Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Pittsburgh Steelers v Indianapolis Colts

Início: 2026-10-11 17:02 UTC

Final: Pittsburgh Steelers 34–22 Indianapolis Colts

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

57 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Pittsburgh Steelers (Local)

Previsão 58.69%1.70odd justa
EV -0.810%
Vantagem -0.479%
Kelly -1.17%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.69

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
57.11%58.63%58.71%59.95%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.491.631.641.6967.11%61.24%60.98%59.17%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Indianapolis Colts (Visitante)

Previsão 41.31%2.42odd justa
EV -0.861%
Vantagem -0.359%
Kelly -0.615%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.05%41.37%41.29%42.89%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.042.292.302.4049.02%43.62%43.48%41.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Pittsburgh Steelers (Local): 58.69%; Indianapolis Colts (Visitante): 41.31%. Para Pittsburgh Steelers (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.70. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 1.69, com valor esperado de -0.810%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (57 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -0.810%E -0.479%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -7.06%E -3.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-11 17:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -1.40%E -0.832%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -4.99%E -2.17%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-11 12:14
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -1.40%E -0.832%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -4.99%E -2.17%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-11 12:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -1.40%E -0.832%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -4.99%E -2.17%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-11 12:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -1.40%E -0.832%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -4.99%E -2.17%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-11 12:15
Bovada🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -1.98%E -1.19%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.99%E -2.17%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-11 16:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.72%EV -1.98%E -1.19%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.28%EV -5.82%E -2.55%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-11 12:14
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -1.98%E -1.19%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -7.06%E -3.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-11 17:00
Coolbet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -2.57%E -1.55%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -1.27%E -0.533%K -0.917%G +0.000%2.1%2026-10-11 15:44
BetRivers🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -2.57%E -1.55%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -7.06%E -3.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-11 12:15
Unibet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -2.57%E -1.55%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -7.06%E -3.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-11 12:15
betPARX🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -2.57%E -1.55%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -7.06%E -3.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-11 12:14
Bally Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -2.57%E -1.55%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -7.06%E -3.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-11 12:14
Pinnacle🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.16%EV -3.16%E -1.91%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.84%EV -1.27%E -0.533%K -0.917%G +0.000%2.4%2026-10-11 16:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.16%E -1.91%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.93%E -1.25%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-11 16:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.16%E -1.91%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.93%E -1.25%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-11 16:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.16%E -1.91%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.93%E -1.25%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-11 16:34
BetAnything🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.16%E -1.91%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.93%E -1.25%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-11 16:34
BetUS🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV -3.16%E -1.91%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV -3.34%E -1.43%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-11 16:49
DraftKings🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.16%E -1.91%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.99%E -2.17%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-11 16:59
FanDuel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.16%E -1.91%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.99%E -2.17%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-11 16:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.16%E -1.91%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.99%E -2.17%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-11 16:59
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.16%E -1.91%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.99%E -2.17%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-11 16:59
Fanatics🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.16%E -1.91%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.99%E -2.17%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-11 16:59
Paddy Power🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.16%E -1.91%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.06%E -3.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-11 16:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.16%E -1.91%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.06%E -3.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-11 16:59
Bet Right🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -3.16%E -1.91%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -7.47%E -3.34%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-11 16:59
ReBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.16%E -1.91%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -9.12%E -4.15%K -7.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-11 17:00
Dabble (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -3.74%E -2.28%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.99%E -2.17%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-11 16:34
Neds🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.74%E -2.28%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.06%E -3.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-11 16:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.74%E -2.28%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.06%E -3.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-11 16:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.33%E -2.66%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -2.93%E -1.25%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-11 16:35
MyBookie.ag🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -4.33%E -2.66%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -3.34%E -1.43%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-11 16:59
SportsBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.33%E -2.66%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.82%E -2.55%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-11 17:00
Everygame🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.92%E -3.04%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -0.861%E -0.359%K -0.615%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-11 16:17
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.40%EV -4.92%E -3.04%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.60%EV -2.10%E -0.886%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-11 16:18
GTbets🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.92%E -3.04%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.93%E -1.25%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-11 14:05
Betway🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.92%E -3.04%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.93%E -1.25%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-11 17:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.92%E -3.04%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.99%E -2.17%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-11 14:10
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.92%E -3.04%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.99%E -2.17%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-11 16:29
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.92%E -3.04%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.99%E -2.17%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-11 16:59
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.92%E -3.04%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.99%E -2.17%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-11 14:25
TAB🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.92%E -3.04%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.99%E -2.17%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-11 16:49
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.51%E -3.42%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.99%E -2.17%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-11 14:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.51%E -3.42%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.99%E -2.17%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-11 14:24
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.51%E -3.42%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.99%E -2.17%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-11 14:24
Fliff🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.51%E -3.42%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.99%E -2.17%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-11 16:49
Codere (IT)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -5.51%E -3.42%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -5.82%E -2.55%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-11 16:59
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.09%E -3.81%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.99%E -2.17%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-11 16:24
betano_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.09%E -3.81%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.99%E -2.17%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-11 16:24
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -6.09%E -3.81%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -5.82%E -2.55%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-11 17:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.44%EV -6.68%E -4.20%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.56%EV -3.75%E -1.61%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-11 13:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.20%EV -7.27%E -4.60%K -12.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -9.12%E -4.15%K -7.60%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-11 16:59
Tipico (DE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.85%E -5.00%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -2.93%E -1.25%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-11 13:58
NetBet (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.58%EV -7.85%E -5.00%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.42%EV -8.30%E -3.74%K -6.80%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-11 15:39
LeoVegas🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -7.85%E -5.00%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -9.12%E -4.15%K -7.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-11 16:14
PMU (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 57.79%EV -12.55%E -8.42%K -25.61%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 42.21%EV -15.73%E -7.71%K -15.13%G +0.000%16.1%2026-10-11 12:14
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 58.39%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.61%0.1%2026-10-11 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 58.39%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.61%0.1%2026-10-11 16:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-10-11 17:00
Matchbook◎1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-10-11 17:00
Novig◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.78%2.41I 41.49%NM 41.22%0.7%2026-10-11 16:20
Kalshi◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-10-11 14:20
Polymarket◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-10-11 03:24
Smarkets◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-10-11 16:59
ProphetX◎1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.18%1.2%2026-10-11 16:21
BetOpenly◎1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%3.2%2026-10-11 16:34