Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Pittsburgh Steelers v Indianapolis Colts

2026-10-11 17:00 UTC — NFL

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

55%

45%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Pittsburgh Steelers (Local)

Prediction 54.80%1.82fair odd

EV -3.55%

Edge -2.02%

Kelly -4.67%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.76

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

53.19%54.80%54.80%56.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.701.731.731.7658.82%57.80%57.80%56.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Indianapolis Colts (Visit)

Prediction 45.20%2.21fair odd

EV -0.562%

Edge -0.255%

Kelly -0.468%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

43.59%45.20%45.20%46.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.002.102.102.2050.00%47.62%47.62%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Pittsburgh Steelers (Local): 54.80%; Indianapolis Colts (Visit): 45.20%. For Indianapolis Colts (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.21. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.20, with an expected value of -0.562%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Caesars🎯	1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -3.55%E -2.02%K -4.67%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -9.60%E -4.80%K -9.60%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-05-15 21:54
DraftKings🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -6.84%E -4.02%K -9.77%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -0.562%E -0.255%K -0.468%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-08-06 22:35

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.