默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Los Angeles Chargers v Denver Broncos

开赛时间: 2026-10-11 20:05 UTC

最终结果: Los Angeles Chargers 17–23 Denver Broncos

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

58 家博彩公司 (21 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Los Angeles Chargers (主队)

预测 37.84%2.64公平赔率
EV +5.95%
优势 +2.13%
Kelly +3.31%
增长率 +0.197%

假设最高赔率为 2.80

博彩公司预测分布
34.27%38.09%37.95%40.95%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.202.492.502.8045.45%40.12%40.00%35.71%最小值均值中位数最大值

Denver Broncos (客队)

预测 62.16%1.61公平赔率
EV +1.32%
优势 +0.810%
Kelly +2.10%
增长率 +0.028%

假设最高赔率为 1.63

博彩公司预测分布
59.05%61.91%62.05%65.73%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.451.541.541.6368.97%65.03%65.15%61.35%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Los Angeles Chargers (主队):37.84%;Denver Broncos (客队):62.16%。 对于“Los Angeles Chargers (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.64。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为2.80,对应+5.95%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (58 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Dabble (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV +5.95%E +2.13%K +3.31%G +0.197%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -9.25%E -6.33%K -20.10%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-11 20:04
PlayUp🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +4.06%E +1.48%K +2.32%G +0.094%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -9.87%E -6.81%K -21.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-11 20:04
Coolbet🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 37.56%EV -1.24%E -0.474%K -0.769%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.44%EV -2.41%E -1.53%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.0%2026-10-11 20:04
Everygame🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -1.62%E -0.622%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -3.03%E -1.94%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.6%2026-10-11 19:52
BetAnything🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -1.62%E -0.622%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -4.27%E -2.77%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-11 19:49
Bovada🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -1.62%E -0.622%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -4.27%E -2.77%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-11 12:07
Coral🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -1.62%E -0.622%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.90%E -3.20%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-11 20:00
Paddy Power🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.62%E -0.622%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.76%E -4.51%K -13.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-11 20:04
888sport🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.62%E -0.622%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.76%E -4.51%K -13.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-05 00:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.62%E -0.622%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.76%E -4.51%K -13.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-05 00:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.62%E -0.622%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.76%E -4.51%K -13.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-05 00:35
William Hill🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.62%E -0.622%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.76%E -4.51%K -13.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-05 00:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.62%E -0.622%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.76%E -4.51%K -13.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-11 20:04
Tipico (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -1.62%E -0.622%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -8.62%E -5.87%K -18.35%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-10 21:00
Pinnacle🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 37.44%EV -1.99%E -0.770%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.56%EV -3.65%E -2.36%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-11 19:49
BetOnline.ag🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV -2.37%E -0.920%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.47%EV -3.65%E -2.36%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-11 20:05
LowVig.ag🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV -2.37%E -0.920%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.47%EV -3.65%E -2.36%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-11 20:00
FanDuel🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -2.37%E -0.920%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.90%E -3.20%K -9.24%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-11 20:04
SportsBet🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -2.75%E -1.07%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -6.14%E -4.07%K -12.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-11 20:05
MyBookie.ag🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -3.51%E -1.38%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -3.65%E -2.36%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-11 20:03
theScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.51%E -1.38%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.27%E -2.77%K -7.91%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-11 20:05
BetMGM🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.51%E -1.38%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.90%E -3.20%K -9.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-11 20:03
Betway🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.51%E -1.38%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.90%E -3.20%K -9.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-11 20:04
Marathon Bet🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.44%EV -3.89%E -1.53%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.56%EV -5.52%E -3.63%K -10.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-11 20:05
Caesars🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 37.99%EV -4.26%E -1.69%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.01%EV -3.65%E -2.36%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-11 20:05
BetUS🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -5.40%E -2.16%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -2.41%E -1.53%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-11 20:04
GTbets🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.40%E -2.16%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.03%E -1.94%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-11 19:59
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.40%E -2.16%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.03%E -1.94%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-11 20:04
Unibet (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.40%E -2.16%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.65%E -2.36%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-11 20:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.40%E -2.16%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.65%E -2.36%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-11 20:04
NordicBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.40%E -2.16%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.90%E -3.20%K -9.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-11 20:04
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.40%E -2.16%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.90%E -3.20%K -9.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-11 20:04
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.40%E -2.16%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.90%E -3.20%K -9.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-11 20:04
Betsson🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.40%E -2.16%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.90%E -3.20%K -9.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-11 20:04
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.40%E -2.16%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.90%E -3.20%K -9.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-11 20:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.40%E -2.16%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.90%E -3.20%K -9.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-11 20:04
TAB🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.40%E -2.16%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.90%E -3.20%K -9.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-11 20:00
Codere (IT)🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -6.91%E -2.81%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -4.90%E -3.20%K -9.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-11 20:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -7.29%E -2.98%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -2.41%E -1.53%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-11 20:05
Bet Right🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.29%E -2.98%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.65%E -2.36%K -6.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-11 19:55
Bet Victor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.29%E -2.98%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.76%E -4.51%K -13.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-11 20:05
betano_uk🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.29%E -2.98%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.76%E -4.51%K -13.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-11 20:03
DraftKings🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -8.43%E -3.48%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -1.17%E -0.733%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-11 20:04
NetBet (FR)🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 37.95%EV -8.43%E -3.48%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.05%EV -8.00%E -5.41%K -16.67%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-11 20:05
LeoVegas🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -9.18%E -3.83%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -8.00%E -5.41%K -16.67%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-11 20:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -11.08%E -4.71%K -8.20%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV +1.32%E +0.810%K +2.10%G +0.028%3.9%2026-10-11 20:04
Unibet (NL)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -11.08%E -4.71%K -8.20%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -2.41%E -1.53%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-11 20:05
betPARX🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -11.08%E -4.71%K -8.20%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -2.41%E -1.53%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-11 20:05
Fliff🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -11.08%E -4.71%K -8.20%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -3.03%E -1.94%K -5.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-11 20:04
Betclic (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -11.08%E -4.71%K -8.20%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -6.76%E -4.51%K -13.52%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-11 20:04
Unibet (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -11.83%E -5.08%K -8.90%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -0.544%E -0.340%K -0.906%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-11 20:04
Unibet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -11.83%E -5.08%K -8.90%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -0.544%E -0.340%K -0.906%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-11 20:04
ATG (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -11.83%E -5.08%K -8.90%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -0.544%E -0.340%K -0.906%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-11 20:04
Svenska Spel🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -11.83%E -5.08%K -8.90%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -0.544%E -0.340%K -0.906%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-11 20:04
BetRivers🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.82%EV -12.21%E -5.26%K -9.25%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.18%EV -0.544%E -0.340%K -0.906%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-11 20:04
Bally Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -13.72%E -6.02%K -10.72%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -2.41%E -1.53%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-11 20:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -14.86%E -6.60%K -11.89%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -3.65%E -2.36%K -6.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-11 20:04
PMU (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.70%EV -16.75%E -7.61%K -13.96%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 59.30%EV -6.14%E -4.07%K -12.04%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-11 20:04
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (9)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook◎2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%0.5%2026-10-11 19:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%0.5%2026-10-11 20:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%0.5%2026-10-11 20:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%0.5%2026-10-11 20:04
Novig◎2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%0.6%2026-10-11 20:05
ProphetX◎2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%0.7%2026-10-11 20:05
Polymarket◎2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%0.9%2026-10-11 19:54
Smarkets◎2.62I 38.17%NM 37.47%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.53%1.9%2026-10-11 20:04
BetOpenly◎2.66I 37.59%NM 36.67%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.33%2.5%2026-10-11 20:04