Pittsburgh Steelers v Indianapolis Colts

2026-10-11 17:00 UTC — NFL

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Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

54%

46%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Pittsburgh Steelers (Local)

Prediction 54.17%1.85fair odd

EV -4.66%

Edge -2.65%

Kelly -6.13%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.76

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

53.19%54.17%54.17%55.15%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.741.751.751.7657%57%57%57%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Indianapolis Colts (Visit)

Prediction 45.83%2.18fair odd

EV -1.93%

Edge -0.902%

Kelly -1.69%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.14

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

44.85%45.83%45.83%46.81%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

2.002.072.072.1450%48%48%47%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Caesars	1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -4.66%E -2.65%K -6.13%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -8.35%E -4.17%K -8.35%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-05-15 21:54
DraftKings	1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -5.74%E -3.30%K -7.76%G +0.000%	2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -1.93%E -0.902%K -1.69%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-07-22 00:35

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.