The School of Odds

Jacksonville Jaguars v Philadelphia Eagles

2026-10-11 13:30 UTC — NFL

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Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Jacksonville Jaguars (Local)

Prediction 46.73%2.14fair odd
EV -3.73%
Edge -1.81%
Kelly -3.52%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.06

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.60%46.72%46.75%47.37%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.952.032.042.0651%49%49%49%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Philadelphia Eagles (Visit)

Prediction 53.27%1.88fair odd
EV -3.58%
Edge -1.98%
Kelly -4.42%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.81

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.63%53.28%53.25%53.40%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.751.791.801.8157%56%56%55%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -3.73%E -1.81%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -3.58%E -1.98%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-13 17:35
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.20%E -2.05%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.12%E -2.29%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-21 01:09
Caesars2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.20%E -2.05%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.12%E -2.29%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-13 15:20
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.20%E -2.05%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.12%E -2.29%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-13 17:35
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.20%E -2.05%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.12%E -2.29%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-15 03:09
ReBet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.67%E -2.29%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.65%E -2.60%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-21 01:10
Unibet (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.67%E -2.29%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.18%E -2.91%K -6.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-21 01:10
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.54%E -3.27%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.12%E -2.29%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-13 17:35
Betclic (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.54%E -3.27%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.78%E -3.87%K -9.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-14 17:09
LeoVegas1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.87%E -4.55%K -9.34%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.78%E -3.87%K -9.04%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-22 18:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.98I 50.51%NM 46.77%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.23%8.0%2026-07-21 01:10