Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Francisco 49ers v Arizona Cardinals

2026-09-27 20:05 UTC — NFL

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Francisco 49ers (Local)

Prediction 77.71%1.29fair odd
EV -2.08%
Edge -1.65%
Kelly -8.01%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.26

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
75.34%77.77%77.76%80.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.111.221.221.2690.09%81.75%81.97%79.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Arizona Cardinals (Visit)

Prediction 22.29%4.49fair odd
EV +8.10%
Edge +1.67%
Kelly +2.10%
Growth +0.170%

assuming max odds 4.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.83%22.23%22.24%24.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.854.264.254.8525.97%23.45%23.53%20.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: San Francisco 49ers (Local): 77.71%; Arizona Cardinals (Visit): 22.29%. For Arizona Cardinals (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.49. 9 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 4.85, producing a positive expected value of +8.10%.

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.17%EV -6.75%E -5.62%K -33.73%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.83%EV +8.10%E +1.67%K +2.10%G +0.170%4.0%2026-09-23 23:45
SportsBet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -7.52%E -6.32%K -39.59%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV +5.87%E +1.24%K +1.56%G +0.092%5.1%2026-09-24 00:10
theScore Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.75%E -5.62%K -33.73%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +2.53%E +0.549%K +0.701%G +0.018%5.1%2026-09-23 23:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%EV -3.64%E -2.93%K -15.16%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV +0.297%E +0.066%K +0.085%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-22 14:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%EV -3.64%E -2.93%K -15.16%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV +0.297%E +0.066%K +0.085%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-22 14:19
ATG (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%EV -3.64%E -2.93%K -15.16%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV +0.297%E +0.066%K +0.085%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-22 14:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%EV -3.64%E -2.93%K -15.16%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV +0.297%E +0.066%K +0.085%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-22 14:18
DraftKings🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -5.19%E -4.26%K -23.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +0.297%E +0.066%K +0.085%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-23 23:44
Paddy Power🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.75%E -5.62%K -33.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +0.297%E +0.066%K +0.085%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-23 16:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.41%E -3.59%K -19.19%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -1.93%E -0.439%K -0.568%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-22 14:20
Coolbet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.41%E -3.59%K -19.19%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -1.93%E -0.439%K -0.568%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-21 16:49
BetMGM🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.19%E -4.26%K -23.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -1.93%E -0.439%K -0.568%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-23 23:14
Tipico (DE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.75%E -5.62%K -33.73%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -1.93%E -0.439%K -0.568%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-23 19:59
GTbets🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -4.41%E -3.59%K -19.19%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV -3.05%E -0.700%K -0.909%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-22 18:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -5.19%E -4.26%K -23.60%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -3.05%E -0.700%K -0.909%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-23 23:09
BetRivers🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -5.19%E -4.26%K -23.60%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -3.05%E -0.700%K -0.909%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-22 14:18
Unibet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -5.19%E -4.26%K -23.60%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -3.05%E -0.700%K -0.909%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-22 14:19
Bally Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -5.19%E -4.26%K -23.60%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -3.05%E -0.700%K -0.909%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-22 14:19
betPARX🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -5.19%E -4.26%K -23.60%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -3.05%E -0.700%K -0.909%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-22 14:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -3.64%E -2.93%K -15.16%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -4.16%E -0.968%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-21 15:54
Everygame🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -3.64%E -2.93%K -15.16%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -4.16%E -0.968%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-22 13:36
Unibet (UK)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -4.41%E -3.59%K -19.19%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -4.16%E -0.968%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-23 21:00
ReBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -4.41%E -3.59%K -19.19%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -4.16%E -0.968%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-23 21:00
NordicBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.19%E -4.26%K -23.60%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.16%E -0.968%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-23 21:30
Betsson🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.19%E -4.26%K -23.60%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.16%E -0.968%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-23 21:30
TAB🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.19%E -4.26%K -23.60%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.16%E -0.968%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-23 19:45
Fliff🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.75%E -5.62%K -33.73%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -4.16%E -0.968%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-23 23:25
Caesars🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.64%E -2.93%K -15.16%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -5.28%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-22 15:17
