Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Los Angeles Chargers v Denver Broncos

Inicio: 2026-10-11 20:05 UTC

Final: Los Angeles Chargers 17–23 Denver Broncos

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (21 en el análisis )

38%

62%

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Los Angeles Chargers (Local)

Predicción 37.84%2.64momio equitativo

EV +5.95%

Ventaja +2.13%

Kelly +3.31%

Crecimiento +0.197%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

34.27%38.09%37.95%40.95%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Distribución de los momios

2.202.492.502.8045.45%40.12%40.00%35.71%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Denver Broncos (Visitante)

Predicción 62.16%1.61momio equitativo

EV +1.32%

Ventaja +0.810%

Kelly +2.10%

Crecimiento +0.028%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.63

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

59.05%61.91%62.05%65.73%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Distribución de los momios

1.451.541.541.6368.97%65.03%65.15%61.35%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Los Angeles Chargers (Local): 37.84%; Denver Broncos (Visitante): 62.16%. Para Los Angeles Chargers (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.64. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.80, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +5.95%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

Corredor	Local ▼	Visitante	Margen	Actualizado
Dabble (AU)🎯	2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV +5.95%E +2.13%K +3.31%G +0.197%	1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -9.25%E -6.33%K -20.10%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-10-11 20:04
PlayUp🎯	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +4.06%E +1.48%K +2.32%G +0.094%	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -9.87%E -6.81%K -21.93%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-11 20:04
Coolbet🎯	2.61I 38.31%NM 37.56%EV -1.24%E -0.474%K -0.769%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 62.44%EV -2.41%E -1.53%K -4.23%G +0.000%	2.0%	2026-10-11 20:04
Everygame🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -1.62%E -0.622%K -1.01%G +0.000%	1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -3.03%E -1.94%K -5.41%G +0.000%	2.6%	2026-10-11 19:52
BetAnything🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -1.62%E -0.622%K -1.01%G +0.000%	1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -4.27%E -2.77%K -7.91%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-10-11 19:49
Bovada🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -1.62%E -0.622%K -1.01%G +0.000%	1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -4.27%E -2.77%K -7.91%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-10-11 12:07
Coral🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -1.62%E -0.622%K -1.01%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.90%E -3.20%K -9.24%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-10-11 20:00
Paddy Power🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.62%E -0.622%K -1.01%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.76%E -4.51%K -13.52%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-10-11 20:04
888sport🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.62%E -0.622%K -1.01%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.76%E -4.51%K -13.52%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-10-05 00:35
888sport (SE)🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.62%E -0.622%K -1.01%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.76%E -4.51%K -13.52%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-10-05 00:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.62%E -0.622%K -1.01%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.76%E -4.51%K -13.52%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-10-05 00:35
William Hill🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.62%E -0.622%K -1.01%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.76%E -4.51%K -13.52%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-10-05 00:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.62%E -0.622%K -1.01%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.76%E -4.51%K -13.52%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-10-11 20:04
Tipico (DE)🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -1.62%E -0.622%K -1.01%G +0.000%	1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -8.62%E -5.87%K -18.35%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-10-10 21:00
Pinnacle🎯	2.59I 38.61%NM 37.44%EV -1.99%E -0.770%K -1.25%G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52%NM 62.56%EV -3.65%E -2.36%K -6.64%G +0.000%	3.1%	2026-10-11 19:49
BetOnline.ag🎯	2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV -2.37%E -0.920%K -1.50%G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52%NM 62.47%EV -3.65%E -2.36%K -6.64%G +0.000%	3.3%	2026-10-11 20:05
LowVig.ag🎯	2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV -2.37%E -0.920%K -1.50%G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52%NM 62.47%EV -3.65%E -2.36%K -6.64%G +0.000%	3.3%	2026-10-11 20:00
FanDuel🎯	2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -2.37%E -0.920%K -1.50%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.90%E -3.20%K -9.24%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-10-11 20:04
SportsBet🎯	2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -2.75%E -1.07%K -1.75%G +0.000%	1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -6.14%E -4.07%K -12.04%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-10-11 20:05
MyBookie.ag🎯	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -3.51%E -1.38%K -2.26%G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -3.65%E -2.36%K -6.64%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-10-11 20:03
theScore Bet🎯	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.51%E -1.38%K -2.26%G +0.000%	1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.27%E -2.77%K -7.91%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-10-11 20:05
BetMGM🎯	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.51%E -1.38%K -2.26%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.90%E -3.20%K -9.24%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-10-11 20:03
Betway🎯	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.51%E -1.38%K -2.26%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.90%E -3.20%K -9.24%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-10-11 20:04
Marathon Bet🎯	2.54I 39.37%NM 37.44%EV -3.89%E -1.53%K -2.52%G +0.000%	1.52I 65.79%NM 62.56%EV -5.52%E -3.63%K -10.61%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-10-11 20:05
Caesars🎯	2.53I 39.53%NM 37.99%EV -4.26%E -1.69%K -2.79%G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52%NM 62.01%EV -3.65%E -2.36%K -6.64%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-10-11 20:05
BetUS🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -5.40%E -2.16%K -3.60%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -2.41%E -1.53%K -4.23%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-10-11 20:04
GTbets🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.40%E -2.16%K -3.60%G +0.000%	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.03%E -1.94%K -5.41%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-10-11 19:59
Fanatics🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.40%E -2.16%K -3.60%G +0.000%	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.03%E -1.94%K -5.41%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-10-11 20:04
