Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Pittsburgh Steelers v Indianapolis Colts

Inicio: 2026-10-11 17:02 UTC

Final: Pittsburgh Steelers 34–22 Indianapolis Colts

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Pittsburgh Steelers (Local)

Predicción 58.69%1.70momio equitativo
EV -0.810%
Ventaja -0.479%
Kelly -1.17%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.69

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.11%58.63%58.71%59.95%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.491.631.641.6967.11%61.24%60.98%59.17%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Indianapolis Colts (Visitante)

Predicción 41.31%2.42momio equitativo
EV -0.861%
Ventaja -0.359%
Kelly -0.615%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.05%41.37%41.29%42.89%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.042.292.302.4049.02%43.62%43.48%41.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Pittsburgh Steelers (Local): 58.69%; Indianapolis Colts (Visitante): 41.31%. Para Pittsburgh Steelers (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.70. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 1.69, con un valor esperado de -0.810%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -0.810%E -0.479%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -7.06%E -3.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-11 17:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -1.40%E -0.832%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -4.99%E -2.17%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-11 12:14
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -1.40%E -0.832%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -4.99%E -2.17%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-11 12:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -1.40%E -0.832%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -4.99%E -2.17%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-11 12:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -1.40%E -0.832%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -4.99%E -2.17%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-11 12:15
Bovada🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -1.98%E -1.19%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.99%E -2.17%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-11 16:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.72%EV -1.98%E -1.19%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.28%EV -5.82%E -2.55%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-11 12:14
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -1.98%E -1.19%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -7.06%E -3.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-11 17:00
Coolbet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -2.57%E -1.55%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -1.27%E -0.533%K -0.917%G +0.000%2.1%2026-10-11 15:44
BetRivers🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -2.57%E -1.55%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -7.06%E -3.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-11 12:15
Unibet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -2.57%E -1.55%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -7.06%E -3.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-11 12:15
betPARX🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -2.57%E -1.55%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -7.06%E -3.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-11 12:14
Bally Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -2.57%E -1.55%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -7.06%E -3.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-11 12:14
Pinnacle🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.16%EV -3.16%E -1.91%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.84%EV -1.27%E -0.533%K -0.917%G +0.000%2.4%2026-10-11 16:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.16%E -1.91%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.93%E -1.25%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-11 16:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.16%E -1.91%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.93%E -1.25%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-11 16:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.16%E -1.91%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.93%E -1.25%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-11 16:34
BetAnything🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.16%E -1.91%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.93%E -1.25%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-11 16:34
BetUS🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV -3.16%E -1.91%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV -3.34%E -1.43%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-11 16:49
DraftKings🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.16%E -1.91%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.99%E -2.17%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-11 16:59
FanDuel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.16%E -1.91%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.99%E -2.17%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-11 16:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.16%E -1.91%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.99%E -2.17%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-11 16:59
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.16%E -1.91%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.99%E -2.17%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-11 16:59
Fanatics🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.16%E -1.91%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.99%E -2.17%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-11 16:59
Paddy Power🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.16%E -1.91%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.06%E -3.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-11 16:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.16%E -1.91%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.06%E -3.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-11 16:59
Bet Right🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -3.16%E -1.91%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -7.47%E -3.34%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-11 16:59
ReBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.16%E -1.91%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -9.12%E -4.15%K -7.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-11 17:00
Dabble (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -3.74%E -2.28%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.99%E -2.17%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-11 16:34
Neds🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.74%E -2.28%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.06%E -3.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-11 16:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.74%E -2.28%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.06%E -3.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-11 16:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.33%E -2.66%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -2.93%E -1.25%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-11 16:35
MyBookie.ag🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -4.33%E -2.66%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -3.34%E -1.43%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-11 16:59
SportsBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.33%E -2.66%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.82%E -2.55%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-11 17:00
Everygame🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.92%E -3.04%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -0.861%E -0.359%K -0.615%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-11 16:17
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.40%EV -4.92%E -3.04%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.60%EV -2.10%E -0.886%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-11 16:18
GTbets🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.92%E -3.04%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.93%E -1.25%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-11 14:05
Betway🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.92%E -3.04%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.93%E -1.25%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-11 17:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.92%E -3.04%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.99%E -2.17%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-11 14:10
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.92%E -3.04%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.99%E -2.17%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-11 16:29
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.92%E -3.04%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.99%E -2.17%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-11 16:59
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.92%E -3.04%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.99%E -2.17%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-11 14:25
TAB🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.92%E -3.04%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.99%E -2.17%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-11 16:49
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.51%E -3.42%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.99%E -2.17%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-11 14:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.51%E -3.42%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.99%E -2.17%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-11 14:24
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.51%E -3.42%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.99%E -2.17%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-11 14:24
Fliff🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.51%E -3.42%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.99%E -2.17%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-11 16:49
Codere (IT)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -5.51%E -3.42%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -5.82%E -2.55%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-11 16:59
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.09%E -3.81%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.99%E -2.17%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-11 16:24
betano_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.09%E -3.81%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.99%E -2.17%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-11 16:24
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -6.09%E -3.81%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -5.82%E -2.55%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-11 17:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.44%EV -6.68%E -4.20%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.56%EV -3.75%E -1.61%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-11 13:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.20%EV -7.27%E -4.60%K -12.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -9.12%E -4.15%K -7.60%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-11 16:59
Tipico (DE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.85%E -5.00%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -2.93%E -1.25%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-11 13:58
NetBet (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.58%EV -7.85%E -5.00%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.42%EV -8.30%E -3.74%K -6.80%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-11 15:39
LeoVegas🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -7.85%E -5.00%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -9.12%E -4.15%K -7.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-11 16:14
PMU (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 57.79%EV -12.55%E -8.42%K -25.61%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 42.21%EV -15.73%E -7.71%K -15.13%G +0.000%16.1%2026-10-11 12:14
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 58.39%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.61%0.1%2026-10-11 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 58.39%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.61%0.1%2026-10-11 16:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-10-11 17:00
Matchbook◎1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-10-11 17:00
Novig◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.78%2.41I 41.49%NM 41.22%0.7%2026-10-11 16:20
Kalshi◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-10-11 14:20
Polymarket◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-10-11 03:24
Smarkets◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-10-11 16:59
ProphetX◎1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.18%1.2%2026-10-11 16:21
BetOpenly◎1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%3.2%2026-10-11 16:34