Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Jacksonville Jaguars v Philadelphia Eagles

Coup d’envoi : 2026-10-11 13:32 UTC

Score final : Jacksonville Jaguars 19–17 Philadelphia Eagles

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Jacksonville Jaguars (Local)

Prévision 76.37%1.31cote équitable
EV -0.715%
Avantage -0.550%
Kelly -2.38%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
73.47%76.26%76.34%77.88%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.131.251.251.3088.50%80.17%80.00%76.92%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Philadelphia Eagles (Visiteur)

Prévision 23.63%4.23cote équitable
EV +3.96%
Avantage +0.900%
Kelly +1.16%
Croissance +0.046%

avec la cote maximale 4.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.12%23.74%23.66%26.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.604.024.004.4027.78%24.85%25.00%22.73%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Jacksonville Jaguars (Local) : 76.37% ; Philadelphia Eagles (Visiteur) : 23.63%. Pour Philadelphia Eagles (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.23. 3 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.40, soit une espérance positive de +3.96%.

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
ReBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.88%EV -4.53%E -3.63%K -18.14%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.12%EV +3.96%E +0.900%K +1.16%G +0.046%2.7%2026-10-11 13:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 77.13%EV -3.77%E -2.99%K -14.50%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.87%EV +0.415%E +0.098%K +0.128%G +0.001%2.9%2026-10-11 11:59
Svenska Spel🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 77.13%EV -3.77%E -2.99%K -14.50%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.87%EV +0.415%E +0.098%K +0.128%G +0.001%2.9%2026-10-11 11:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%EV -3.77%E -2.99%K -14.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV -0.766%E -0.182%K -0.240%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-11 13:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%EV -3.77%E -2.99%K -14.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV -0.766%E -0.182%K -0.240%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-11 13:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.53%E -3.63%K -18.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -0.766%E -0.182%K -0.240%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-11 11:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.53%E -3.63%K -18.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -0.766%E -0.182%K -0.240%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-11 11:25
BetAnything🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.30%E -4.27%K -22.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -0.766%E -0.182%K -0.240%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-11 12:59
SportsBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -6.06%E -4.93%K -26.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -0.766%E -0.182%K -0.240%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-11 13:30
BetUS🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.94%EV -4.53%E -3.63%K -18.14%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.06%EV -1.48%E -0.354%K -0.465%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-11 13:25
Pinnacle🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.75%EV -3.77%E -2.99%K -14.50%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 23.25%EV -1.71%E -0.411%K -0.542%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-11 13:20
FanDuel🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.85%EV -4.53%E -3.63%K -18.14%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.15%EV -1.95%E -0.469%K -0.618%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-11 13:29
Coolbet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 76.07%EV -1.48%E -1.15%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.93%EV -3.13%E -0.763%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.9%2026-10-11 10:49
BetMGM🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%EV -3.01%E -2.37%K -11.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -3.13%E -0.763%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-11 13:25
Everygame🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -3.77%E -2.99%K -14.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -3.13%E -0.763%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-11 13:24
GTbets🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.53%E -3.63%K -18.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.13%E -0.763%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-11 13:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.53%E -3.63%K -18.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.13%E -0.763%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-11 11:59
Bally Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.53%E -3.63%K -18.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.13%E -0.763%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-11 13:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.53%E -3.63%K -18.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.13%E -0.763%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-11 03:35
Fanatics🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.53%E -3.63%K -18.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.13%E -0.763%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-11 03:34
BetRivers🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.30%E -4.27%K -22.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.13%E -0.763%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-11 11:59
Unibet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.30%E -4.27%K -22.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.13%E -0.763%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-11 12:00
betPARX🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.30%E -4.27%K -22.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.13%E -0.763%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-11 11:59
Codere (IT)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.82%E -5.59%K -31.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -3.13%E -0.763%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-11 13:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.82%E -5.59%K -31.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -3.13%E -0.763%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-11 09:59
MyBookie.ag🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.45%EV -3.77%E -2.99%K -14.50%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.55%EV -3.37%E -0.823%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-11 13:28
Caesars🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.42%EV -4.53%E -3.63%K -18.14%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.58%EV -4.31%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-11 03:45
DraftKings🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -3.77%E -2.99%K -14.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -5.49%E -1.37%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-11 11:04
Paddy Power🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.53%E -3.63%K -18.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.49%E -1.37%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-11 12:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.53%E -3.63%K -18.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.49%E -1.37%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-11 12:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.53%E -3.63%K -18.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.49%E -1.37%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-11 13:04
Coral🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.53%E -3.63%K -18.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.49%E -1.37%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-11 13:04
William Hill🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.53%E -3.63%K -18.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.49%E -1.37%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-11 05:35
Bet Right🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.53%E -3.63%K -18.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.49%E -1.37%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-11 12:04
Betr (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.53%E -3.63%K -18.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.49%E -1.37%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-11 10:49
betfred_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.53%E -3.63%K -18.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.49%E -1.37%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-11 05:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.53%E -3.63%K -18.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.49%E -1.37%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-10 14:00
TAB🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.53%E -3.63%K -18.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.49%E -1.37%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-11 12:05
888sport🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.53%E -3.63%K -18.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.49%E -1.37%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-11 05:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.53%E -3.63%K -18.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.49%E -1.37%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-11 05:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.53%E -3.63%K -18.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.49%E -1.37%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-11 05:35
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.53%E -3.63%K -18.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.49%E -1.37%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-11 13:15
Bovada🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -3.77%E -2.99%K -14.50%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -6.67%E -1.69%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-11 13:23
Neds🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.77%E -2.99%K -14.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -7.85%E -2.01%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-11 13:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.77%E -2.99%K -14.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -7.85%E -2.01%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-11 13:30
theScore Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.77%E -2.99%K -14.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -7.85%E -2.01%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-11 11:04
Bet Victor🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.82%E -5.59%K -31.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -7.85%E -2.01%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-11 10:48
betano_uk🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.82%E -5.59%K -31.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -7.85%E -2.01%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-11 10:49
NetBet (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 76.32%EV -7.59%E -6.27%K -36.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -7.85%E -2.01%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-11 13:29
Marathon Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.54%EV -4.53%E -3.63%K -18.14%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.46%EV -8.80%E -2.28%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-11 12:04
Dabble (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -2.24%E -1.75%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -9.04%E -2.35%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-11 11:44
PlayUp🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.53%E -3.63%K -18.14%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -9.04%E -2.35%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-11 13:29
Fliff🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.53%E -3.63%K -18.14%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -9.04%E -2.35%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-11 13:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.00%EV -8.35%E -6.96%K -41.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.22%E -2.69%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-11 13:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -0.715%E -0.550%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -14.94%E -4.15%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-10 14:01
LeoVegas🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -6.06%E -4.93%K -26.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -14.94%E -4.15%K -5.75%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-11 13:14
PMU (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 76.11%EV -13.70%E -12.12%K -105.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.89%EV -14.94%E -4.15%K -5.75%G +0.000%16.3%2026-10-11 13:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets◎1.30I 76.92%NM 76.79%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.21%0.2%2026-10-11 12:55
Novig◎1.31I 76.34%NM 76.09%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.91%0.3%2026-10-11 12:44
Matchbook◎1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-10-11 13:30
ProphetX◎1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-10-11 13:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-10-11 13:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-10-11 13:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-10-11 13:20
Polymarket◎1.30I 76.92%NM 76.23%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77%0.9%2026-10-11 12:29
Kalshi◎1.30I 76.92%NM 76.23%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77%0.9%2026-10-10 14:01
BetOpenly◎1.28I 78.13%NM 71.56%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.44%9.2%2026-10-11 13:04