Unibet (UK)🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.40%E -2.16%K -3.60%G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.65%E -2.36%K -6.64%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-10-11 20:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.40%E -2.16%K -3.60%G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.65%E -2.36%K -6.64%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-10-11 20:04
NordicBet🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.40%E -2.16%K -3.60%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.90%E -3.20%K -9.24%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-10-11 20:04
Betr (AU)🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.40%E -2.16%K -3.60%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.90%E -3.20%K -9.24%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-10-11 20:04
betfred_uk🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.40%E -2.16%K -3.60%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.90%E -3.20%K -9.24%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-10-11 20:04
Betsson🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.40%E -2.16%K -3.60%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.90%E -3.20%K -9.24%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-10-11 20:04
Neds🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.40%E -2.16%K -3.60%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.90%E -3.20%K -9.24%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-10-11 20:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.40%E -2.16%K -3.60%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.90%E -3.20%K -9.24%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-10-11 20:04
TAB🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.40%E -2.16%K -3.60%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.90%E -3.20%K -9.24%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-10-11 20:00
Codere (IT)🎯	2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -6.91%E -2.81%K -4.74%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -4.90%E -3.20%K -9.24%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-10-11 20:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -7.29%E -2.98%K -5.03%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -2.41%E -1.53%K -4.23%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-10-11 20:05
Bet Right🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.29%E -2.98%K -5.03%G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.65%E -2.36%K -6.64%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-11 19:55
Bet Victor🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.29%E -2.98%K -5.03%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.76%E -4.51%K -13.52%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-10-11 20:05
betano_uk🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.29%E -2.98%K -5.03%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.76%E -4.51%K -13.52%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-10-11 20:03
DraftKings🎯	2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -8.43%E -3.48%K -5.93%G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -1.17%E -0.733%K -1.98%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-10-11 20:04
NetBet (FR)🎯	2.42I 41.32%NM 37.95%EV -8.43%E -3.48%K -5.93%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 62.05%EV -8.00%E -5.41%K -16.67%G +0.000%	8.9%	2026-10-11 20:05
LeoVegas🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -9.18%E -3.83%K -6.56%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -8.00%E -5.41%K -16.67%G +0.000%	9.2%	2026-10-11 20:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -11.08%E -4.71%K -8.20%G +0.000%	1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV +1.32%E +0.810%K +2.10%G +0.028%	3.9%	2026-10-11 20:04
Unibet (NL)🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -11.08%E -4.71%K -8.20%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -2.41%E -1.53%K -4.23%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-10-11 20:05
betPARX🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -11.08%E -4.71%K -8.20%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -2.41%E -1.53%K -4.23%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-10-11 20:05
Fliff🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -11.08%E -4.71%K -8.20%G +0.000%	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -3.03%E -1.94%K -5.41%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-10-11 20:04
Betclic (FR)🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -11.08%E -4.71%K -8.20%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -6.76%E -4.51%K -13.52%G +0.000%	9.2%	2026-10-11 20:04
Unibet (SE)🎯	2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -11.83%E -5.08%K -8.90%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -0.544%E -0.340%K -0.906%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-10-11 20:04
Unibet🎯	2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -11.83%E -5.08%K -8.90%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -0.544%E -0.340%K -0.906%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-10-11 20:04
ATG (SE)🎯	2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -11.83%E -5.08%K -8.90%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -0.544%E -0.340%K -0.906%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-10-11 20:04
Svenska Spel🎯	2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -11.83%E -5.08%K -8.90%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -0.544%E -0.340%K -0.906%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-10-11 20:04
BetRivers🎯	2.32I 43.10%NM 40.82%EV -12.21%E -5.26%K -9.25%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.18%EV -0.544%E -0.340%K -0.906%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-10-11 20:04
Bally Bet🎯	2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -13.72%E -6.02%K -10.72%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -2.41%E -1.53%K -4.23%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-10-11 20:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -14.86%E -6.60%K -11.89%G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -3.65%E -2.36%K -6.64%G +0.000%	9.0%	2026-10-11 20:04
PMU (FR)🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 40.70%EV -16.75%E -7.61%K -13.96%G +0.000%	1.51I 66.23%NM 59.30%EV -6.14%E -4.07%K -12.04%G +0.000%	11.7%	2026-10-11 20:04

Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (9)

Corredor	Local	Visitante	Margen ▲	Actualizado
Matchbook◎	2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%	1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%	0.5%	2026-10-11 19:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%	1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%	0.5%	2026-10-11 20:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%	1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%	0.5%	2026-10-11 20:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%	1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%	0.5%	2026-10-11 20:04
Novig◎	2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%	1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%	0.6%	2026-10-11 20:05
ProphetX◎	2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%	1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%	0.7%	2026-10-11 20:05
Polymarket◎	2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%	1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%	0.9%	2026-10-11 19:54
Smarkets◎	2.62I 38.17%NM 37.47%	1.57I 63.69%NM 62.53%	1.9%	2026-10-11 20:04
BetOpenly◎	2.66I 37.59%NM 36.67%	1.54I 64.94%NM 63.33%	2.5%	2026-10-11 20:04