Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.30
assuming max odds 4.40
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jacksonville Jaguars (Local): 76.37%; Philadelphia Eagles (Visit): 23.63%. For Philadelphia Eagles (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.23. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.96%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ReBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.88%EV -4.53%E -3.63%K -18.14%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.12%EV +3.96%E +0.900%K +1.16%G +0.046% | 2.7% | 2026-10-11 13:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.13%EV -3.77%E -2.99%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.87%EV +0.415%E +0.098%K +0.128%G +0.001% | 2.9% | 2026-10-11 11:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.13%EV -3.77%E -2.99%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.87%EV +0.415%E +0.098%K +0.128%G +0.001% | 2.9% | 2026-10-11 11:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%EV -3.77%E -2.99%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV -0.766%E -0.182%K -0.240%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-10-11 13:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%EV -3.77%E -2.99%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV -0.766%E -0.182%K -0.240%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-10-11 13:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.53%E -3.63%K -18.14%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -0.766%E -0.182%K -0.240%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-11 11:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.53%E -3.63%K -18.14%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -0.766%E -0.182%K -0.240%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-11 11:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.30%E -4.27%K -22.07%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -0.766%E -0.182%K -0.240%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-11 12:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -6.06%E -4.93%K -26.35%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -0.766%E -0.182%K -0.240%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-11 13:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.94%EV -4.53%E -3.63%K -18.14%G +0.000% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.06%EV -1.48%E -0.354%K -0.465%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-11 13:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.75%EV -3.77%E -2.99%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.25%EV -1.71%E -0.411%K -0.542%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-11 13:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.85%EV -4.53%E -3.63%K -18.14%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.15%EV -1.95%E -0.469%K -0.618%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-11 13:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.07%EV -1.48%E -1.15%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.93%EV -3.13%E -0.763%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-10-11 10:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%EV -3.01%E -2.37%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -3.13%E -0.763%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-10-11 13:25 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -3.77%E -2.99%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -3.13%E -0.763%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-11 13:24 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.53%E -3.63%K -18.14%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.13%E -0.763%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-11 13:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.53%E -3.63%K -18.14%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.13%E -0.763%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-11 11:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.53%E -3.63%K -18.14%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.13%E -0.763%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-11 13:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.53%E -3.63%K -18.14%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.13%E -0.763%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-11 03:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.53%E -3.63%K -18.14%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.13%E -0.763%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-11 03:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.30%E -4.27%K -22.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.13%E -0.763%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-11 11:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.30%E -4.27%K -22.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.13%E -0.763%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-11 12:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.30%E -4.27%K -22.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.13%E -0.763%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-11 11:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.82%E -5.59%K -31.02%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -3.13%E -0.763%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-11 13:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.82%E -5.59%K -31.02%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -3.13%E -0.763%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-11 09:59 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.45%EV -3.77%E -2.99%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 4.09I 24.45%NM 23.55%EV -3.37%E -0.823%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-11 13:28 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.42%EV -4.53%E -3.63%K -18.14%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.58%EV -4.31%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-11 03:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -3.77%E -2.99%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -5.49%E -1.37%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-11 11:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.53%E -3.63%K -18.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.49%E -1.37%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-11 12:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.53%E -3.63%K -18.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.49%E -1.37%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-11 12:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.53%E -3.63%K -18.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.49%E -1.37%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-11 13:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.53%E -3.63%K -18.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.49%E -1.37%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-11 13:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.53%E -3.63%K -18.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.49%E -1.37%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-11 05:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.53%E -3.63%K -18.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.49%E -1.37%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-11 12:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.53%E -3.63%K -18.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.49%E -1.37%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-11 10:49 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.53%E -3.63%K -18.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.49%E -1.37%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-11 05:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.53%E -3.63%K -18.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.49%E -1.37%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.53%E -3.63%K -18.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.49%E -1.37%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-11 12:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.53%E -3.63%K -18.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.49%E -1.37%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-11 05:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.53%E -3.63%K -18.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.49%E -1.37%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-11 05:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.53%E -3.63%K -18.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.49%E -1.37%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-11 05:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.53%E -3.63%K -18.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.49%E -1.37%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-11 13:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -3.77%E -2.99%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -6.67%E -1.69%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-11 13:23 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.77%E -2.99%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -7.85%E -2.01%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-11 13:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.77%E -2.99%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -7.85%E -2.01%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-11 13:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.77%E -2.99%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -7.85%E -2.01%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-11 11:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.82%E -5.59%K -31.02%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -7.85%E -2.01%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-11 10:48 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.82%E -5.59%K -31.02%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -7.85%E -2.01%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-11 10:49 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.32%EV -7.59%E -6.27%K -36.14%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -7.85%E -2.01%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-11 13:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.54%EV -4.53%E -3.63%K -18.14%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.46%EV -8.80%E -2.28%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-11 12:04 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -2.24%E -1.75%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -9.04%E -2.35%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-11 11:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.53%E -3.63%K -18.14%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -9.04%E -2.35%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-11 13:29 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.53%E -3.63%K -18.14%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -9.04%E -2.35%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-11 13:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.00%EV -8.35%E -6.96%K -41.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.22%E -2.69%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-11 13:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -0.715%E -0.550%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -14.94%E -4.15%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -6.06%E -4.93%K -26.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -14.94%E -4.15%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-11 13:14 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 76.11%EV -13.70%E -12.12%K -105.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.89%EV -14.94%E -4.15%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-10-11 13:30 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.79% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.21% | 0.2% | 2026-10-11 12:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 76.09% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.91% | 0.3% | 2026-10-11 12:44 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 0.7% | 2026-10-11 13:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 0.7% | 2026-10-11 13:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 0.7% | 2026-10-11 13:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 0.7% | 2026-10-11 13:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 0.7% | 2026-10-11 13:20 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.23% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77% | 0.9% | 2026-10-11 12:29 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.23% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77% | 0.9% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.56% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.44% | 9.2% | 2026-10-11 13:04 |