Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

San Francisco 49ers v Arizona Cardinals

Início: 2026-09-27 20:05 UTC

Final: San Francisco 49ers 36–30 Arizona Cardinals

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

57 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

San Francisco 49ers (Local)

Previsão 76.08%1.31odd justa
EV -1.86%
Vantagem -1.44%
Kelly -6.41%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.29

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
73.84%75.89%76.05%77.68%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.121.251.251.2989.29%80.04%80.00%77.52%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Arizona Cardinals (Visitante)

Previsão 23.92%4.18odd justa
EV +4.06%
Vantagem +0.932%
Kelly +1.21%
Crescimento +0.049%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.35

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.32%24.11%23.95%26.16%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.503.964.004.3528.57%25.26%25.00%22.99%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: San Francisco 49ers (Local): 76.08%; Arizona Cardinals (Visitante): 23.92%. Para Arizona Cardinals (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.18. 7 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.35, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +4.06%.

Odds das casas de apostas (57 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Svenska Spel🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.68%EV -4.90%E -3.92%K -19.60%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32%EV +4.06%E +0.932%K +1.21%G +0.049%3.0%2026-09-27 19:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.27%EV -4.90%E -3.92%K -19.60%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.73%EV +1.66%E +0.392%K +0.512%G +0.009%3.5%2026-09-27 20:04
Unibet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.66%E -4.57%K -23.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV +0.468%E +0.111%K +0.146%G +0.001%4.5%2026-09-27 19:45
SportsBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -6.42%E -5.22%K -27.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV +0.468%E +0.111%K +0.146%G +0.001%5.1%2026-09-27 18:00
888sport🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.18%E -5.89%K -32.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +0.468%E +0.111%K +0.146%G +0.001%5.8%2026-09-27 20:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.18%E -5.89%K -32.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +0.468%E +0.111%K +0.146%G +0.001%5.8%2026-09-27 20:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.18%E -5.89%K -32.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +0.468%E +0.111%K +0.146%G +0.001%5.8%2026-09-27 20:05
Coolbet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 76.56%EV -2.62%E -2.05%K -9.35%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 23.44%EV -0.010%E -0.002%K -0.003%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-27 20:00
FanDuel🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.85%EV -4.90%E -3.92%K -19.60%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.15%EV -0.728%E -0.175%K -0.231%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-27 18:01
DraftKings🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.90%E -3.92%K -19.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -1.92%E -0.469%K -0.621%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-27 20:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.90%E -3.92%K -19.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -1.92%E -0.469%K -0.621%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-27 00:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -6.42%E -5.22%K -27.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -1.92%E -0.469%K -0.621%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-27 20:04
Pinnacle🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 76.03%EV -2.62%E -2.05%K -9.35%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.97%EV -2.88%E -0.710%K -0.941%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-27 20:00
BetUS🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.27%EV -4.14%E -3.29%K -15.92%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.73%EV -3.12%E -0.770%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-27 15:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.18%EV -4.14%E -3.29%K -15.92%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV -3.60%E -0.893%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-27 15:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.18%EV -4.14%E -3.29%K -15.92%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV -3.60%E -0.893%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-27 15:05
NordicBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.47%EV -5.66%E -4.57%K -23.59%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.53%EV -3.60%E -0.893%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-27 20:05
Betsson🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.47%EV -5.66%E -4.57%K -23.59%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.53%EV -3.60%E -0.893%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-27 20:04
BetMGM🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.38%E -2.66%K -12.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-27 18:01
Caesars🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.14%E -3.29%K -15.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-27 00:13
Bet Right🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.14%E -3.29%K -15.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-27 16:10
GTbets🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.14%E -3.29%K -15.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-27 00:20
BetAnything🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.14%E -3.29%K -15.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-27 19:40
Everygame🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.14%E -3.29%K -15.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-27 15:38
Betr (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.90%E -3.92%K -19.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-27 19:05
Paddy Power🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.90%E -3.92%K -19.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-27 18:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.90%E -3.92%K -19.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-27 20:05
betfred_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.90%E -3.92%K -19.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-27 00:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.90%E -3.92%K -19.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-27 19:45
William Hill🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.90%E -3.92%K -19.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-27 00:10
betano_uk🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.18%E -5.89%K -32.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-27 20:03
Bet Victor🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.18%E -5.89%K -32.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-27 20:04
MyBookie.ag🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.72%EV -3.38%E -2.66%K -12.52%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.28%EV -5.27%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-27 20:05
Fanatics🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.38%E -2.66%K -12.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -6.71%E -1.72%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-27 18:10
Neds🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.14%E -3.29%K -15.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.71%E -1.72%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-27 20:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.14%E -3.29%K -15.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.71%E -1.72%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-27 20:00
theScore Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.14%E -3.29%K -15.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.71%E -1.72%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-27 18:15
TAB🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.14%E -3.29%K -15.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.71%E -1.72%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-27 10:20
Bovada🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.14%E -3.29%K -15.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.71%E -1.72%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-27 17:01
Coral🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.90%E -3.92%K -19.60%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -6.71%E -1.72%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-27 20:05
Dabble (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -2.62%E -2.05%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -7.90%E -2.05%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-27 11:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.14%E -3.29%K -15.92%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.90%E -2.05%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-27 20:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.14%E -3.29%K -15.92%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.90%E -2.05%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-27 20:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.14%E -3.29%K -15.92%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.90%E -2.05%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-27 20:05
betPARX🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.14%E -3.29%K -15.92%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.90%E -2.05%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-27 20:05
PlayUp🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.90%E -3.92%K -19.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -7.90%E -2.05%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-27 20:00
Fliff🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.90%E -3.92%K -19.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.10%E -2.39%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-27 20:04
Tipico (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.90%E -3.92%K -19.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.10%E -2.39%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-27 00:49
NetBet (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 75.85%EV -7.94%E -6.57%K -37.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -9.10%E -2.39%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-27 19:40
BetRivers🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -4.14%E -3.29%K -15.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -10.30%E -2.75%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-27 20:05
LeoVegas🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -5.66%E -4.57%K -23.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -10.30%E -2.75%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-27 20:05
Codere (IT)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -3.38%E -2.66%K -12.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -11.49%E -3.11%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-27 20:00
Bally Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -4.90%E -3.92%K -19.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -11.49%E -3.11%K -4.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-27 20:04
PMU (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 76.76%EV -14.79%E -13.21%K -123.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.24%EV -11.49%E -3.11%K -4.26%G +0.000%16.3%2026-09-27 19:45
Betway🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -1.86%E -1.44%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -12.69%E -3.48%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-27 20:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 74.80%EV -6.42%E -5.22%K -27.93%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -12.69%E -3.48%K -4.79%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-27 20:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.84%EV -5.66%E -4.57%K -23.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%EV -16.28%E -4.65%K -6.51%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-27 19:39
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig◎1.28I 78.13%NM 77.62%4.44I 22.52%NM 22.38%0.6%2026-09-27 19:55
Matchbook◎1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-09-27 19:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-09-27 19:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-09-27 19:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-09-27 20:05
Polymarket◎1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74%1.1%2026-09-27 15:48
Kalshi◎1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74%1.1%2026-09-26 23:55
ProphetX◎1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74%1.1%2026-09-27 20:05
Smarkets◎1.27I 78.74%NM 77.20%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.80%2.0%2026-09-27 20:04
BetOpenly◎1.24I 80.65%NM 77.58%4.29I 23.31%NM 22.42%4.0%2026-09-27 20:04