默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Jacksonville Jaguars v Philadelphia Eagles

开赛时间: 2026-10-11 13:32 UTC

最终结果: Jacksonville Jaguars 19–17 Philadelphia Eagles

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

57 家博彩公司 (20 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Jacksonville Jaguars (主队)

预测 76.37%1.31公平赔率
EV -0.715%
优势 -0.550%
Kelly -2.38%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.30

博彩公司预测分布
73.47%76.26%76.34%77.88%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.131.251.251.3088.50%80.17%80.00%76.92%最小值均值中位数最大值

Philadelphia Eagles (客队)

预测 23.63%4.23公平赔率
EV +3.96%
优势 +0.900%
Kelly +1.16%
增长率 +0.046%

假设最高赔率为 4.40

博彩公司预测分布
22.12%23.74%23.66%26.53%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.604.024.004.4027.78%24.85%25.00%22.73%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Jacksonville Jaguars (主队):76.37%;Philadelphia Eagles (客队):23.63%。 对于“Philadelphia Eagles (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.23。 当时有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为4.40,对应+3.96%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (57 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
ReBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.88%EV -4.53%E -3.63%K -18.14%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.12%EV +3.96%E +0.900%K +1.16%G +0.046%2.7%2026-10-11 13:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 77.13%EV -3.77%E -2.99%K -14.50%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.87%EV +0.415%E +0.098%K +0.128%G +0.001%2.9%2026-10-11 11:59
Svenska Spel🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 77.13%EV -3.77%E -2.99%K -14.50%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.87%EV +0.415%E +0.098%K +0.128%G +0.001%2.9%2026-10-11 11:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%EV -3.77%E -2.99%K -14.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV -0.766%E -0.182%K -0.240%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-11 13:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%EV -3.77%E -2.99%K -14.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV -0.766%E -0.182%K -0.240%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-11 13:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.53%E -3.63%K -18.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -0.766%E -0.182%K -0.240%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-11 11:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.53%E -3.63%K -18.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -0.766%E -0.182%K -0.240%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-11 11:25
BetAnything🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.30%E -4.27%K -22.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -0.766%E -0.182%K -0.240%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-11 12:59
SportsBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -6.06%E -4.93%K -26.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -0.766%E -0.182%K -0.240%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-11 13:30
BetUS🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.94%EV -4.53%E -3.63%K -18.14%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.06%EV -1.48%E -0.354%K -0.465%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-11 13:25
Pinnacle🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.75%EV -3.77%E -2.99%K -14.50%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 23.25%EV -1.71%E -0.411%K -0.542%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-11 13:20
FanDuel🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.85%EV -4.53%E -3.63%K -18.14%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.15%EV -1.95%E -0.469%K -0.618%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-11 13:29
Coolbet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 76.07%EV -1.48%E -1.15%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.93%EV -3.13%E -0.763%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.9%2026-10-11 10:49
BetMGM🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%EV -3.01%E -2.37%K -11.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -3.13%E -0.763%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-11 13:25
Everygame🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -3.77%E -2.99%K -14.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -3.13%E -0.763%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-11 13:24
GTbets🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.53%E -3.63%K -18.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.13%E -0.763%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-11 13:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.53%E -3.63%K -18.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.13%E -0.763%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-11 11:59
Bally Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.53%E -3.63%K -18.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.13%E -0.763%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-11 13:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.53%E -3.63%K -18.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.13%E -0.763%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-11 03:35
Fanatics🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.53%E -3.63%K -18.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.13%E -0.763%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-11 03:34
BetRivers🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.30%E -4.27%K -22.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.13%E -0.763%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-11 11:59
Unibet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.30%E -4.27%K -22.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.13%E -0.763%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-11 12:00
betPARX🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.30%E -4.27%K -22.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.13%E -0.763%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-11 11:59
Codere (IT)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.82%E -5.59%K -31.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -3.13%E -0.763%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-11 13:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.82%E -5.59%K -31.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -3.13%E -0.763%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-11 09:59
MyBookie.ag🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.45%EV -3.77%E -2.99%K -14.50%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.55%EV -3.37%E -0.823%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-11 13:28
Caesars🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.42%EV -4.53%E -3.63%K -18.14%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.58%EV -4.31%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-11 03:45
DraftKings🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -3.77%E -2.99%K -14.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -5.49%E -1.37%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-11 11:04
Paddy Power🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.53%E -3.63%K -18.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.49%E -1.37%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-11 12:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.53%E -3.63%K -18.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.49%E -1.37%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-11 12:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.53%E -3.63%K -18.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.49%E -1.37%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-11 13:04
Coral🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.53%E -3.63%K -18.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.49%E -1.37%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-11 13:04
William Hill🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.53%E -3.63%K -18.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.49%E -1.37%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-11 05:35
Bet Right🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.53%E -3.63%K -18.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.49%E -1.37%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-11 12:04
Betr (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.53%E -3.63%K -18.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.49%E -1.37%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-11 10:49
betfred_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.53%E -3.63%K -18.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.49%E -1.37%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-11 05:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.53%E -3.63%K -18.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.49%E -1.37%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-10 14:00
TAB🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.53%E -3.63%K -18.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.49%E -1.37%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-11 12:05
888sport🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.53%E -3.63%K -18.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.49%E -1.37%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-11 05:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.53%E -3.63%K -18.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.49%E -1.37%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-11 05:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.53%E -3.63%K -18.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.49%E -1.37%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-11 05:35
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.53%E -3.63%K -18.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.49%E -1.37%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-11 13:15
Bovada🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -3.77%E -2.99%K -14.50%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -6.67%E -1.69%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-11 13:23
Neds🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.77%E -2.99%K -14.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -7.85%E -2.01%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-11 13:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.77%E -2.99%K -14.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -7.85%E -2.01%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-11 13:30
theScore Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.77%E -2.99%K -14.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -7.85%E -2.01%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-11 11:04
Bet Victor🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.82%E -5.59%K -31.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -7.85%E -2.01%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-11 10:48
betano_uk🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.82%E -5.59%K -31.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -7.85%E -2.01%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-11 10:49
NetBet (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 76.32%EV -7.59%E -6.27%K -36.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -7.85%E -2.01%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-11 13:29
Marathon Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.54%EV -4.53%E -3.63%K -18.14%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.46%EV -8.80%E -2.28%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-11 12:04
Dabble (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -2.24%E -1.75%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -9.04%E -2.35%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-11 11:44
PlayUp🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.53%E -3.63%K -18.14%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -9.04%E -2.35%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-11 13:29
Fliff🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.53%E -3.63%K -18.14%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -9.04%E -2.35%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-11 13:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.00%EV -8.35%E -6.96%K -41.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.22%E -2.69%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-11 13:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -0.715%E -0.550%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -14.94%E -4.15%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-10 14:01
LeoVegas🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -6.06%E -4.93%K -26.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -14.94%E -4.15%K -5.75%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-11 13:14
PMU (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 76.11%EV -13.70%E -12.12%K -105.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.89%EV -14.94%E -4.15%K -5.75%G +0.000%16.3%2026-10-11 13:30
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Smarkets◎1.30I 76.92%NM 76.79%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.21%0.2%2026-10-11 12:55
Novig◎1.31I 76.34%NM 76.09%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.91%0.3%2026-10-11 12:44
Matchbook◎1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-10-11 13:30
ProphetX◎1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-10-11 13:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-10-11 13:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-10-11 13:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-10-11 13:20
Polymarket◎1.30I 76.92%NM 76.23%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77%0.9%2026-10-11 12:29
Kalshi◎1.30I 76.92%NM 76.23%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77%0.9%2026-10-10 14:01
BetOpenly◎1.28I 78.13%NM 71.56%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.44%9.2%2026-10-11 13:04