The School of Odds

Las Vegas Raiders v Miami Dolphins

2026-09-13 20:25 UTC — NFL

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Head to Head

45 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Las Vegas Raiders (Local)

Prediction 63.04%1.59fair odd
EV -1.66%
Edge -1.06%
Kelly -2.96%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.61%63.05%62.96%65.09%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.341.511.501.5675%66%67%64%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Miami Dolphins (Visit)

Prediction 36.96%2.71fair odd
EV +2.01%
Edge +0.727%
Kelly +1.14%
Growth +0.023%

assuming max odds 2.76

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.91%36.95%37.04%39.39%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.322.582.602.7643%39%38%36%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle1.49I 67.11%NM 64.94%EV -6.07%E -4.07%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.06%EV +2.01%E +0.727%K +1.14%G +0.023%3.3%2026-07-22 19:29
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 65.09%EV -6.70%E -4.53%K -13.96%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.91%EV +2.01%E +0.727%K +1.14%G +0.023%3.8%2026-05-18 19:15
SportsBet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.07%EV -7.96%E -5.45%K -17.30%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV +0.527%E +0.194%K +0.306%G +0.002%5.3%2026-05-18 19:15
Hard Rock Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -5.44%E -3.63%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -0.212%E -0.079%K -0.125%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-25 09:05
theScore Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.81%E -3.18%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -2.06%E -0.777%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-22 00:54
Bovada1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.81%E -3.18%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -2.06%E -0.777%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-20 19:09
Unibet (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.44%E -3.63%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.06%E -0.777%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-03 18:24
Unibet (NL)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.44%E -3.63%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.06%E -0.777%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-03 18:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.44%E -3.63%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.06%E -0.777%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-03 18:25
Unibet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.44%E -3.63%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.06%E -0.777%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-03 18:24
ATG (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.44%E -3.63%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.06%E -0.777%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-03 18:25
betPARX1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.44%E -3.63%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.06%E -0.777%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-03 18:25
Bally Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.44%E -3.63%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.06%E -0.777%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-03 18:25
Svenska Spel1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.44%E -3.63%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.06%E -0.777%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-03 18:25
DraftKings1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -4.81%E -3.18%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -2.43%E -0.920%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-20 19:08
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.44%E -3.63%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.17%E -1.21%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-18 19:15
BetOnline.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -2.92%E -1.89%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -3.54%E -1.36%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-22 13:14
LowVig.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -2.92%E -1.89%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -3.54%E -1.36%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-22 13:14
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.55%E -2.32%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.91%E -1.50%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-22 00:55
GTbets1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.55%E -2.32%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.91%E -1.50%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-22 13:29
Caesars1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.18%E -2.75%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.91%E -1.50%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-22 08:29
Unibet (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.44%E -3.63%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.91%E -1.50%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 00:55
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.44%E -3.63%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.91%E -1.50%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 20:20
Betr (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.44%E -3.63%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.91%E -1.50%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 00:55
BetUS1.54I 64.94%NM 62.71%EV -2.92%E -1.89%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.29%EV -4.28%E -1.65%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-22 13:14
ReBet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.33%EV -5.44%E -3.63%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.67%EV -4.28%E -1.65%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-22 00:55
Bet Right1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -4.81%E -3.18%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -4.65%E -1.80%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-23 08:44
MyBookie.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 63.05%EV -5.44%E -3.63%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.95%EV -5.39%E -2.10%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-22 01:00
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.55%E -2.32%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.76%E -2.26%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-16 03:30
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.18%E -2.75%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.76%E -2.26%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-24 07:59
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.44%E -3.63%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.76%E -2.26%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-07 14:29
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -5.44%E -3.63%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -6.13%E -2.41%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-20 10:45
NordicBet1.46I 68.49%NM 63.32%EV -7.96%E -5.45%K -17.30%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.68%EV -6.86%E -2.72%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-22 01:00
Betsson1.46I 68.49%NM 63.32%EV -7.96%E -5.45%K -17.30%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.68%EV -6.86%E -2.72%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-22 00:54
PointsBet (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -1.66%E -1.06%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -7.60%E -3.04%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-22 13:14
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.29%E -1.47%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -7.60%E -3.04%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-16 03:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.29%E -1.47%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -7.60%E -3.04%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-16 03:30
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.55%E -2.32%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.60%E -3.04%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 03:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.55%E -2.32%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.60%E -3.04%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 03:30
TAB1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.55%E -2.32%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.60%E -3.04%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-14 02:29
BetRivers1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.44%E -3.63%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.60%E -3.04%K -5.07%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-03 18:25
Betclic (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.70%E -4.53%K -13.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.60%E -3.04%K -5.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-20 19:08
LeoVegas1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -7.33%E -4.99%K -15.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -7.60%E -3.04%K -5.07%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-22 18:44
Marathon Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -1.66%E -1.06%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -11.30%E -4.71%K -8.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 19:40
NetBet (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 63.39%EV -15.52%E -11.59%K -45.66%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 36.61%EV -14.26%E -6.14%K -10.80%G +0.000%17.7%2026-07-22 00:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-07-25 00:10
Smarkets1.47I 68.03%NM 62.78%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.22%8.3%2026-07-22 00:55