Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Pittsburgh Steelers v Atlanta Falcons

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-13 17:04 UTC

Score final : Pittsburgh Steelers 20–13 Atlanta Falcons

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Pittsburgh Steelers (Local)

Prévision 71.83%1.39cote équitable
EV +0.567%
Avantage +0.405%
Kelly +1.42%
Croissance +0.008%

avec la cote maximale 1.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
67.82%71.81%71.88%73.83%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.211.331.331.4082.64%75.47%75.19%71.43%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Atlanta Falcons (Visiteur)

Prévision 28.17%3.55cote équitable
EV +5.62%
Avantage +1.50%
Kelly +2.04%
Croissance +0.115%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.17%28.19%28.12%32.18%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.953.393.403.7533.90%29.50%29.41%26.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Pittsburgh Steelers (Local) : 71.83% ; Atlanta Falcons (Visiteur) : 28.17%. Pour Atlanta Falcons (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.55. 5 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.75, soit une espérance positive de +5.62%.

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Coolbet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 73.82%EV -4.46%E -3.35%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.18%EV +5.62%E +1.50%K +2.04%G +0.115%1.9%2026-09-13 16:50
NordicBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.83%EV -7.33%E -5.69%K -25.29%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.17%EV +2.53%E +0.694%K +0.957%G +0.024%5.0%2026-09-13 17:01
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.90%E -4.50%K -19.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV +1.40%E +0.389%K +0.538%G +0.008%4.1%2026-09-13 15:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.90%E -4.50%K -19.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV +1.40%E +0.389%K +0.538%G +0.008%4.1%2026-09-13 15:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.90%E -4.50%K -19.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV +1.40%E +0.389%K +0.538%G +0.008%4.1%2026-09-13 15:20
Everygame🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -5.18%E -3.92%K -16.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -0.010%E -0.003%K -0.004%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-13 15:34
BetAnything🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -5.90%E -4.50%K -19.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -0.010%E -0.003%K -0.004%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-13 15:35
Betsson🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.97%EV -6.62%E -5.09%K -22.05%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.03%EV -1.14%E -0.324%K -0.453%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 16:50
BetMGM🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -4.46%E -3.35%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -1.42%E -0.405%K -0.567%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-13 13:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.90%E -4.50%K -19.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -1.42%E -0.405%K -0.567%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-13 16:50
Paddy Power🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.62%E -5.09%K -22.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.42%E -0.405%K -0.567%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-13 15:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.62%E -5.09%K -22.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.42%E -0.405%K -0.567%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-13 15:55
Fliff🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -7.33%E -5.69%K -25.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -1.42%E -0.405%K -0.567%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 17:00
GTbets🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.71%EV -5.90%E -4.50%K -19.03%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.29%EV -1.70%E -0.487%K -0.683%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 17:01
SportsBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.65%EV -5.90%E -4.50%K -19.03%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.35%EV -1.98%E -0.569%K -0.799%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 16:39
Pinnacle🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.99%EV -3.02%E -2.24%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 28.01%EV -2.26%E -0.652%K -0.916%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-13 16:31
Unibet (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 71.73%EV -2.31%E -1.70%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27%EV -2.83%E -0.819%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-13 16:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 71.73%EV -2.31%E -1.70%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27%EV -2.83%E -0.819%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-13 16:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 71.73%EV -2.31%E -1.70%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27%EV -2.83%E -0.819%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-13 16:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 71.73%EV -2.31%E -1.70%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27%EV -2.83%E -0.819%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-13 16:05
FanDuel🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -4.46%E -3.35%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -2.83%E -0.819%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-13 16:40
LeoVegas🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -4.46%E -3.35%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -2.83%E -0.819%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-13 13:59
Caesars🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.18%E -3.92%K -16.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -2.83%E -0.819%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-13 14:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.58%EV -3.02%E -2.24%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV -4.23%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-13 16:05
DraftKings🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.74%E -2.79%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -4.23%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-13 13:44
theScore Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.74%E -2.79%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -4.23%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-13 15:35
Bovada🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.74%E -2.79%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -4.23%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-13 15:44
BetUS🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.74%E -2.79%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -4.23%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-13 15:45
Fanatics🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.46%E -3.35%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.23%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-13 15:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.46%E -3.35%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.23%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-13 16:15
Bet Victor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.46%E -3.35%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.23%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-13 11:14
betano_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.46%E -3.35%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.23%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-13 11:13
betfred_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.46%E -3.35%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.23%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-13 13:40
Neds🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.18%E -3.92%K -16.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.23%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-13 15:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.18%E -3.92%K -16.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.23%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-13 15:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.62%E -5.09%K -22.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.23%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-13 13:50
PlayUp🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -3.02%E -2.24%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -5.64%E -1.68%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-13 13:55
Unibet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -3.74%E -2.79%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -5.64%E -1.68%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-13 16:05
BetRivers🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -3.74%E -2.79%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -5.64%E -1.68%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-13 16:05
Bally Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -3.74%E -2.79%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -5.64%E -1.68%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-13 16:05
betPARX🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -3.74%E -2.79%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -5.64%E -1.68%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-13 16:05
TAB🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.46%E -3.35%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.64%E -1.68%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 15:48
Marathon Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.55%EV -5.18%E -3.92%K -16.19%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.45%EV -6.49%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-13 15:59
Dabble (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.02%E -2.24%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -7.05%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-13 13:45
MyBookie.ag🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -3.74%E -2.79%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -7.05%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-13 16:45
William Hill🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.46%E -3.35%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.05%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-13 09:20
Betway🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.46%E -3.35%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.05%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-13 17:00
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.46%E -3.35%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.05%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-13 09:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.46%E -3.35%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.05%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-13 09:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.46%E -3.35%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.05%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-13 09:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -8.05%E -6.29%K -28.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -7.05%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-13 13:50
Coral🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -8.05%E -6.29%K -28.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -7.05%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-13 13:45
Bet Right🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.74%E -2.79%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -8.46%E -2.60%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 15:45
Codere (IT)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.46%E -3.35%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.46%E -2.60%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-13 15:25
NetBet (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.27%EV -7.33%E -5.69%K -25.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -9.87%E -3.08%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-13 16:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.59%EV -10.21%E -8.17%K -40.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.41%EV -11.28%E -3.58%K -5.24%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-13 17:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV +0.567%E +0.405%K +1.42%G +0.008%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -15.50%E -5.17%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 17:01
PMU (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 71.26%EV -13.08%E -10.81%K -62.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.74%EV -15.50%E -5.17%K -7.75%G +0.000%16.0%2026-09-13 16:05
ReBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV +0.567%E +0.405%K +1.42%G +0.008%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -16.91%E -5.73%K -8.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 16:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly◎1.37I 72.99%NM 73.08%3.72I 26.88%NM 26.92%-0.1%2026-09-13 16:45
Novig◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.65%3.64I 27.47%NM 27.35%0.5%2026-09-13 15:05
Kalshi◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73%1.0%2026-09-13 10:45
Polymarket◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73%1.0%2026-09-12 16:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85%1.2%2026-09-13 17:01
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85%1.2%2026-09-13 17:00
Matchbook◎1.36I 73.53%NM 72.58%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42%1.3%2026-09-13 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.36I 73.53%NM 72.30%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.70%1.7%2026-09-13 17:01
Smarkets◎1.35I 74.07%NM 72.73%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.27%1.9%2026-09-13 17:00
ProphetX◎1.35I 74.07%NM 72.73%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.27%1.9%2026-09-13 17:01