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Pittsburgh Steelers v Atlanta Falcons
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Pittsburgh Steelers (Local)
Predicción 71.83%1.39momio equitativo
EV +0.567%
Ventaja +0.405%
Kelly +1.42%
Crecimiento +0.008%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
67.82%71.81%71.88%73.83%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.211.331.331.4082.64%75.47%75.19%71.43%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Atlanta Falcons (Visitante)
Predicción 28.17%3.55momio equitativo
EV +5.62%
Ventaja +1.50%
Kelly +2.04%
Crecimiento +0.115%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.17%28.19%28.12%32.18%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.953.393.403.7533.90%29.50%29.41%26.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Pittsburgh Steelers (Local): 71.83%; Atlanta Falcons (Visitante): 28.17%. Para Atlanta Falcons (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.55. 5 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.75, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +5.62%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.82%EV -4.46%E -3.35%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.18%EV +5.62%E +1.50%K +2.04%G +0.115% | 1.9% | 2026-09-13 16:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.83%EV -7.33%E -5.69%K -25.29%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.17%EV +2.53%E +0.694%K +0.957%G +0.024% | 5.0% | 2026-09-13 17:01 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.90%E -4.50%K -19.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV +1.40%E +0.389%K +0.538%G +0.008% | 4.1% | 2026-09-13 15:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.90%E -4.50%K -19.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV +1.40%E +0.389%K +0.538%G +0.008% | 4.1% | 2026-09-13 15:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.90%E -4.50%K -19.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV +1.40%E +0.389%K +0.538%G +0.008% | 4.1% | 2026-09-13 15:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -5.18%E -3.92%K -16.19%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -0.010%E -0.003%K -0.004%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-13 15:34 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -5.90%E -4.50%K -19.03%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -0.010%E -0.003%K -0.004%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-13 15:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.97%EV -6.62%E -5.09%K -22.05%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.03%EV -1.14%E -0.324%K -0.453%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-13 16:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -4.46%E -3.35%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -1.42%E -0.405%K -0.567%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-13 13:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.90%E -4.50%K -19.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -1.42%E -0.405%K -0.567%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-13 16:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.62%E -5.09%K -22.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.42%E -0.405%K -0.567%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-13 15:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.62%E -5.09%K -22.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.42%E -0.405%K -0.567%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-13 15:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -7.33%E -5.69%K -25.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -1.42%E -0.405%K -0.567%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-13 17:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.71%EV -5.90%E -4.50%K -19.03%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.29%EV -1.70%E -0.487%K -0.683%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-13 17:01 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.65%EV -5.90%E -4.50%K -19.03%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.35%EV -1.98%E -0.569%K -0.799%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-13 16:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.99%EV -3.02%E -2.24%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 28.01%EV -2.26%E -0.652%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-13 16:31 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.73%EV -2.31%E -1.70%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27%EV -2.83%E -0.819%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-09-13 16:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.73%EV -2.31%E -1.70%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27%EV -2.83%E -0.819%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-09-13 16:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.73%EV -2.31%E -1.70%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27%EV -2.83%E -0.819%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-09-13 16:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.73%EV -2.31%E -1.70%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27%EV -2.83%E -0.819%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-09-13 16:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -4.46%E -3.35%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -2.83%E -0.819%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-13 16:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -4.46%E -3.35%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -2.83%E -0.819%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-13 13:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.18%E -3.92%K -16.19%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -2.83%E -0.819%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-13 14:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.58%EV -3.02%E -2.24%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV -4.23%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-13 16:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.74%E -2.79%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -4.23%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-13 13:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.74%E -2.79%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -4.23%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-13 15:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.74%E -2.79%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -4.23%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-13 15:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.74%E -2.79%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -4.23%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-13 15:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.46%E -3.35%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.23%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-13 15:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.46%E -3.35%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.23%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-13 16:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.46%E -3.35%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.23%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-13 11:14 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.46%E -3.35%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.23%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-13 11:13 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.46%E -3.35%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.23%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-13 13:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.18%E -3.92%K -16.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.23%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-13 15:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.18%E -3.92%K -16.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.23%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-13 15:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.62%E -5.09%K -22.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.23%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-13 13:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -3.02%E -2.24%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -5.64%E -1.68%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-13 13:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -3.74%E -2.79%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -5.64%E -1.68%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-13 16:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -3.74%E -2.79%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -5.64%E -1.68%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-13 16:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -3.74%E -2.79%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -5.64%E -1.68%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-13 16:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -3.74%E -2.79%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -5.64%E -1.68%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-13 16:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.46%E -3.35%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.64%E -1.68%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-13 15:48 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.55%EV -5.18%E -3.92%K -16.19%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.45%EV -6.49%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-13 15:59 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.02%E -2.24%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -7.05%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-13 13:45 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -3.74%E -2.79%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -7.05%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-13 16:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.46%E -3.35%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.05%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-13 09:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.46%E -3.35%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.05%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-13 17:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.46%E -3.35%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.05%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-13 09:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.46%E -3.35%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.05%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-13 09:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.46%E -3.35%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.05%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-13 09:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -8.05%E -6.29%K -28.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -7.05%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-13 13:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -8.05%E -6.29%K -28.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -7.05%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-13 13:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.74%E -2.79%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -8.46%E -2.60%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-13 15:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.46%E -3.35%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.46%E -2.60%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-13 15:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.27%EV -7.33%E -5.69%K -25.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -9.87%E -3.08%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-13 16:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.59%EV -10.21%E -8.17%K -40.83%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.41%EV -11.28%E -3.58%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-13 17:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV +0.567%E +0.405%K +1.42%G +0.008% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -15.50%E -5.17%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-13 17:01 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 71.26%EV -13.08%E -10.81%K -62.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.74%EV -15.50%E -5.17%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-09-13 16:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV +0.567%E +0.405%K +1.42%G +0.008% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -16.91%E -5.73%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-13 16:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 73.08% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 26.92% | -0.1% | 2026-09-13 16:45 |
| Novig◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.65% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 27.35% | 0.5% | 2026-09-13 15:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73% | 1.0% | 2026-09-13 10:45 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73% | 1.0% | 2026-09-12 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85% | 1.2% | 2026-09-13 17:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85% | 1.2% | 2026-09-13 17:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.58% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42% | 1.3% | 2026-09-13 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.30% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.70% | 1.7% | 2026-09-13 17:01 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.73% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.27% | 1.9% | 2026-09-13 17:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.73% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.27% | 1.9% | 2026-09-13 17:01 |