Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Jacksonville Jaguars v Houston Texans

Coup d’envoi : 2026-10-18 13:32 UTC

Score final : Jacksonville Jaguars 31–34 Houston Texans

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Jacksonville Jaguars (Local)

Prévision 55.71%1.79cote équitable
EV -0.835%
Avantage -0.469%
Kelly -1.07%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.78

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.95%55.66%55.70%57.11%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.511.711.711.7866.23%58.58%58.48%56.18%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Houston Texans (Visiteur)

Prévision 44.29%2.26cote équitable
EV -0.349%
Avantage -0.155%
Kelly -0.280%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.89%44.34%44.30%46.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.972.152.152.2550.76%46.48%46.51%44.44%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Jacksonville Jaguars (Local) : 55.71% ; Houston Texans (Visiteur) : 44.29%. Pour Houston Texans (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.26. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.25, pour une espérance de -0.349% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Coolbet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -0.835%E -0.469%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -3.45%E -1.58%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.1%2026-10-18 12:28
BetAnything🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -1.95%E -1.11%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -6.11%E -2.88%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-18 13:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -1.95%E -1.11%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -6.11%E -2.88%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-18 13:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -1.95%E -1.11%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -6.11%E -2.88%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-18 13:29
ReBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -2.51%E -1.43%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -3.45%E -1.58%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-18 13:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -2.51%E -1.43%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -4.78%E -2.22%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-17 11:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -2.51%E -1.43%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -9.21%E -4.49%K -8.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-18 13:29
Pinnacle🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -3.06%E -1.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -1.24%E -0.554%K -1.00%G +0.000%2.3%2026-10-18 13:19
MyBookie.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -3.06%E -1.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -4.34%E -2.01%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-18 13:18
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.06%E -1.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.78%E -2.22%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-18 13:24
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.06%E -1.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.78%E -2.22%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-18 13:25
GTbets🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.06%E -1.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.78%E -2.22%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-18 13:29
BetUS🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.06%E -1.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.78%E -2.22%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-18 12:39
Everygame🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.06%E -1.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.78%E -2.22%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-18 13:28
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.62%E -2.09%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.78%E -2.22%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-18 12:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.62%E -2.09%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.78%E -2.22%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-18 12:20
FanDuel🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.18%E -2.43%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -3.45%E -1.58%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-18 13:24
Neds🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.18%E -2.43%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.78%E -2.22%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-18 12:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.18%E -2.43%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.78%E -2.22%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-18 12:44
Dabble (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.18%E -2.43%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.78%E -2.22%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-18 13:15
Bet Right🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.18%E -2.43%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.11%E -2.88%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-18 13:24
Unibet (NL)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.60%EV -4.73%E -2.77%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.40%EV -1.24%E -0.554%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-18 13:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.60%EV -4.73%E -2.77%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.40%EV -1.24%E -0.554%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-18 13:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.60%EV -4.73%E -2.77%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.40%EV -1.24%E -0.554%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-18 13:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.60%EV -4.73%E -2.77%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.40%EV -1.24%E -0.554%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-18 13:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.73%E -2.77%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.56%E -1.17%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-18 01:55
Caesars🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.73%E -2.77%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.45%E -1.58%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-18 13:29
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.73%E -2.77%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.78%E -2.22%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-18 13:20
Betway🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.73%E -2.77%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.78%E -2.22%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-18 13:24
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.73%E -2.77%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.78%E -2.22%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-18 12:04
Fliff🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.73%E -2.77%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.99%E -3.33%K -6.36%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-18 13:30
DraftKings🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.29%E -3.11%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.56%E -1.17%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-18 12:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.29%E -3.11%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.56%E -1.17%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-18 13:09
SportsBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.29%E -3.11%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.78%E -2.22%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-18 13:24
Paddy Power🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.29%E -3.11%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.78%E -2.22%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-18 13:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.29%E -3.11%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.78%E -2.22%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-18 13:19
William Hill🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.29%E -3.11%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.78%E -2.22%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-18 12:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.29%E -3.11%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.78%E -2.22%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-18 12:24
betfred_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.29%E -3.11%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.78%E -2.22%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-18 12:29
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.29%E -3.11%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.78%E -2.22%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-18 13:09
888sport🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.29%E -3.11%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.78%E -2.22%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-18 12:14
888sport (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.29%E -3.11%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.78%E -2.22%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-18 12:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.29%E -3.11%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.78%E -2.22%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-18 12:14
Codere (IT)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.38%EV -5.29%E -3.11%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.62%EV -6.55%E -3.10%K -5.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-18 13:09
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.29%E -3.11%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.99%E -3.33%K -6.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-18 13:09
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.29%E -3.11%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.99%E -3.33%K -6.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-18 13:08
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.85%E -3.46%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -0.349%E -0.155%K -0.280%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-18 12:19
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.41%E -3.81%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.56%E -1.17%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-18 00:05
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.41%E -3.81%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.56%E -1.17%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-18 00:05
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.41%E -3.81%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.56%E -1.17%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-18 00:05
Bally Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.41%E -3.81%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.56%E -1.17%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-18 00:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.96%E -4.17%K -10.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.78%E -2.22%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-17 20:35
picklebet_au🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.96%E -4.17%K -10.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.99%E -3.33%K -6.36%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-18 12:24
Betclic (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -8.08%E -4.90%K -12.43%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -9.21%E -4.49%K -8.77%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-18 13:03
LeoVegas🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.91%EV -8.63%E -5.26%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.09%EV -7.88%E -3.79%K -7.29%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-18 12:14
NetBet (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.40%EV -10.86%E -6.79%K -18.10%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.60%EV -8.32%E -4.02%K -7.78%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-18 12:34
PMU (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 56.61%EV -15.88%E -10.51%K -31.13%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 43.39%EV -12.75%E -6.47%K -13.14%G +0.000%17.0%2026-10-18 13:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
ProphetX◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.69%2.25I 44.44%NM 44.31%0.3%2026-10-18 13:19
Matchbook◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%0.4%2026-10-18 13:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-10-18 13:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-10-18 13:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-10-18 13:20
Novig◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-10-18 13:19
Polymarket◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-10-18 13:30
Kalshi◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-10-18 13:15
BetOpenly◎1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%3.0%2026-10-18 13:29
Smarkets◎1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.50%9.9%2026-10-18 13:30