Neds🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.19%E -4.26%K -23.60%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -5.28%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-23 23:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.19%E -4.26%K -23.60%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -5.28%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-23 23:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.19%E -4.26%K -23.60%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -5.28%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-23 22:45
BetAnything🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -2.86%E -2.29%K -11.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -6.39%E -1.52%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-23 22:04
BetUS🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -2.86%E -2.29%K -11.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -6.39%E -1.52%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-23 19:54
betfred_uk🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.64%E -2.93%K -15.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -6.39%E -1.52%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-23 12:10
LeoVegas🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.19%E -4.26%K -23.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.39%E -1.52%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-23 11:45
888sport🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.19%E -4.26%K -23.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.39%E -1.52%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-19 14:01
888sport (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.19%E -4.26%K -23.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.39%E -1.52%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-19 14:01
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.19%E -4.26%K -23.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.39%E -1.52%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-19 14:01
Marathon Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.19%E -4.26%K -23.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.39%E -1.52%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-21 12:33
William Hill🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.19%E -4.26%K -23.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.39%E -1.52%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-21 00:50
betano_uk🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.75%E -5.62%K -33.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.39%E -1.52%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-23 23:50
Bet Victor🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.75%E -5.62%K -33.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.39%E -1.52%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-23 15:59
NetBet (FR)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -8.30%E -7.03%K -46.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -6.39%E -1.52%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-23 20:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -2.86%E -2.29%K -11.44%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -7.28%E -1.75%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-23 19:54
BetOnline.ag🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -2.86%E -2.29%K -11.44%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -7.28%E -1.75%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-23 19:55
Pinnacle🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.54%EV -2.08%E -1.65%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 23.46%EV -8.40%E -2.04%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-23 20:05
Fanatics🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -2.86%E -2.29%K -11.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -8.62%E -2.10%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-24 00:00
Bet Right🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.64%E -2.93%K -15.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -8.62%E -2.10%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-22 00:44
Betclic (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.19%E -4.26%K -23.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -8.62%E -2.10%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-23 21:04
MyBookie.ag🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.19%E -4.26%K -23.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -8.62%E -2.10%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-23 19:59
Codere (IT)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.19%E -4.26%K -23.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -8.62%E -2.10%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-23 20:00
PlayUp🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.86%E -2.29%K -11.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -10.85%E -2.71%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-23 23:39
Bovada🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.86%E -2.29%K -11.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -10.85%E -2.71%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-23 19:05
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.86%E -2.29%K -11.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -10.85%E -2.71%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-23 06:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.75%E -5.62%K -33.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.85%E -2.71%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-23 16:40
Coral🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.75%E -5.62%K -33.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.85%E -2.71%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-23 16:40
Dabble (AU)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -2.08%E -1.65%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -14.19%E -3.69%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-23 23:39
PMU (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 77.62%EV -13.74%E -12.38%K -124.91%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.38%EV -14.19%E -3.69%K -4.98%G +0.000%16.1%2026-09-22 14:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX1.26I 79.37%NM 79.03%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.97%0.4%2026-09-23 22:55
Matchbook1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-09-23 21:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-09-23 21:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-09-23 21:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-09-23 21:15
Polymarket1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82%0.7%2026-09-21 00:30
Kalshi1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82%0.7%2026-09-23 19:55
Novig1.26I 79.37%NM 78.68%4.65I 21.51%NM 21.32%0.9%2026-09-23 21:45
BetOpenly1.24I 80.65%NM 78.58%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.42%2.6%2026-09-24 00:04
Smarkets1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%5.3%2026-09-24 00:10
Arbitrage (2 combinations) +0.02%Dabble (AU) 1.26 (79.4%) / FanDuel 4.85 (20.6%)Show all 2 combinations
San Francisco 49ers (Local)Arizona Cardinals (Visit)Margin
Pinnacle🎯 1.26 (79.4%)FanDuel🎯 4.85 (20.6%)+0.016%
Dabble (AU)🎯 1.26 (79.4%)FanDuel🎯 4.85 (20.6%)+0.016%