Language:English
San Francisco 49ers v Arizona Cardinals
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
San Francisco 49ers (Local)
Prediction 76.08%1.31fair odd
EV -1.86%
Edge -1.44%
Kelly -6.41%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.29
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.84%75.89%76.05%77.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.121.251.251.2989.29%80.04%80.00%77.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Arizona Cardinals (Visit)
Prediction 23.92%4.18fair odd
EV +4.06%
Edge +0.932%
Kelly +1.21%
Growth +0.049%
assuming max odds 4.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.32%24.11%23.95%26.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.964.004.3528.57%25.26%25.00%22.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Francisco 49ers (Local): 76.08%; Arizona Cardinals (Visit): 23.92%. For Arizona Cardinals (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.18. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.35, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.06%.
Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.68%EV -4.90%E -3.92%K -19.60%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32%EV +4.06%E +0.932%K +1.21%G +0.049% | 3.0% | 2026-09-27 19:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.27%EV -4.90%E -3.92%K -19.60%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.73%EV +1.66%E +0.392%K +0.512%G +0.009% | 3.5% | 2026-09-27 20:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.66%E -4.57%K -23.59%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV +0.468%E +0.111%K +0.146%G +0.001% | 4.5% | 2026-09-27 19:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -6.42%E -5.22%K -27.93%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV +0.468%E +0.111%K +0.146%G +0.001% | 5.1% | 2026-09-27 18:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.18%E -5.89%K -32.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +0.468%E +0.111%K +0.146%G +0.001% | 5.8% | 2026-09-27 20:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.18%E -5.89%K -32.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +0.468%E +0.111%K +0.146%G +0.001% | 5.8% | 2026-09-27 20:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.18%E -5.89%K -32.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +0.468%E +0.111%K +0.146%G +0.001% | 5.8% | 2026-09-27 20:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.56%EV -2.62%E -2.05%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 4.18I 23.92%NM 23.44%EV -0.010%E -0.002%K -0.003%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-09-27 20:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.85%EV -4.90%E -3.92%K -19.60%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.15%EV -0.728%E -0.175%K -0.231%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-27 18:01 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.90%E -3.92%K -19.60%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -1.92%E -0.469%K -0.621%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-27 20:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.90%E -3.92%K -19.60%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -1.92%E -0.469%K -0.621%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-27 00:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -6.42%E -5.22%K -27.93%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -1.92%E -0.469%K -0.621%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-27 20:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.03%EV -2.62%E -2.05%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 4.06I 24.63%NM 23.97%EV -2.88%E -0.710%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-27 20:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.27%EV -4.14%E -3.29%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.73%EV -3.12%E -0.770%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-27 15:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.18%EV -4.14%E -3.29%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV -3.60%E -0.893%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-27 15:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.18%EV -4.14%E -3.29%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV -3.60%E -0.893%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-27 15:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.47%EV -5.66%E -4.57%K -23.59%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.53%EV -3.60%E -0.893%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-27 20:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.47%EV -5.66%E -4.57%K -23.59%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.53%EV -3.60%E -0.893%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-27 20:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.38%E -2.66%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-27 18:01 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.14%E -3.29%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-27 00:13 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.14%E -3.29%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-27 16:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.14%E -3.29%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-27 00:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.14%E -3.29%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-27 19:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.14%E -3.29%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-27 15:38 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.90%E -3.92%K -19.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-27 19:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.90%E -3.92%K -19.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-27 18:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.90%E -3.92%K -19.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-27 20:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.90%E -3.92%K -19.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-27 00:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.90%E -3.92%K -19.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-27 19:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.90%E -3.92%K -19.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-27 00:10 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.18%E -5.89%K -32.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-27 20:03 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.18%E -5.89%K -32.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-27 20:04 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.72%EV -3.38%E -2.66%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 24.28%EV -5.27%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-27 20:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.38%E -2.66%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -6.71%E -1.72%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-27 18:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.14%E -3.29%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.71%E -1.72%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-27 20:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.14%E -3.29%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.71%E -1.72%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-27 20:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.14%E -3.29%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.71%E -1.72%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-27 18:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.14%E -3.29%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.71%E -1.72%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-27 10:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.14%E -3.29%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.71%E -1.72%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-27 17:01 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.90%E -3.92%K -19.60%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -6.71%E -1.72%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-27 20:05 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -2.62%E -2.05%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -7.90%E -2.05%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-27 11:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.14%E -3.29%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.90%E -2.05%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-27 20:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.14%E -3.29%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.90%E -2.05%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-27 20:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.14%E -3.29%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.90%E -2.05%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-27 20:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.14%E -3.29%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.90%E -2.05%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-27 20:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.90%E -3.92%K -19.60%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -7.90%E -2.05%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-27 20:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.90%E -3.92%K -19.60%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.10%E -2.39%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-27 20:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.90%E -3.92%K -19.60%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.10%E -2.39%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-27 00:49 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.85%EV -7.94%E -6.57%K -37.83%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -9.10%E -2.39%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-27 19:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -4.14%E -3.29%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -10.30%E -2.75%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-27 20:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -5.66%E -4.57%K -23.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -10.30%E -2.75%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-27 20:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -3.38%E -2.66%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -11.49%E -3.11%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-27 20:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -4.90%E -3.92%K -19.60%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -11.49%E -3.11%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-27 20:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 76.76%EV -14.79%E -13.21%K -123.26%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.24%EV -11.49%E -3.11%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-09-27 19:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -1.86%E -1.44%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -12.69%E -3.48%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-27 20:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.80%EV -6.42%E -5.22%K -27.93%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -12.69%E -3.48%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-27 20:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.84%EV -5.66%E -4.57%K -23.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%EV -16.28%E -4.65%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-27 19:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.62% | 4.44I 22.52%NM 22.38% | 0.6% | 2026-09-27 19:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 0.9% | 2026-09-27 19:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 0.9% | 2026-09-27 19:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 0.9% | 2026-09-27 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 0.9% | 2026-09-27 20:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74% | 1.1% | 2026-09-27 15:48 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74% | 1.1% | 2026-09-26 23:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74% | 1.1% | 2026-09-27 20:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.20% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.80% | 2.0% | 2026-09-27 20:04 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.58% | 4.29I 23.31%NM 22.42% | 4.0% | 2026-09-27 20:04 |