The School of Odds

Pittsburgh Steelers v Atlanta Falcons

2026-09-13 17:00 — NFL

Head to Head

44 sportsbooks (16 in analysis)

Option 1: Pittsburgh Steelers (Local)

1.4369.93%Min
1.6261.61%Mean
1.6261.73%Median
1.7058.82%Max
55.84%1.791Min
60.95%1.641Max
58.97%1.696Mean
58.86%1.699Median
58.91%1.698IQM
58.98%1.695Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.70 under the IQM model: 58.91%

EV +0.143%Edge +0.084%Kelly +0.204%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Atlanta Falcons (Visit)

2.0748.31%Min
2.3043.40%Mean
2.3043.48%Median
2.4540.82%Max
39.05%2.561Min
44.16%2.265Max
41.03%2.437Mean
41.14%2.431Median
41.09%2.434IQM
41.02%2.438Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.45 under the IQM model: 41.09%

EV +0.677%Edge +0.276%Kelly +0.467%Growth +0.003%

Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)

BookmakerPittsburgh Steelers (Local)Atlanta Falcons (Visit) ▼MarginUpdated
Bovada1.59I 62.89% NM 60.64%EV -6.34% E -3.99% K -10.74% G +0.000%2.45I 40.82% NM 39.36%EV +0.677% E +0.276% K +0.467% G +0.003%3.7%2026-06-08 16:08
DraftKings1.57I 63.69% NM 60.95%EV -7.52% E -4.79% K -13.18% G +0.000%2.45I 40.82% NM 39.05%EV +0.677% E +0.276% K +0.467% G +0.003%4.5%2026-07-03 05:05
PointsBet (AU)1.57I 63.69% NM 60.95%EV -7.52% E -4.79% K -13.18% G +0.000%2.45I 40.82% NM 39.05%EV +0.677% E +0.276% K +0.467% G +0.003%4.5%2026-07-03 05:05
GTbets1.61I 62.11% NM 59.85%EV -5.16% E -3.20% K -8.46% G +0.000%2.40I 41.67% NM 40.15%EV -1.38% E -0.574% K -0.984% G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-08 16:09
Fanatics1.59I 62.89% NM 60.15%EV -6.34% E -3.99% K -10.74% G +0.000%2.40I 41.67% NM 39.85%EV -1.38% E -0.574% K -0.984% G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-03 13:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11% NM 59.55%EV -5.16% E -3.20% K -8.46% G +0.000%2.37I 42.19% NM 40.45%EV -2.61% E -1.10% K -1.91% G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-19 18:50
Coral1.61I 62.11% NM 59.55%EV -5.16% E -3.20% K -8.46% G +0.000%2.37I 42.19% NM 40.45%EV -2.61% E -1.10% K -1.91% G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-19 18:48
theScore Bet1.65I 60.61% NM 58.75%EV -2.80% E -1.70% K -4.31% G +0.000%2.35I 42.55% NM 41.25%EV -3.43% E -1.46% K -2.54% G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-09 03:19
Pinnacle1.65I 60.61% NM 58.75%EV -2.80% E -1.70% K -4.31% G +0.000%2.35I 42.55% NM 41.25%EV -3.43% E -1.46% K -2.54% G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-28 02:30
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61% NM 58.75%EV -2.80% E -1.70% K -4.31% G +0.000%2.35I 42.55% NM 41.25%EV -3.43% E -1.46% K -2.54% G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-30 07:00
LowVig.ag1.65I 60.61% NM 58.75%EV -2.80% E -1.70% K -4.31% G +0.000%2.35I 42.55% NM 41.25%EV -3.43% E -1.46% K -2.54% G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-30 07:00
Caesars1.62I 61.73% NM 59.19%EV -4.57% E -2.82% K -7.37% G +0.000%2.35I 42.55% NM 40.81%EV -3.43% E -1.46% K -2.54% G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-22 16:41
BetMGM1.62I 61.73% NM 59.19%EV -4.57% E -2.82% K -7.37% G +0.000%2.35I 42.55% NM 40.81%EV -3.43% E -1.46% K -2.54% G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-19 18:50
BetUS1.65I 60.61% NM 58.65%EV -2.80% E -1.70% K -4.31% G +0.000%2.34I 42.74% NM 41.35%EV -3.84% E -1.64% K -2.87% G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-30 07:00
ReBet1.62I 61.73% NM 58.88%EV -4.57% E -2.82% K -7.37% G +0.000%2.32I 43.10% NM 41.12%EV -4.67% E -2.01% K -3.53% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-03 05:05
NordicBet1.59I 62.89% NM 59.23%EV -6.34% E -3.99% K -10.74% G +0.000%2.31I 43.29% NM 40.77%EV -5.08% E -2.20% K -3.88% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-02 19:15
Betsson1.59I 62.89% NM 59.23%EV -6.34% E -3.99% K -10.74% G +0.000%2.31I 43.29% NM 40.77%EV -5.08% E -2.20% K -3.88% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-02 19:15
Hard Rock Bet1.65I 60.61% NM 58.23%EV -2.80% E -1.70% K -4.31% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.77%EV -5.49% E -2.39% K -4.22% G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-04 10:05
Unibet (SE)1.64I 60.98% NM 58.38%EV -3.39% E -2.07% K -5.30% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.62%EV -5.49% E -2.39% K -4.22% G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-10 11:00
Unibet1.64I 60.98% NM 58.38%EV -3.39% E -2.07% K -5.30% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.62%EV -5.49% E -2.39% K -4.22% G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-10 11:00
Bally Bet1.64I 60.98% NM 58.38%EV -3.39% E -2.07% K -5.30% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.62%EV -5.49% E -2.39% K -4.22% G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-10 10:59
ATG (SE)1.64I 60.98% NM 58.38%EV -3.39% E -2.07% K -5.30% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.62%EV -5.49% E -2.39% K -4.22% G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-10 11:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.64I 60.98% NM 58.38%EV -3.39% E -2.07% K -5.30% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.62%EV -5.49% E -2.39% K -4.22% G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-10 10:59
Unibet (NL)1.64I 60.98% NM 58.38%EV -3.39% E -2.07% K -5.30% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.62%EV -5.49% E -2.39% K -4.22% G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-10 10:59
betPARX1.64I 60.98% NM 58.38%EV -3.39% E -2.07% K -5.30% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.62%EV -5.49% E -2.39% K -4.22% G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-10 11:04
Svenska Spel1.64I 60.98% NM 58.38%EV -3.39% E -2.07% K -5.30% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.62%EV -5.49% E -2.39% K -4.22% G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-10 11:00
Neds1.62I 61.73% NM 58.67%EV -4.57% E -2.82% K -7.37% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.33%EV -5.49% E -2.39% K -4.22% G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-19 18:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73% NM 58.67%EV -4.57% E -2.82% K -7.37% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.33%EV -5.49% E -2.39% K -4.22% G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-19 18:50
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73% NM 58.67%EV -4.57% E -2.82% K -7.37% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.33%EV -5.49% E -2.39% K -4.22% G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-09 03:09
William Hill1.62I 61.73% NM 58.67%EV -4.57% E -2.82% K -7.37% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.33%EV -5.49% E -2.39% K -4.22% G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-08 14:39
Bet Right1.62I 61.73% NM 58.67%EV -4.57% E -2.82% K -7.37% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.33%EV -5.49% E -2.39% K -4.22% G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-22 22:50
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50% NM 58.97%EV -5.75% E -3.59% K -9.58% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.03%EV -5.49% E -2.39% K -4.22% G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-08 14:09
Coolbet1.60I 62.50% NM 58.97%EV -5.75% E -3.59% K -9.58% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.03%EV -5.49% E -2.39% K -4.22% G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 10:08
MyBookie.ag1.60I 62.50% NM 58.87%EV -5.75% E -3.59% K -9.58% G +0.000%2.29I 43.67% NM 41.13%EV -5.90% E -2.58% K -4.57% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-03 05:05
BetRivers1.64I 60.98% NM 58.16%EV -3.39% E -2.07% K -5.30% G +0.000%2.28I 43.86% NM 41.84%EV -6.31% E -2.77% K -4.93% G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-10 10:59
Betclic (FR)1.60I 62.50% NM 58.44%EV -5.75% E -3.59% K -9.58% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 41.56%EV -7.54% E -3.35% K -6.03% G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-08 14:08
FanDuel1.68I 59.52% NM 57.14%EV -1.04% E -0.616% K -1.52% G +0.000%2.24I 44.64% NM 42.86%EV -7.95% E -3.55% K -6.41% G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-18 16:15
SportsBet1.67I 59.88% NM 57.07%EV -1.62% E -0.973% K -2.42% G +0.000%2.22I 45.05% NM 42.93%EV -8.77% E -3.95% K -7.19% G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-18 16:20
Marathon Bet1.65I 60.61% NM 57.25%EV -2.80% E -1.70% K -4.31% G +0.000%2.21I 45.25% NM 42.75%EV -9.19% E -4.16% K -7.59% G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-19 19:40
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88% NM 56.85%EV -1.62% E -0.973% K -2.42% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 43.15%EV -9.60% E -4.36% K -8.00% G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 16:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88% NM 56.85%EV -1.62% E -0.973% K -2.42% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 43.15%EV -9.60% E -4.36% K -8.00% G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 16:15
LeoVegas1.60I 62.50% NM 57.89%EV -5.75% E -3.59% K -9.58% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 42.11%EV -9.60% E -4.36% K -8.00% G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-03 19:15
TAB1.70I 58.82% NM 55.84%EV +0.143% E +0.084% K +0.204% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 44.16%EV -11.65% E -5.42% K -10.13% G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 07:39
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61% NM 56.58%EV -2.80% E -1.70% K -4.31% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 43.42%EV -11.65% E -5.42% K -10.13% G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-19 17:18
NetBet (FR)1.43I 69.93% NM 59.14%EV -15.76% E -11.02% K -36.66% G +0.000%2.07I 48.31% NM 40.86%EV -14.94% E -7.22% K -13.96% G +0.000%18.2%2026-07-02 15:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerPittsburgh Steelers (Local)Atlanta Falcons (Visit)Margin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%2.33I 42.92%5.0%2026-07-05 02:00
Smarkets1.57I 63.69%2.24I 44.64%8.3%2026-07-03 05:05
Arbitrage (3 combinations)+0.36%TAB 1.70 (59.0%) / DraftKings 2.45 (41.0%)Show all 3 combinations
Pittsburgh Steelers (Local)Atlanta Falcons (Visit)Margin
TAB 1.70 (59.0%)Bovada 2.45 (41.0%)+0.361%
TAB 1.70 (59.0%)DraftKings 2.45 (41.0%)+0.361%
TAB 1.70 (59.0%)PointsBet (AU) 2.45 (41.0%)+0.361%