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Pittsburgh Steelers v Atlanta Falcons

2026-09-13 17:00 UTC — NFL

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Pittsburgh Steelers (Local)

Prediction 61.32%1.63fair odd
EV -0.660%
Edge -0.407%
Kelly -1.06%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.35%61.19%61.28%62.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.431.561.561.6269.93%64.27%64.10%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Atlanta Falcons (Visit)

Prediction 38.68%2.59fair odd
EV -0.595%
Edge -0.232%
Kelly -0.379%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.65%38.81%38.72%41.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.272.452.452.5744.05%40.75%40.82%38.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Pittsburgh Steelers (Local): 61.32%; Atlanta Falcons (Visit): 38.68%. For Atlanta Falcons (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.59. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.57, with an expected value of -0.595%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Marathon Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.35%EV -0.660%E -0.407%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.65%EV -12.20%E -5.37%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 19:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -1.89%E -1.18%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -5.24%E -2.14%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-01 01:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -1.89%E -1.18%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -5.24%E -2.14%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-01 01:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -1.89%E -1.18%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -5.24%E -2.14%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-01 01:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -2.50%E -1.57%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -7.17%E -2.99%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-03 16:50
SportsBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -3.11%E -1.97%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV -2.53%E -1.00%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-02 21:34
Unibet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.11%E -1.97%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -7.17%E -2.99%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 01:45
Everygame🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -3.73%E -2.37%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -1.37%E -0.537%K -0.883%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-03 02:29
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.73%E -2.37%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -3.30%E -1.32%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-02 21:33
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.73%E -2.37%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -3.30%E -1.32%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-02 21:35
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.73%E -2.37%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -3.30%E -1.32%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-03 16:00
theScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.73%E -2.37%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -3.30%E -1.32%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-02 21:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.73%E -2.37%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -3.30%E -1.32%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-03 23:45
FanDuel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -3.73%E -2.37%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -4.08%E -1.64%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-02 21:35
Caesars🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -3.73%E -2.37%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -4.08%E -1.64%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-02 21:33
Neds🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.73%E -2.37%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.24%E -2.14%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-03 16:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.73%E -2.37%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.24%E -2.14%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-03 15:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -3.73%E -2.37%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -6.01%E -2.47%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 01:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -3.73%E -2.37%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -6.01%E -2.47%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 01:44
Bally Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.73%E -2.37%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.17%E -2.99%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 01:45
betPARX🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.73%E -2.37%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.17%E -2.99%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 01:44
PMU (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.73%E -2.37%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.17%E -2.99%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 01:45
Pinnacle🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -4.34%E -2.78%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -0.595%E -0.232%K -0.379%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-02 21:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -4.34%E -2.78%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -0.595%E -0.232%K -0.379%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-02 21:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -4.34%E -2.78%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -0.595%E -0.232%K -0.379%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-02 21:35
Bovada🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.34%E -2.78%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -1.37%E -0.537%K -0.883%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-02 21:30
BetUS🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.34%E -2.78%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -1.37%E -0.537%K -0.883%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-02 21:34
BetAnything🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.34%E -2.78%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -1.37%E -0.537%K -0.883%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-02 22:25
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.34%E -2.78%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.30%E -1.32%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-02 21:30
Betway🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.34%E -2.78%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.30%E -1.32%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-02 21:34
Bet Right🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.34%E -2.78%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -6.40%E -2.64%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 21:30
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.34%E -2.78%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.17%E -2.99%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 01:45
ReBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -4.95%E -3.20%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -4.46%E -1.81%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 21:50
TAB🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.95%E -3.20%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.24%E -2.14%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 01:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.95%E -3.20%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.24%E -2.14%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 21:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.95%E -3.20%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.24%E -2.14%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 23:15
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.95%E -3.20%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.24%E -2.14%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 21:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.95%E -3.20%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.17%E -2.99%K -5.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 01:45
GTbets🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.57%E -3.61%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -1.37%E -0.537%K -0.883%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-02 21:54
DraftKings🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -5.57%E -3.61%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -1.76%E -0.691%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 22:24
MyBookie.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.31%EV -5.57%E -3.61%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.69%EV -5.62%E -2.30%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 21:54
Coolbet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.31%EV -5.57%E -3.61%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.69%EV -5.62%E -2.30%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 00:19
Fliff🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -5.57%E -3.61%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -7.17%E -2.99%K -5.12%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-03 15:59
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.18%E -4.04%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.30%E -1.32%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 21:29
Dabble (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.18%E -4.04%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.24%E -2.14%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 22:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -6.18%E -4.04%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -8.33%E -3.52%K -6.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-03 15:59
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -6.18%E -4.04%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -8.33%E -3.52%K -6.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-03 15:59
Betclic (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.79%E -4.47%K -13.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -7.17%E -2.99%K -5.12%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-02 21:55
NordicBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.18%EV -7.41%E -4.90%K -14.52%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -7.94%E -3.34%K -5.76%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-03 23:20
Betsson🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.18%EV -7.41%E -4.90%K -14.52%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -7.94%E -3.34%K -5.76%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-03 23:19
LeoVegas🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -8.02%E -5.35%K -16.04%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -9.10%E -3.87%K -6.74%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-03 19:40
NetBet (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 61.35%EV -12.31%E -8.61%K -28.63%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 38.65%EV -12.20%E -5.37%K -9.61%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-03 16:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-09-02 21:30
Kalshi◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-09-03 13:00
Novig◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-09-03 23:00
ProphetX◎1.57I 63.69%NM 62.35%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.65%2.2%2026-09-03 21:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.55I 64.52%NM 62.29%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.71%3.6%2026-09-03 09:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.55I 64.52%NM 62.29%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.71%3.6%2026-09-03 09:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.55I 64.52%NM 62.29%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.71%3.6%2026-09-03 09:20
Smarkets◎1.54I 64.94%NM 61.50%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.50%5.6%2026-09-04 00:25