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San Francisco 49ers v Arizona Cardinals
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
San Francisco 49ers (Local)
Predicción 76.08%1.31momio equitativo
EV -1.86%
Ventaja -1.44%
Kelly -6.41%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.29
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
73.84%75.89%76.05%77.68%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.121.251.251.2989.29%80.04%80.00%77.52%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Arizona Cardinals (Visitante)
Predicción 23.92%4.18momio equitativo
EV +4.06%
Ventaja +0.932%
Kelly +1.21%
Crecimiento +0.049%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.35
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.32%24.11%23.95%26.16%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.503.964.004.3528.57%25.26%25.00%22.99%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: San Francisco 49ers (Local): 76.08%; Arizona Cardinals (Visitante): 23.92%. Para Arizona Cardinals (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.18. 7 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.35, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +4.06%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.68%EV -4.90%E -3.92%K -19.60%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32%EV +4.06%E +0.932%K +1.21%G +0.049% | 3.0% | 2026-09-27 19:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.27%EV -4.90%E -3.92%K -19.60%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.73%EV +1.66%E +0.392%K +0.512%G +0.009% | 3.5% | 2026-09-27 20:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.66%E -4.57%K -23.59%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV +0.468%E +0.111%K +0.146%G +0.001% | 4.5% | 2026-09-27 19:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -6.42%E -5.22%K -27.93%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV +0.468%E +0.111%K +0.146%G +0.001% | 5.1% | 2026-09-27 18:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.18%E -5.89%K -32.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +0.468%E +0.111%K +0.146%G +0.001% | 5.8% | 2026-09-27 20:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.18%E -5.89%K -32.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +0.468%E +0.111%K +0.146%G +0.001% | 5.8% | 2026-09-27 20:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.18%E -5.89%K -32.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +0.468%E +0.111%K +0.146%G +0.001% | 5.8% | 2026-09-27 20:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.56%EV -2.62%E -2.05%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 4.18I 23.92%NM 23.44%EV -0.010%E -0.002%K -0.003%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-09-27 20:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.85%EV -4.90%E -3.92%K -19.60%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.15%EV -0.728%E -0.175%K -0.231%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-27 18:01 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.90%E -3.92%K -19.60%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -1.92%E -0.469%K -0.621%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-27 20:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.90%E -3.92%K -19.60%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -1.92%E -0.469%K -0.621%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-27 00:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -6.42%E -5.22%K -27.93%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -1.92%E -0.469%K -0.621%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-27 20:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.03%EV -2.62%E -2.05%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 4.06I 24.63%NM 23.97%EV -2.88%E -0.710%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-27 20:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.27%EV -4.14%E -3.29%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.73%EV -3.12%E -0.770%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-27 15:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.18%EV -4.14%E -3.29%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV -3.60%E -0.893%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-27 15:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.18%EV -4.14%E -3.29%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV -3.60%E -0.893%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-27 15:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.47%EV -5.66%E -4.57%K -23.59%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.53%EV -3.60%E -0.893%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-27 20:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.47%EV -5.66%E -4.57%K -23.59%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.53%EV -3.60%E -0.893%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-27 20:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.38%E -2.66%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-27 18:01 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.14%E -3.29%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-27 00:13 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.14%E -3.29%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-27 16:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.14%E -3.29%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-27 00:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.14%E -3.29%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-27 19:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.14%E -3.29%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-27 15:38 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.90%E -3.92%K -19.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-27 19:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.90%E -3.92%K -19.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-27 18:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.90%E -3.92%K -19.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-27 20:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.90%E -3.92%K -19.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-27 00:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.90%E -3.92%K -19.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-27 19:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.90%E -3.92%K -19.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-27 00:10 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.18%E -5.89%K -32.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-27 20:03 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.18%E -5.89%K -32.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-27 20:04 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.72%EV -3.38%E -2.66%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 24.28%EV -5.27%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-27 20:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.38%E -2.66%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -6.71%E -1.72%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-27 18:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.14%E -3.29%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.71%E -1.72%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-27 20:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.14%E -3.29%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.71%E -1.72%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-27 20:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.14%E -3.29%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.71%E -1.72%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-27 18:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.14%E -3.29%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.71%E -1.72%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-27 10:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.14%E -3.29%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.71%E -1.72%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-27 17:01 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.90%E -3.92%K -19.60%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -6.71%E -1.72%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-27 20:05 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -2.62%E -2.05%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -7.90%E -2.05%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-27 11:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.14%E -3.29%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.90%E -2.05%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-27 20:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.14%E -3.29%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.90%E -2.05%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-27 20:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.14%E -3.29%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.90%E -2.05%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-27 20:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.14%E -3.29%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.90%E -2.05%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-27 20:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.90%E -3.92%K -19.60%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -7.90%E -2.05%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-27 20:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.90%E -3.92%K -19.60%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.10%E -2.39%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-27 20:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.90%E -3.92%K -19.60%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.10%E -2.39%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-27 00:49 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.85%EV -7.94%E -6.57%K -37.83%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -9.10%E -2.39%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-27 19:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -4.14%E -3.29%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -10.30%E -2.75%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-27 20:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -5.66%E -4.57%K -23.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -10.30%E -2.75%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-27 20:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -3.38%E -2.66%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -11.49%E -3.11%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-27 20:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -4.90%E -3.92%K -19.60%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -11.49%E -3.11%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-27 20:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 76.76%EV -14.79%E -13.21%K -123.26%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.24%EV -11.49%E -3.11%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-09-27 19:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -1.86%E -1.44%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -12.69%E -3.48%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-27 20:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.80%EV -6.42%E -5.22%K -27.93%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -12.69%E -3.48%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-27 20:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.84%EV -5.66%E -4.57%K -23.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%EV -16.28%E -4.65%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-27 19:39 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.62% | 4.44I 22.52%NM 22.38% | 0.6% | 2026-09-27 19:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 0.9% | 2026-09-27 19:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 0.9% | 2026-09-27 19:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 0.9% | 2026-09-27 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 0.9% | 2026-09-27 20:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74% | 1.1% | 2026-09-27 15:48 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74% | 1.1% | 2026-09-26 23:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74% | 1.1% | 2026-09-27 20:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.20% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.80% | 2.0% | 2026-09-27 20:04 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.58% | 4.29I 23.31%NM 22.42% | 4.0% | 2026-09-27 20:04 |