The School of Odds

Jacksonville Jaguars v Houston Texans

2026-10-18 13:30 UTC — NFL

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Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Jacksonville Jaguars (Local)

Prediction 49.71%2.01fair odd
EV -0.577%
Edge -0.288%
Kelly -0.577%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.37%49.55%50.00%50.52%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.851.921.912.0054%52%52%50%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Houston Texans (Visit)

Prediction 50.29%1.99fair odd
EV -2.94%
Edge -1.53%
Kelly -3.16%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.93

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.48%50.45%50.00%52.63%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.801.891.901.9356%53%53%52%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -0.577%E -0.288%K -0.577%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.97%E -4.36%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-15 22:40
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -0.577%E -0.288%K -0.577%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -9.48%E -5.27%K -11.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-14 17:10
FanDuel1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -3.56%E -1.83%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -3.95%E -2.07%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-30 09:49
SportsBet1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -3.56%E -1.83%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%EV -4.45%E -2.34%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-30 09:49
Caesars1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -3.56%E -1.83%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -6.46%E -3.47%K -7.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 22:38
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.05%E -2.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.95%E -2.07%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-13 18:44
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.05%E -2.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.95%E -2.07%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-13 18:45
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.05%E -2.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.95%E -2.07%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-13 18:44
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.05%E -2.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.95%E -2.07%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-21 01:14
MyBookie.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -5.05%E -2.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.66%EV -6.46%E -3.47%K -7.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 09:59
Paddy Power1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.55%E -2.92%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.45%E -2.34%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 17:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.55%E -2.92%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.45%E -2.34%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 18:00
Neds1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.55%E -2.92%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.45%E -2.34%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 18:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.55%E -2.92%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.45%E -2.34%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 18:45
Unibet (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.55%E -2.92%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.45%E -2.34%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 01:14
ReBet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.55%E -2.92%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.45%E -2.34%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 01:15
DraftKings1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -6.05%E -3.20%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -2.94%E -1.53%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-21 01:15
Betclic (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.54%E -3.48%K -7.43%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.46%E -2.90%K -6.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-21 01:15
LeoVegas1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.03%E -4.34%K -9.45%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.97%E -3.77%K -8.20%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-21 01:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%8.1%2026-07-21 01:15