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Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)
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Jacksonville Jaguars v Houston Texans

Inicio: 2026-10-18 13:32 UTC

Final: Jacksonville Jaguars 31–34 Houston Texans

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Jacksonville Jaguars (Local)

Predicción 55.71%1.79momio equitativo
EV -0.835%
Ventaja -0.469%
Kelly -1.07%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.78

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.95%55.66%55.70%57.11%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.511.711.711.7866.23%58.58%58.48%56.18%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Houston Texans (Visitante)

Predicción 44.29%2.26momio equitativo
EV -0.349%
Ventaja -0.155%
Kelly -0.280%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.89%44.34%44.30%46.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.972.152.152.2550.76%46.48%46.51%44.44%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Jacksonville Jaguars (Local): 55.71%; Houston Texans (Visitante): 44.29%. Para Houston Texans (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.26. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.25, con un valor esperado de -0.349%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Coolbet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -0.835%E -0.469%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -3.45%E -1.58%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.1%2026-10-18 12:28
BetAnything🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -1.95%E -1.11%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -6.11%E -2.88%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-18 13:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -1.95%E -1.11%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -6.11%E -2.88%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-18 13:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -1.95%E -1.11%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -6.11%E -2.88%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-18 13:29
ReBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -2.51%E -1.43%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -3.45%E -1.58%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-18 13:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -2.51%E -1.43%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -4.78%E -2.22%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-17 11:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -2.51%E -1.43%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -9.21%E -4.49%K -8.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-18 13:29
Pinnacle🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -3.06%E -1.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -1.24%E -0.554%K -1.00%G +0.000%2.3%2026-10-18 13:19
MyBookie.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -3.06%E -1.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -4.34%E -2.01%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-18 13:18
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.06%E -1.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.78%E -2.22%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-18 13:24
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.06%E -1.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.78%E -2.22%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-18 13:25
GTbets🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.06%E -1.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.78%E -2.22%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-18 13:29
BetUS🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.06%E -1.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.78%E -2.22%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-18 12:39
Everygame🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.06%E -1.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.78%E -2.22%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-18 13:28
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.62%E -2.09%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.78%E -2.22%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-18 12:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.62%E -2.09%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.78%E -2.22%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-18 12:20
FanDuel🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.18%E -2.43%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -3.45%E -1.58%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-18 13:24
Neds🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.18%E -2.43%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.78%E -2.22%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-18 12:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.18%E -2.43%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.78%E -2.22%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-18 12:44
Dabble (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.18%E -2.43%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.78%E -2.22%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-18 13:15
Bet Right🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.18%E -2.43%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.11%E -2.88%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-18 13:24
Unibet (NL)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.60%EV -4.73%E -2.77%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.40%EV -1.24%E -0.554%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-18 13:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.60%EV -4.73%E -2.77%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.40%EV -1.24%E -0.554%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-18 13:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.60%EV -4.73%E -2.77%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.40%EV -1.24%E -0.554%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-18 13:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.60%EV -4.73%E -2.77%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.40%EV -1.24%E -0.554%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-18 13:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.73%E -2.77%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.56%E -1.17%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-18 01:55
Caesars🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.73%E -2.77%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.45%E -1.58%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-18 13:29
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.73%E -2.77%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.78%E -2.22%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-18 13:20
Betway🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.73%E -2.77%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.78%E -2.22%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-18 13:24
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.73%E -2.77%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.78%E -2.22%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-18 12:04
Fliff🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.73%E -2.77%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.99%E -3.33%K -6.36%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-18 13:30
DraftKings🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.29%E -3.11%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.56%E -1.17%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-18 12:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.29%E -3.11%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.56%E -1.17%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-18 13:09
SportsBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.29%E -3.11%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.78%E -2.22%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-18 13:24
Paddy Power🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.29%E -3.11%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.78%E -2.22%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-18 13:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.29%E -3.11%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.78%E -2.22%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-18 13:19
William Hill🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.29%E -3.11%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.78%E -2.22%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-18 12:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.29%E -3.11%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.78%E -2.22%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-18 12:24
betfred_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.29%E -3.11%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.78%E -2.22%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-18 12:29
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.29%E -3.11%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.78%E -2.22%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-18 13:09
888sport🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.29%E -3.11%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.78%E -2.22%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-18 12:14
888sport (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.29%E -3.11%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.78%E -2.22%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-18 12:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.29%E -3.11%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.78%E -2.22%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-18 12:14
Codere (IT)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.38%EV -5.29%E -3.11%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.62%EV -6.55%E -3.10%K -5.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-18 13:09
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.29%E -3.11%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.99%E -3.33%K -6.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-18 13:09
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.29%E -3.11%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.99%E -3.33%K -6.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-18 13:08
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.85%E -3.46%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -0.349%E -0.155%K -0.280%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-18 12:19
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.41%E -3.81%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.56%E -1.17%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-18 00:05
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.41%E -3.81%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.56%E -1.17%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-18 00:05
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.41%E -3.81%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.56%E -1.17%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-18 00:05
Bally Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.41%E -3.81%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.56%E -1.17%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-18 00:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.96%E -4.17%K -10.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.78%E -2.22%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-17 20:35
picklebet_au🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.96%E -4.17%K -10.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.99%E -3.33%K -6.36%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-18 12:24
Betclic (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -8.08%E -4.90%K -12.43%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -9.21%E -4.49%K -8.77%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-18 13:03
LeoVegas🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.91%EV -8.63%E -5.26%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.09%EV -7.88%E -3.79%K -7.29%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-18 12:14
NetBet (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.40%EV -10.86%E -6.79%K -18.10%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.60%EV -8.32%E -4.02%K -7.78%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-18 12:34
PMU (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 56.61%EV -15.88%E -10.51%K -31.13%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 43.39%EV -12.75%E -6.47%K -13.14%G +0.000%17.0%2026-10-18 13:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
ProphetX◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.69%2.25I 44.44%NM 44.31%0.3%2026-10-18 13:19
Matchbook◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%0.4%2026-10-18 13:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-10-18 13:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-10-18 13:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-10-18 13:20
Novig◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-10-18 13:19
Polymarket◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-10-18 13:30
Kalshi◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-10-18 13:15
BetOpenly◎1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%3.0%2026-10-18 13:29
Smarkets◎1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.50%9.9%2026-10-18 13:30