Pittsburgh Steelers v Indianapolis Colts

2026-10-11 17:00 — NFL

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis)

Option 1: Pittsburgh Steelers (Local)

Odds

1.7058.82%Min

1.7357.80%Mean

1.7357.80%Median

1.7656.82%Max

Consensus probabilities

53.19%1.880Min

56.41%1.773Max

54.80%1.825Mean

54.80%1.825Median

54.80%1.825IQM

55.11%1.814Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.76 under the IQM model: 54.80%

EV -3.55%Edge -2.02%Kelly -4.67%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Indianapolis Colts (Visit)

Odds

2.0050.00%Min

2.1047.62%Mean

2.1047.62%Median

2.2045.45%Max

Consensus probabilities

43.59%2.294Min

46.81%2.136Max

45.20%2.212Mean

45.20%2.212Median

45.20%2.212IQM

44.89%2.228Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.20 under the IQM model: 45.20%

EV -0.562%Edge -0.255%Kelly -0.468%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Pittsburgh Steelers (Local) ▼	Indianapolis Colts (Visit)	Margin	Updated
Caesars	1.76I 56.82% NM 53.19%EV -3.55% E -2.02% K -4.67% G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00% NM 46.81%EV -9.60% E -4.80% K -9.60% G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-05-15 21:54
Bet Right	1.73I 57.80% NM 55.06%EV -5.19% E -3.00% K -7.12% G +0.000%	2.12I 47.17% NM 44.94%EV -4.18% E -1.97% K -3.73% G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-05-26 02:11
DraftKings	1.70I 58.82% NM 56.41%EV -6.84% E -4.02% K -9.77% G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45% NM 43.59%EV -0.562% E -0.255% K -0.468% G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-06-24 02:10

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth