Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Pittsburgh Steelers v Atlanta Falcons

2026-09-13 17:00 UTC — NFL

Head to Head

43 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Pittsburgh Steelers (Local)

Prediction 59.48%1.68fair odd
EV -1.86%
Edge -1.13%
Kelly -2.86%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.25%59.45%59.45%60.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.431.601.601.6569.93%62.57%62.50%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Atlanta Falcons (Visit)

Prediction 40.52%2.47fair odd
EV -0.726%
Edge -0.296%
Kelly -0.501%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.05%40.55%40.55%42.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.352.352.4547.62%42.61%42.55%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Pittsburgh Steelers (Local): 59.48%; Atlanta Falcons (Visit): 40.52%. For Atlanta Falcons (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.47. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.45, with an expected value of -0.726%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -1.86%E -1.13%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.78%E -2.03%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-14 18:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.25%EV -1.86%E -1.13%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.75%EV -10.45%E -4.73%K -8.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-19 19:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.64%E -2.25%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.75%E -1.15%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-13 16:24
LowVig.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.64%E -2.25%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.75%E -1.15%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-13 16:25
BetUS🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -3.64%E -2.25%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -3.56%E -1.50%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-13 16:24
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.40%EV -3.64%E -2.25%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.60%EV -3.97%E -1.67%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-07 20:24
FanDuel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -3.64%E -2.25%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -4.37%E -1.85%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-13 04:35
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.64%E -2.25%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.78%E -2.03%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-19 18:50
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.64%E -2.25%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.80%E -2.96%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-19 18:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.64%E -2.25%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.80%E -2.96%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-19 18:50
TAB🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.64%E -2.25%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.80%E -2.96%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-14 02:24
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.64%E -2.25%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.83%E -3.92%K -7.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-10 14:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.64%E -2.25%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.83%E -3.92%K -7.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-10 14:35
Pinnacle🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -4.24%E -2.63%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -0.726%E -0.296%K -0.501%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-10 14:45
GTbets🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.24%E -2.63%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.75%E -1.15%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-21 16:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.24%E -2.63%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.75%E -1.15%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-11 04:19
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.24%E -2.63%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.78%E -2.03%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-14 16:09
SportsBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.24%E -2.63%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -5.18%E -2.22%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-13 04:34
Unibet (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.56%E -1.50%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-08 06:15
Unibet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.56%E -1.50%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-08 06:15
Bally Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.56%E -1.50%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-08 06:14
ATG (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.56%E -1.50%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-08 06:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.56%E -1.50%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-08 06:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.56%E -1.50%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-08 06:15
betPARX🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.56%E -1.50%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-08 06:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.56%E -1.50%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-08 06:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.56%E -1.50%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-11 04:19
BetRivers🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.78%E -2.03%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 06:15
Bet Right🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.78%E -2.03%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 16:09
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.78%E -2.03%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 22:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.80%E -2.96%K -5.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-21 16:20
Bovada🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -5.43%E -3.41%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -0.726%E -0.296%K -0.501%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-05 13:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.43%E -3.41%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.75%E -1.15%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-14 16:09
ReBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -5.43%E -3.41%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -3.97%E -1.67%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-11 04:19
Betr (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.43%E -3.41%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.78%E -2.03%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 16:09
MyBookie.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.69%EV -6.02%E -3.81%K -10.38%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.31%EV -5.18%E -2.22%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-11 04:25
Coolbet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.69%EV -6.02%E -3.81%K -10.38%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.31%EV -5.18%E -2.22%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-14 16:08
Betclic (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.02%E -3.81%K -10.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.80%E -2.96%K -5.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 20:03
DraftKings🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -6.62%E -4.21%K -11.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -0.726%E -0.296%K -0.501%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-14 16:09
LeoVegas🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.81%E -5.04%K -14.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.80%E -2.96%K -5.23%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-10 14:35
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.64%EV -7.81%E -5.04%K -14.19%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.36%EV -7.21%E -3.15%K -5.59%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-14 16:09
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.64%EV -7.81%E -5.04%K -14.19%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.36%EV -7.21%E -3.15%K -5.59%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-14 16:09
NetBet (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 59.49%EV -14.94%E -10.45%K -34.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.51%EV -14.91%E -7.10%K -13.55%G +0.000%17.5%2026-08-14 09:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%2.0%2026-08-14 19:59
Polymarket1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75%3.1%2026-08-10 21:45
Novig1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%7.1%2026-08-14 12:09
Smarkets1.55I 64.52%NM 59.53%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.47%8.4%2026-08-11 04:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 58.82%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%10.4%2026-08-13 22:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.54I 64.94%NM 58.82%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%10.4%2026-08-13 22:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.54I 64.94%NM 58.82%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%10.4%2026-08-13 22:49

Discuss this game on odds.forum

No published comments yet.