The School of Odds

Pittsburgh Steelers v Atlanta Falcons

2026-09-13 17:00 UTC — NFL

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Head to Head

46 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Pittsburgh Steelers (Local)

Prediction 59.15%1.69fair odd
EV -0.635%
Edge -0.378%
Kelly -0.935%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.68

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.85%59.10%59.19%60.95%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.431.621.621.6870%62%62%60%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Atlanta Falcons (Visit)

Prediction 40.85%2.45fair odd
EV +0.093%
Edge +0.038%
Kelly +0.064%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.05%40.90%40.81%43.15%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.102.312.302.4548%43%43%41%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Bovada1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -5.96%E -3.75%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV +0.093%E +0.038%K +0.064%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-21 16:20
DraftKings1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -7.14%E -4.55%K -12.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV +0.093%E +0.038%K +0.064%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-21 16:20
Pinnacle1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV -0.724%E -0.298%K -0.506%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-22 19:29
BetOnline.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.95%E -0.812%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-13 16:24
LowVig.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.95%E -0.812%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-13 16:25
GTbets1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.78%E -2.97%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -1.95%E -0.812%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-21 16:20
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.96%E -3.75%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -1.95%E -0.812%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-23 06:50
PointsBet (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.96%E -3.75%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -1.95%E -0.812%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-21 16:20
BetUS1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -2.77%E -1.16%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-13 16:24
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.78%E -2.97%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -3.17%E -1.34%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-19 18:50
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.78%E -2.97%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -3.17%E -1.34%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-19 18:48
theScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.41%E -1.46%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.99%E -1.70%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-21 16:19
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.99%E -1.70%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-23 06:48
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.99%E -1.70%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-19 18:50
Betr (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.96%E -3.75%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -3.99%E -1.70%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 18:59
ReBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.78%E -2.97%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.22%E -2.25%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-21 16:19
Coolbet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%EV -5.96%E -3.75%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV -5.22%E -2.25%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-22 18:59
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -1.23%E -0.735%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -6.03%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-21 16:20
Unibet (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -3.00%E -1.83%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -6.03%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-10 11:00
Unibet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -3.00%E -1.83%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -6.03%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-10 11:00
Bally Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -3.00%E -1.83%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -6.03%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-10 10:59
ATG (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -3.00%E -1.83%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -6.03%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-10 11:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -3.00%E -1.83%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -6.03%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-10 10:59
Unibet (NL)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -3.00%E -1.83%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -6.03%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-10 10:59
betPARX1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -3.00%E -1.83%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -6.03%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-10 11:04
Svenska Spel1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -3.00%E -1.83%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -6.03%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-10 11:00
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.03%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-19 18:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.03%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-19 18:50
TAB1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.03%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-14 02:24
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.03%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-21 16:19
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.03%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-08 14:39
Bet Right1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.03%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-21 16:20
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.37%E -3.35%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.03%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-21 16:20
MyBookie.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.37%E -3.35%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.03%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-21 16:19
BetRivers1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.00%E -1.83%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -6.85%E -3.01%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-10 10:59
NordicBet1.56I 64.10%NM 59.27%EV -7.73%E -4.96%K -13.81%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 40.73%EV -7.26%E -3.20%K -5.72%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-21 16:20
Betsson1.56I 64.10%NM 59.27%EV -7.73%E -4.96%K -13.81%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 40.73%EV -7.26%E -3.20%K -5.72%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-21 16:20
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.41%E -1.46%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -8.08%E -3.59%K -6.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-21 02:10
Betclic (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -6.55%E -4.15%K -11.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -8.08%E -3.59%K -6.46%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-21 16:20
FanDuel1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -0.635%E -0.378%K -0.935%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -8.49%E -3.79%K -6.84%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-18 16:15
SportsBet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -1.23%E -0.735%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -9.30%E -4.19%K -7.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-18 16:20
Marathon Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.25%EV -2.41%E -1.46%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.75%EV -9.71%E -4.39%K -8.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-19 19:40
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.23%E -0.735%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -10.12%E -4.60%K -8.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 16:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.23%E -0.735%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -10.12%E -4.60%K -8.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 16:15
LeoVegas1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -7.14%E -4.55%K -12.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -10.12%E -4.60%K -8.43%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-25 02:10
NetBet (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 59.49%EV -15.42%E -10.78%K -35.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.51%EV -14.21%E -6.76%K -12.91%G +0.000%17.5%2026-07-22 19:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92%0.2%2026-07-25 15:20
Smarkets1.57I 63.69%NM 58.79%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.21%8.3%2026-07-21 16:20