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San Francisco 49ers v Denver Broncos
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
San Francisco 49ers (Local)
Predicción 59.66%1.68momio equitativo
EV -0.962%
Ventaja -0.580%
Kelly -1.46%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.66
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.62%59.53%59.75%61.03%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.481.601.611.6667.57%62.32%62.11%60.24%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Denver Broncos (Visitante)
Predicción 40.34%2.48momio equitativo
EV +0.443%
Ventaja +0.178%
Kelly +0.298%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.49
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.97%40.47%40.25%42.38%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.062.352.352.4948.54%42.47%42.55%40.16%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: San Francisco 49ers (Local): 59.66%; Denver Broncos (Visitante): 40.34%. Para Denver Broncos (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.48. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.49, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.443%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -5.14%E -3.23%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV +0.443%E +0.178%K +0.298%G +0.001% | 3.1% | 2026-10-04 20:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -5.14%E -3.23%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV +0.443%E +0.178%K +0.298%G +0.001% | 3.1% | 2026-10-04 20:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -3.95%E -2.45%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV -0.363%E -0.147%K -0.247%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-10-04 20:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -2.75%E -1.69%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -0.767%E -0.312%K -0.525%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-10-04 20:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.74%EV -5.14%E -3.23%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.26%EV -0.767%E -0.312%K -0.525%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-10-04 20:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.95%E -2.45%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -1.17%E -0.478%K -0.807%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-10-04 20:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -5.14%E -3.23%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -1.17%E -0.478%K -0.807%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-04 20:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -5.14%E -3.23%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -1.17%E -0.478%K -0.807%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-04 20:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -5.14%E -3.23%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -1.17%E -0.478%K -0.807%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-04 20:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -3.35%E -2.07%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -2.38%E -0.984%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-10-04 20:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.35%E -2.07%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.19%E -1.33%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-04 15:24 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.95%E -2.45%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.19%E -1.33%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-04 20:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.95%E -2.45%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.19%E -1.33%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-04 19:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.95%E -2.45%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.19%E -1.33%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-04 19:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.54%E -2.84%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.19%E -1.33%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-04 18:59 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.54%E -2.84%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.19%E -1.33%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-04 20:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.54%E -2.84%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.19%E -1.33%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-04 20:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.54%E -2.84%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.19%E -1.33%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-04 20:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.14%E -3.23%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.19%E -1.33%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-04 20:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.74%E -3.63%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.19%E -1.33%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-04 20:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.74%E -3.63%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.19%E -1.33%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-04 20:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.74%E -3.63%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.19%E -1.33%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-04 20:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.33%E -4.03%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.19%E -1.33%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-04 20:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.75%EV -3.95%E -2.45%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.25%EV -3.59%E -1.50%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-04 20:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.54%E -2.84%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.99%E -1.68%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-04 20:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.35%E -2.07%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.20%E -2.21%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-04 19:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.95%E -2.45%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.20%E -2.21%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-04 15:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.54%E -2.84%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.20%E -2.21%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-04 19:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.14%E -3.23%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.20%E -2.21%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-04 19:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.14%E -3.23%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.20%E -2.21%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-04 20:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.74%E -3.63%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.20%E -2.21%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-04 20:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.74%E -3.63%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.20%E -2.21%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-04 20:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.33%E -4.03%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.20%E -2.21%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-04 19:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.69%EV -5.74%E -3.63%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.31%EV -5.61%E -2.40%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-04 20:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.40%EV -0.962%E -0.580%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.60%EV -6.01%E -2.58%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-10-04 15:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.40%EV -0.962%E -0.580%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.60%EV -6.01%E -2.58%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-10-04 15:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.40%EV -0.962%E -0.580%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.60%EV -6.01%E -2.58%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-10-04 15:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.40%EV -0.962%E -0.580%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.60%EV -6.01%E -2.58%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-10-04 15:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -2.16%E -1.31%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -6.41%E -2.76%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-04 19:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -1.56%E -0.945%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -7.22%E -3.14%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-04 15:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -2.16%E -1.31%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -7.22%E -3.14%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-04 15:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -2.16%E -1.31%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -7.22%E -3.14%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-04 15:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -2.16%E -1.31%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -7.22%E -3.14%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-04 15:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -2.16%E -1.31%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -7.22%E -3.14%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-04 15:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.35%E -2.07%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.22%E -3.14%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-04 19:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.35%E -2.07%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.22%E -3.14%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-04 15:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.95%E -2.45%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.22%E -3.14%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-04 15:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.95%E -2.45%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.22%E -3.14%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-04 15:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.95%E -2.45%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.22%E -3.14%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-04 15:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.33%E -4.03%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.22%E -3.14%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-04 19:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.33%E -4.03%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.22%E -3.14%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-04 19:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.35%E -2.07%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.24%E -4.11%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-04 19:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.35%E -2.07%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.24%E -4.11%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-04 20:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -5.74%E -3.63%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -9.24%E -4.11%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-04 20:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -2.16%E -1.31%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -10.04%E -4.50%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-04 20:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.20%EV -8.72%E -5.70%K -16.45%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 40.80%EV -10.45%E -4.71%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-04 20:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 58.19%EV -11.70%E -7.91%K -24.38%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 41.81%EV -16.90%E -8.20%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-10-04 15:05 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90% | 0.2% | 2026-10-04 20:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.43% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.57% | 0.3% | 2026-10-04 20:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.66% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 40.34% | 0.4% | 2026-10-04 19:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 0.6% | 2026-10-04 20:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 0.6% | 2026-10-04 20:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 0.6% | 2026-10-04 20:20 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-10-04 15:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-10-04 20:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85% | 2.0% | 2026-10-04 20:20 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.41% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.59% | 2.6% | 2026-10-04 20:20 |