San Francisco 49ers v Arizona Cardinals

2026-09-27 20:05 — NFL

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis)

Option 1: San Francisco 49ers (Local)

Odds

1.1686.21%Min

1.1785.84%Mean

1.1785.84%Median

1.1785.47%Max

Consensus probabilities

81.04%1.234Min

82.71%1.209Max

81.87%1.221Mean

81.87%1.221Median

81.87%1.221IQM

81.96%1.220Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.17 under the IQM model: 81.87%

EV -4.21%Edge -3.60%Kelly -24.74%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Arizona Cardinals (Visit)

Odds

5.0020.00%Min

5.2818.96%Mean

5.2818.96%Median

5.5518.02%Max

Consensus probabilities

17.29%5.784Min

18.96%5.274Max

18.13%5.517Mean

18.13%5.517Median

18.13%5.517IQM

18.04%5.544Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 5.55 under the IQM model: 18.13%

EV +0.595%Edge +0.107%Kelly +0.131%Growth +0.001%

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	San Francisco 49ers (Local)	Arizona Cardinals (Visit) ▼	Margin	Updated
DraftKings	1.16I 86.21% NM 82.71%EV -5.03% E -4.33% K -31.41% G +0.000%	5.55I 18.02% NM 17.29%EV +0.595% E +0.107% K +0.131% G +0.001%	4.2%	2026-06-22 22:38
Bet Right	1.16I 86.21% NM 82.58%EV -5.03% E -4.33% K -31.41% G +0.000%	5.50I 18.18% NM 17.42%EV -0.312% E -0.057% K -0.069% G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-05-26 02:11
Caesars	1.17I 85.47% NM 81.04%EV -4.21% E -3.60% K -24.74% G +0.000%	5.00I 20.00% NM 18.96%EV -9.37% E -1.87% K -2.34% G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-05-15 21:04

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth