Language:English
Pittsburgh Steelers v Indianapolis Colts
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Pittsburgh Steelers (Local)
Prediction 58.69%1.70fair odd
EV -0.810%
Edge -0.479%
Kelly -1.17%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.69
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.11%58.63%58.71%59.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.491.631.641.6967.11%61.24%60.98%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Indianapolis Colts (Visit)
Prediction 41.31%2.42fair odd
EV -0.861%
Edge -0.359%
Kelly -0.615%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.05%41.37%41.29%42.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.042.292.302.4049.02%43.62%43.48%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pittsburgh Steelers (Local): 58.69%; Indianapolis Colts (Visit): 41.31%. For Pittsburgh Steelers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.70. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.69, with an expected value of -0.810%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -0.810%E -0.479%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -7.06%E -3.14%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-10-11 17:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -1.40%E -0.832%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -4.99%E -2.17%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-10-11 12:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -1.40%E -0.832%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -4.99%E -2.17%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-10-11 12:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -1.40%E -0.832%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -4.99%E -2.17%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-10-11 12:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -1.40%E -0.832%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -4.99%E -2.17%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-10-11 12:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -1.98%E -1.19%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.99%E -2.17%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-11 16:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.72%EV -1.98%E -1.19%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.28%EV -5.82%E -2.55%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-11 12:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -1.98%E -1.19%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -7.06%E -3.14%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-11 17:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -2.57%E -1.55%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -1.27%E -0.533%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-10-11 15:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -2.57%E -1.55%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -7.06%E -3.14%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-11 12:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -2.57%E -1.55%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -7.06%E -3.14%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-11 12:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -2.57%E -1.55%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -7.06%E -3.14%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-11 12:14 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -2.57%E -1.55%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -7.06%E -3.14%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-11 12:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.16%EV -3.16%E -1.91%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.84%EV -1.27%E -0.533%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-10-11 16:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.16%E -1.91%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.93%E -1.25%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-10-11 16:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.16%E -1.91%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.93%E -1.25%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-10-11 16:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.16%E -1.91%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.93%E -1.25%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-10-11 16:34 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.16%E -1.91%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.93%E -1.25%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-10-11 16:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV -3.16%E -1.91%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV -3.34%E -1.43%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-10-11 16:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.16%E -1.91%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.99%E -2.17%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-11 16:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.16%E -1.91%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.99%E -2.17%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-11 16:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.16%E -1.91%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.99%E -2.17%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-11 16:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.16%E -1.91%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.99%E -2.17%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-11 16:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.16%E -1.91%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.99%E -2.17%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-11 16:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.16%E -1.91%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.06%E -3.14%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-11 16:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.16%E -1.91%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.06%E -3.14%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-11 16:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -3.16%E -1.91%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -7.47%E -3.34%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-11 16:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.16%E -1.91%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -9.12%E -4.15%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-11 17:00 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -3.74%E -2.28%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.99%E -2.17%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-11 16:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.74%E -2.28%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.06%E -3.14%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-11 16:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.74%E -2.28%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.06%E -3.14%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-11 16:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.33%E -2.66%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -2.93%E -1.25%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-11 16:35 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -4.33%E -2.66%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -3.34%E -1.43%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-11 16:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.33%E -2.66%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.82%E -2.55%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-11 17:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.92%E -3.04%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -0.861%E -0.359%K -0.615%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-11 16:17 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.40%EV -4.92%E -3.04%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.60%EV -2.10%E -0.886%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-11 16:18 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.92%E -3.04%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.93%E -1.25%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-11 14:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.92%E -3.04%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.93%E -1.25%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-11 17:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.92%E -3.04%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.99%E -2.17%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-11 14:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.92%E -3.04%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.99%E -2.17%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-11 16:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.92%E -3.04%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.99%E -2.17%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-11 16:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.92%E -3.04%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.99%E -2.17%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-11 14:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.92%E -3.04%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.99%E -2.17%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-11 16:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.51%E -3.42%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.99%E -2.17%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-11 14:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.51%E -3.42%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.99%E -2.17%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-11 14:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.51%E -3.42%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.99%E -2.17%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-11 14:24 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.51%E -3.42%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.99%E -2.17%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-11 16:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -5.51%E -3.42%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -5.82%E -2.55%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-11 16:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.09%E -3.81%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.99%E -2.17%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-11 16:24 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.09%E -3.81%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.99%E -2.17%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-11 16:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -6.09%E -3.81%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -5.82%E -2.55%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-11 17:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.44%EV -6.68%E -4.20%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.56%EV -3.75%E -1.61%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-11 13:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.20%EV -7.27%E -4.60%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -9.12%E -4.15%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-11 16:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.85%E -5.00%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -2.93%E -1.25%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-11 13:58 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.58%EV -7.85%E -5.00%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.42%EV -8.30%E -3.74%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-11 15:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -7.85%E -5.00%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -9.12%E -4.15%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-11 16:14 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 57.79%EV -12.55%E -8.42%K -25.61%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 42.21%EV -15.73%E -7.71%K -15.13%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-10-11 12:14 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.39% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.61% | 0.1% | 2026-10-11 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.39% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.61% | 0.1% | 2026-10-11 16:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46% | 0.5% | 2026-10-11 17:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 0.5% | 2026-10-11 17:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.78% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 41.22% | 0.7% | 2026-10-11 16:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-10-11 14:20 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-10-11 03:24 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-10-11 16:59 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.18% | 1.2% | 2026-10-11 16:21 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25% | 3.2% | 2026-10-11 16:34 |