Language:English
Las Vegas Raiders v Miami Dolphins
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Las Vegas Raiders (Local)
Prediction 59.90%1.67fair odd
EV -2.36%
Edge -1.45%
Kelly -3.74%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.63
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.36%59.82%59.85%60.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.471.591.601.6368.03%62.75%62.50%61.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Miami Dolphins (Visit)
Prediction 40.10%2.49fair odd
EV -0.559%
Edge -0.226%
Kelly -0.378%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.48
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.45%40.18%40.15%41.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.062.362.392.4848.54%42.29%41.84%40.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Las Vegas Raiders (Local): 59.90%; Miami Dolphins (Visit): 40.10%. For Miami Dolphins (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.49. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.48, with an expected value of -0.559%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -2.36%E -1.45%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -3.77%E -1.57%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-13 13:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -2.36%E -1.45%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -3.77%E -1.57%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-13 13:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -2.36%E -1.45%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -3.77%E -1.57%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-13 13:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -2.36%E -1.45%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -3.77%E -1.57%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-13 13:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -2.36%E -1.45%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -7.78%E -3.38%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -2.36%E -1.45%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -7.78%E -3.38%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-13 13:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -2.36%E -1.45%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -7.78%E -3.38%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-12 14:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -2.36%E -1.45%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -7.78%E -3.38%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -2.36%E -1.45%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -7.78%E -3.38%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-12 14:18 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49%EV -2.96%E -1.83%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51%EV -0.559%E -0.226%K -0.378%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-13 20:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -2.96%E -1.83%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -1.76%E -0.719%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-09-13 20:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -2.96%E -1.83%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -2.97%E -1.23%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-13 20:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -2.96%E -1.83%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -2.97%E -1.23%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-13 20:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -2.96%E -1.83%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.77%E -1.57%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-13 20:02 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -2.96%E -1.83%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.77%E -1.57%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-13 15:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.05%EV -3.56%E -2.21%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.95%EV -2.97%E -1.23%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-13 19:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.56%E -2.21%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.77%E -1.57%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-13 20:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.56%E -2.21%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.77%E -1.57%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-13 20:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.56%E -2.21%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.77%E -1.57%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-13 19:58 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.56%E -2.21%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.77%E -1.57%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-13 15:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.56%E -2.21%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.77%E -1.57%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-13 13:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.56%E -2.21%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.77%E -1.57%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-13 19:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.75%EV -3.56%E -2.21%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.25%EV -4.17%E -1.74%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-13 19:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.56%E -2.21%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.77%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-13 20:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -3.56%E -2.21%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.97%E -3.01%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-13 20:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.20%EV -4.16%E -2.60%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.80%EV -2.97%E -1.23%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-13 20:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.16%E -2.60%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.77%E -1.57%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-13 20:20 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.16%E -2.60%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.77%E -1.57%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-13 20:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.16%E -2.60%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.57%E -1.92%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-13 18:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -4.16%E -2.60%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -5.37%E -2.28%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-13 20:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.16%E -2.60%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.77%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-13 19:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.16%E -2.60%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.77%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-13 19:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.16%E -2.60%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.77%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-13 20:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.08%EV -4.16%E -2.60%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.92%EV -7.38%E -3.19%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-13 19:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -4.75%E -2.99%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -2.97%E -1.23%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-13 13:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.75%E -2.99%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.77%E -1.57%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.35%E -3.39%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.77%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-13 20:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.69%EV -5.35%E -3.39%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.31%EV -6.17%E -2.64%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-13 20:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -5.95%E -3.79%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -3.37%E -1.40%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-13 20:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.95%E -3.79%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.77%E -1.57%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-13 19:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.95%E -3.79%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.77%E -1.57%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-13 20:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.95%E -3.79%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.77%E -1.57%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-13 20:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.95%E -3.79%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.77%E -1.57%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-13 20:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.95%E -3.79%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.77%E -1.57%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-13 19:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.95%E -3.79%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.57%E -1.92%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.95%E -3.79%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.57%E -1.92%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.95%E -3.79%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.57%E -1.92%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.95%E -3.79%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.57%E -1.92%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.95%E -3.79%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.77%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-13 13:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.95%E -3.79%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.77%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-13 19:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.15%E -4.61%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.78%E -3.38%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-13 19:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.15%E -4.61%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.78%E -3.38%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-13 19:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.15%E -4.61%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.78%E -3.38%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-13 20:15 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.15%E -4.61%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.78%E -3.38%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-13 20:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.42%EV -7.15%E -4.61%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 40.58%EV -8.98%E -3.96%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-13 16:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -7.15%E -4.61%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -9.78%E -4.35%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-13 20:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 58.36%EV -11.94%E -8.12%K -25.41%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 41.64%EV -17.40%E -8.45%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-09-13 13:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 0.6% | 2026-09-13 20:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 0.6% | 2026-09-13 20:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-09-13 20:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-09-13 20:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-09-13 20:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.19% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.81% | 1.3% | 2026-09-13 20:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32% | 1.7% | 2026-09-13 20:20 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30% | 3.4% | 2026-09-13 20:20 |