Los Angeles Chargers v Denver Broncos

2026-10-11 20:05 — NFL

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis)

Option 1: Los Angeles Chargers (Local)

Odds

1.5962.89%Min

1.6560.79%Mean

1.6560.79%Median

1.7058.82%Max

Consensus probabilities

56.41%1.773Min

59.64%1.677Max

58.03%1.723Mean

58.03%1.723Median

58.03%1.723IQM

57.87%1.728Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.70 under the IQM model: 58.03%

EV -1.35%Edge -0.796%Kelly -1.93%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Denver Broncos (Visit)

Odds

2.2045.45%Min

2.2843.96%Mean

2.2843.96%Median

2.3542.55%Max

Consensus probabilities

40.36%2.478Min

43.59%2.294Max

41.97%2.383Mean

41.97%2.383Median

41.97%2.383IQM

42.13%2.373Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.35 under the IQM model: 41.97%

EV -1.36%Edge -0.581%Kelly -1.01%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Los Angeles Chargers (Local) ▼	Denver Broncos (Visit)	Margin	Updated
DraftKings	1.70I 58.82% NM 56.41%EV -1.35% E -0.796% K -1.93% G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45% NM 43.59%EV -7.66% E -3.48% K -6.38% G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-05-15 02:00
Bet Right	1.64I 60.98% NM 58.16%EV -4.83% E -2.95% K -7.55% G +0.000%	2.28I 43.86% NM 41.84%EV -4.30% E -1.89% K -3.36% G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-05-26 02:11
Caesars	1.59I 62.89% NM 59.64%EV -7.74% E -4.87% K -13.11% G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55% NM 40.36%EV -1.36% E -0.581% K -1.01% G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-05-15 22:00

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth