2.84%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.19%E -1.33%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-04 18:59
Dabble (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.54%E -2.84%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.19%E -1.33%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-04 20:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.54%E -2.84%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.19%E -1.33%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-04 20:20
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.54%E -2.84%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.19%E -1.33%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-04 20:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.14%E -3.23%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.19%E -1.33%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-04 20:19
Neds🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.74%E -3.63%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.19%E -1.33%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-04 20:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.74%E -3.63%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.19%E -1.33%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-04 20:20
TAB🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.74%E -3.63%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.19%E -1.33%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-04 20:20
Fliff🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.33%E -4.03%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.19%E -1.33%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-04 20:20
MyBookie.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.75%EV -3.95%E -2.45%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.25%EV -3.59%E -1.50%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-04 20:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.54%E -2.84%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.99%E -1.68%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-04 20:05
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.35%E -2.07%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.20%E -2.21%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-04 19:50
Fanatics🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.95%E -2.45%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.20%E -2.21%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-04 15:35
LeoVegas🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.54%E -2.84%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.20%E -2.21%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-04 19:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.14%E -3.23%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.20%E -2.21%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-04 19:50
Betway🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.14%E -3.23%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.20%E -2.21%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-04 20:20
Bet Right🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.74%E -3.63%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.20%E -2.21%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-04 20:20
PlayUp🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.74%E -3.63%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.20%E -2.21%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-04 20:19
Tipico (DE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.33%E -4.03%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.20%E -2.21%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-04 19:45
Codere (IT)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.69%EV -5.74%E -3.63%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.31%EV -5.61%E -2.40%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-04 20:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.40%EV -0.962%E -0.580%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.60%EV -6.01%E -2.58%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-04 15:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.40%EV -0.962%E -0.580%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.60%EV -6.01%E -2.58%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-04 15:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.40%EV -0.962%E -0.580%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.60%EV -6.01%E -2.58%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-04 15:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.40%EV -0.962%E -0.580%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.60%EV -6.01%E -2.58%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-04 15:05
FanDuel🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -2.16%E -1.31%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -6.41%E -2.76%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-04 19:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -1.56%E -0.945%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -7.22%E -3.14%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-04 15:05
Unibet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -2.16%E -1.31%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -7.22%E -3.14%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-04 15:05
BetRivers🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -2.16%E -1.31%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -7.22%E -3.14%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-04 15:05
Bally Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -2.16%E -1.31%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -7.22%E -3.14%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-04 15:05
betPARX🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -2.16%E -1.31%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -7.22%E -3.14%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-04 15:05
SportsBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.35%E -2.07%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.22%E -3.14%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-04 19:40
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.35%E -2.07%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.22%E -3.14%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-04 15:20
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.95%E -2.45%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.22%E -3.14%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-04 15:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.95%E -2.45%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.22%E -3.14%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-04 15:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.95%E -2.45%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.22%E -3.14%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-04 15:20
betano_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.33%E -4.03%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.22%E -3.14%K -5.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-04 19:49
Bet Victor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.33%E -4.03%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.22%E -3.14%K -5.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-04 19:49
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.35%E -2.07%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.24%E -4.11%K -7.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-04 19:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.35%E -2.07%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.24%E -4.11%K -7.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-04 20:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -5.74%E -3.63%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -9.24%E -4.11%K -7.39%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-04 20:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -2.16%E -1.31%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -10.04%E -4.50%K -8.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-04 20:20
NetBet (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.20%EV -8.72%E -5.70%K -16.45%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 40.80%EV -10.45%E -4.71%K -8.56%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-04 20:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 58.19%EV -11.70%E -7.91%K -24.38%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 41.81%EV -16.90%E -8.20%K -15.95%G +0.000%16.1%2026-10-04 15:05
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90%0.2%2026-10-04 20:05
ProphetX◎1.65I 60.61%NM 60.43%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.57%0.3%2026-10-04 20:20
Novig◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.66%2.47I 40.49%NM 40.34%0.4%2026-10-04 19:20
Matchbook◎1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%0.6%2026-10-04 20:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%0.6%2026-10-04 20:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%0.6%2026-10-04 20:20
Polymarket◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-10-04 15:05
Kalshi◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-10-04 20:15
Smarkets◎1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%2.0%2026-10-04 20:20
BetOpenly◎1.64I 60.98%NM 59.41%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.59%2.6%2026-10-04 20:20